本文選題：財(cái)政支出　切入點(diǎn)：財(cái)政支出結(jié)構(gòu)　出處：《遼寧大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：日本是政府主導(dǎo)型的市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)國(guó)家,雖然近幾年日本政府財(cái)政支出不斷增加,在一定程度上促進(jìn)了日本居民的消費(fèi),但與其他發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家相比,日本居民的消費(fèi)率依然偏低。2012年安倍晉三再次擔(dān)任日本首相,并隨之大肆推行日本經(jīng)濟(jì)刺激計(jì)劃�！鞍脖督�(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)”中一個(gè)重要的內(nèi)容為:通過大規(guī)模量化寬松政策提升民眾的消費(fèi)信心,并增強(qiáng)居民對(duì)通貨膨脹的預(yù)期,來達(dá)到促進(jìn)日本國(guó)內(nèi)居民消費(fèi)增長(zhǎng)的目的。由此可見,日本政府對(duì)日本國(guó)內(nèi)內(nèi)需不足的關(guān)注。與此同時(shí)日本財(cái)政支出結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)日本居民消費(fèi)的影響直接關(guān)系到日本宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的制定,提高日本居民消費(fèi)的能力已經(jīng)成為日本制定宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的重要內(nèi)容。面對(duì)此情況,本文探討了日本政府支出結(jié)構(gòu)與居民消費(fèi)的關(guān)系。論文首先回顧和評(píng)述了經(jīng)典的居民消費(fèi)與財(cái)政支出理論,同時(shí)也闡明各類財(cái)政支出結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)居民消費(fèi)的影響機(jī)制。然后通過相關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)日本財(cái)政支出的結(jié)構(gòu)及日本居民消費(fèi)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行一番剖析,接著運(yùn)用計(jì)量模型與灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度分析的方法分析二者的關(guān)系,最后得出結(jié)論并提出促進(jìn)我國(guó)居民消費(fèi)的政府支出結(jié)構(gòu)的建議。本文在計(jì)量方法上采用了VAR模型,運(yùn)用1995年—2014年的日本財(cái)政各類支出與居民消費(fèi)的經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù),來分析三類支出對(duì)日本個(gè)人消費(fèi)的作用力大小。結(jié)論表明:經(jīng)濟(jì)性、社會(huì)性以及維持性支出都會(huì)擠入日本私人消費(fèi)。但對(duì)私人消費(fèi)的影響程度卻是有區(qū)別的。其中,社會(huì)性支出對(duì)日本居民消費(fèi)的擠入效果最明顯,其次是經(jīng)濟(jì)性財(cái)政支出,最后是維持性財(cái)政支出�；趯�(shí)證分析,文章得出相應(yīng)的分析結(jié)果,并且,我國(guó)當(dāng)前正處于經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長(zhǎng)及轉(zhuǎn)型的特殊時(shí)期,日本財(cái)政支出結(jié)構(gòu)方面的經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn)對(duì)于我國(guó)在調(diào)整財(cái)政支出規(guī)模、預(yù)防財(cái)政危機(jī)、完善各類財(cái)政支出結(jié)構(gòu)等方面都有一定的啟示。
[Abstract]:Japan is a government-dominated market economy country. Although in recent years Japanese government fiscal expenditure has been increasing, to some extent, it has promoted the consumption of Japanese residents, but compared with other developed countries,Japanese residents' consumption rates remain low. Shinzo Abe became prime minister again in 2012, followed by an aggressive stimulus package.An important part of Abenomics is to boost consumer confidence and inflation expectations through massive quantitative easing in order to boost consumption growth in Japan.This shows that the Japanese government is concerned about insufficient domestic demand in Japan.At the same time, the influence of Japanese fiscal expenditure structure on Japanese residents' consumption is directly related to the formulation of Japan's macroeconomic policy. Improving the ability of Japanese residents' consumption has become an important part of Japan's macroeconomic policy formulation.In the face of this situation, this paper discusses the relationship between the structure of Japanese government expenditure and residents' consumption.Firstly, this paper reviews and comments on the classical theories of resident consumption and fiscal expenditure, at the same time, it clarifies the influence mechanism of various kinds of fiscal expenditure structure on residents' consumption.Then through the relevant statistical data, the structure of Japan's fiscal expenditure and the current situation of Japanese residents' consumption development are analyzed, and then the relationship between them is analyzed by using the method of econometric model and grey correlation analysis.Finally, the paper draws a conclusion and puts forward some suggestions on the structure of government expenditure to promote the consumption of Chinese residents.In this paper, the VAR model is used to analyze the effect of three kinds of expenditure on Japanese personal consumption by using the economic data of various kinds of fiscal expenditure and resident consumption from 1995 to 2014.The conclusion shows that economic, social and maintenance expenditure will crowd into Japanese private consumption.But the impact on private consumption is different.Among them, social expenditure has the most obvious effect on Japanese residents' consumption, followed by economic expenditure and maintenance expenditure.Based on the empirical analysis, the paper draws the corresponding analysis results, and China is currently in a special period of rapid economic growth and transformation. The experience and lessons of Japanese fiscal expenditure structure in adjusting the scale of fiscal expenditure in China.To prevent the financial crisis, improve the structure of various types of financial expenditure and other aspects have some enlightenment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F811.4;F113.9

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