【摘要】：紡織服裝行業(yè)在我國已經(jīng)發(fā)展了幾千年,歷史悠久,生產(chǎn)能力強,比較優(yōu)勢明顯,歷來在我國和美國的貿(mào)易中占著相當大的比重。但近年來,隨著中國的紡織品和服裝對美出口中關(guān)稅壁壘的減弱,遭遇到以技術(shù)法規(guī)、技術(shù)標準、合格評定程序、衛(wèi)生檢疫措施等為主要內(nèi)容的技術(shù)貿(mào)易壁壘的形勢日益嚴重。在受美國技術(shù)性貿(mào)易措施影響較大的行業(yè)中,紡織品服裝行業(yè)排在前列。因此,深入了解美國在紡織品服裝領(lǐng)域的技術(shù)貿(mào)易壁壘措施,建立相應(yīng)的預(yù)警體系,避免和減少損失,具有現(xiàn)實的經(jīng)濟和社會意義。 本文介紹了中國紡織服裝行業(yè)發(fā)展和出口美國現(xiàn)狀,分析了我國主要出口對象美國相關(guān)的技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘設(shè)置情況和設(shè)置根源,在借鑒國內(nèi)外有關(guān)預(yù)警理論研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,選取合適的經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易和技術(shù)差距指標,應(yīng)用BP人工神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)模型搭建了我國紡織品和服裝輸美技術(shù)貿(mào)易壁壘預(yù)警系統(tǒng)。通過計算和驗證,證明該系統(tǒng)具有良好的預(yù)測效果,可信度顯著。最后文末給出了結(jié)論,并基于預(yù)警模型提出了對策建議。
[Abstract]:Textile and garment industry has been developed for thousands of years in our country. It has a long history, strong production capacity and obvious comparative advantage. It has always occupied a large proportion in the trade between China and the United States. However, in recent years, with the weakening of tariff barriers in China's textile and clothing exports to the United States, the situation of technical barriers to trade, which mainly includes technical regulations, technical standards, conformity assessment procedures, health and quarantine measures and so on, has become more and more serious. The textile and clothing industry is in the forefront among the industries which are greatly affected by the technical trade measures of the United States. Therefore, it is of realistic economic and social significance to deeply understand the technical barriers to trade of the United States in the field of textiles and clothing, to establish a corresponding early warning system, to avoid and reduce losses, and to have practical economic and social significance. This paper introduces the development of China's textile and clothing industry and the status quo of its export to the United States, analyzes the establishment of technical barriers to trade in the United States, the main export target of China, and the root causes of the establishment, and on the basis of drawing lessons from domestic and foreign research results on early warning theory, The BP artificial neural network model is applied to set up the early warning system of China's textile and clothing technical barriers to import into the United States by selecting the appropriate index of economic trade and technology gap. Through calculation and verification, it is proved that the system has good prediction effect and good reliability. At the end of the paper, the conclusion is given, and the countermeasures and suggestions based on the early warning model are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F426.86;F752.7

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 蔣國瑞;臧國軍;;電子信息產(chǎn)品技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘預(yù)警模型[J];北京工業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報;2007年10期

2 夏友富;技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘體系與當代國際貿(mào)易[J];中國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟;2001年05期

3 蔣國瑞;臧國軍;;技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘預(yù)警指標新思考[J];國際經(jīng)貿(mào)探索;2007年10期

4 郭燕;;入世10年中國紡織品服裝出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展特征分析[J];紡織導(dǎo)報;2012年01期

5 曾凡銀;綠色壁壘的風(fēng)險預(yù)警與防范機制研究[J];經(jīng)濟研究參考;2005年75期

6 王江;龔麗;;中國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘預(yù)警指標探討[J];經(jīng)濟與管理研究;2006年04期

7 魏建良;謝陽群;;技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘及其預(yù)警機制研究[J];科學(xué)管理研究;2006年01期

8 趙瑞瑩;楊學(xué)成;;農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價格風(fēng)險預(yù)警模型的建立與應(yīng)用——基于BP人工神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)[J];農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化研究;2008年02期

9 魏建良;謝陽群;;技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘的預(yù)警信息管理研究[J];情報科學(xué);2007年02期

10 吳興華;;構(gòu)建紡織品綠色貿(mào)易壁壘預(yù)警系統(tǒng)[J];商場現(xiàn)代化;2007年01期

，

本文編號：2432784