【摘要】：低碳背景下,電力行業(yè)作為最大的碳排放源,必須肩負起節(jié)能減排主力軍的重任,所以,構建低碳電力系統(tǒng)是電力行業(yè)的必然選擇。由于“碳鎖定效應”的存在,要構建低碳電力系統(tǒng),其首要前提是要實現(xiàn)電力系統(tǒng)的科學合理規(guī)劃。傳統(tǒng)的電源與電網(wǎng)分立規(guī)劃模式已不適應電力系統(tǒng)發(fā)展趨勢,更具低碳特性的廠網(wǎng)協(xié)調(diào)規(guī)劃模式將逐漸取代原有規(guī)劃模式。電力規(guī)劃模式、低碳技術以及碳排放政策等是構建低碳電力系統(tǒng)的內(nèi)外部驅(qū)動因素,但對低碳電力系統(tǒng)潛在的效益進行系統(tǒng)評估將能極大地推動低碳電力系統(tǒng)的建設與發(fā)展。 本文采用系統(tǒng)動力學方法對廠網(wǎng)協(xié)調(diào)規(guī)劃模式下低碳電力系統(tǒng)的效益實施評估。首先研究了廠網(wǎng)協(xié)調(diào)規(guī)劃模式與低碳電力系統(tǒng)的構建。著重分析了低碳要素的引入對電力規(guī)劃的影響,并對廠網(wǎng)協(xié)調(diào)規(guī)劃模式進行了界定,從發(fā)電側(cè)、電網(wǎng)側(cè)和用電側(cè)3個角度闡述了構建低碳電力系統(tǒng)的途徑；其次,基于低碳電力系統(tǒng)效益的分解構建了效益評估指標體系,比較了不同效益評估方法的優(yōu)劣,并基于系統(tǒng)動力學方法,給出了低碳電力系統(tǒng)效益評估的總體因果循環(huán)圖；第三,從發(fā)電側(cè)、電網(wǎng)側(cè)和用電側(cè)3個環(huán)節(jié)構建了低碳電力系統(tǒng)效益評估模型；最后,以福建省為對象,測算了2011-2020年福建省建設低碳電力系統(tǒng)獲得的經(jīng)濟效益、碳減排效益和社會效益。 研究結果表明,廠網(wǎng)協(xié)調(diào)規(guī)劃模式下的低碳電力系統(tǒng)具有顯著的綜合效益。這有利于人們充分認識到低碳電力系統(tǒng)各方面潛在的效益,提高相關投資方對低碳電力系統(tǒng)的投資力度,從而加快低碳電力系統(tǒng)的建設步伐。
[Abstract]:Under the low carbon background, the electric power industry, as the largest carbon emission source, must shoulder the main task of energy saving and emission reduction. Therefore, the construction of low-carbon power system is the inevitable choice of the power industry. Because of the "carbon locking effect", the most important prerequisite to build a low-carbon power system is to realize the scientific and reasonable planning of the power system. The traditional power supply and grid separation planning model is not suitable for the development trend of power system. The more low-carbon power plant and grid coordination planning model will gradually replace the original planning model. The power planning mode, low-carbon technology and carbon emission policy are the internal and external driving factors to construct low-carbon power system. However, systematic evaluation of the potential benefits of low-carbon power system will greatly promote the construction and development of low-carbon power system. In this paper, the system dynamics method is used to evaluate the efficiency of low carbon power system under the coordinated power plant planning model. Firstly, the coordinated planning model of power plant and network and the construction of low-carbon power system are studied. The influence of the introduction of low carbon elements on power planning is analyzed emphatically, and the coordinated planning mode of power plant and power network is defined, and the way of constructing low carbon power system is expounded from three angles: generation side, grid side and power side. Secondly, based on the decomposition of low carbon power system benefit, the benefit evaluation index system is constructed, and the advantages and disadvantages of different benefit evaluation methods are compared. Based on the system dynamics method, the overall causality cycle diagram of low carbon power system benefit evaluation is given. Thirdly, a low carbon power system benefit evaluation model is constructed from three links: generation side, grid side and power side. Finally, taking Fujian Province as an example, the economic benefit, carbon emission reduction benefit and social benefit obtained from the construction of low-carbon power system in Fujian Province from 2011-2020 are calculated. The results show that the low carbon power system under the coordinated power plant planning model has significant comprehensive benefits. This will help people fully realize the potential benefits of low-carbon power system and enhance the investment of relevant investors in low-carbon power system, so as to speed up the construction of low-carbon power system.
【學位授予單位】：華北電力大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F426.61

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 賀紅波;楊洪明;竺琳;胡衛(wèi)東;;電力市場發(fā)電投資的系統(tǒng)動力學模型[J];電力科學與技術學報;2008年01期

2 曾鳴;田廓;;智能用電措施的成本效益分析[J];能源技術經(jīng)濟;2011年01期

3 全生明;盧鍵明;謝傳勝;曾鳴;田廓;;需求側(cè)響應機制的國際經(jīng)驗及對我國的啟示[J];電力需求側(cè)管理;2009年02期

4 周安石,康重慶,洪元瑞,黃俊輝,張謙;電力工業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的統(tǒng)一規(guī)劃模型[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2005年07期

5 陳啟鑫;康重慶;夏清;周意誠;橫山隆一;;電力行業(yè)低碳化的關鍵要素分析及其對電源規(guī)劃的影響[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2009年15期

6 周景宏;胡兆光;田建偉;肖瀟;;電力綜合資源戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃模型與應用[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2010年11期

7 岳嵐;;低碳經(jīng)濟發(fā)展趨勢與CO_2減排形勢的動態(tài)分析[J];遼寧工程技術大學學報(自然科學版);2010年01期

8 謝傳勝;董達鵬;段凱彥;李娜;曾鳴;;基于層次分析法-距離協(xié)調(diào)度的低碳電源電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃協(xié)調(diào)度評價[J];電網(wǎng)技術;2012年11期

9 梁周;傅渝潔;楊鵬舉;張怡;曾鳴;田廓;;考慮跨區(qū)省輸電的綜合資源規(guī)劃模型與實證研究[J];華東電力;2009年09期

10 褚景春;傅渝潔;張怡;楊鵬舉;盧鍵明;曾鳴;田廓;章欣;;考慮減排成本的綜合資源規(guī)劃模型與實證研究[J];華東電力;2009年11期

相關碩士學位論文 前3條

1 魏志恒;市場條件下電源和電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃協(xié)調(diào)問題的研究[D];華北電力大學（北京）;2006年

2 劉凡;抽水蓄能電站動態(tài)效益評估方法研究[D];華中科技大學;2008年

3 石舒婭;基于系統(tǒng)動力學的電動汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展模式研究[D];武漢理工大學;2010年

，

本文編號：2304123