【摘要】：農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)及其影響因素問題一直都是社會(huì)各界重點(diǎn)關(guān)注和研究的領(lǐng)域。不同的歷史時(shí)期,不同的發(fā)展環(huán)境,影響農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的因素也在逐步發(fā)生變化。在我國(guó)提出“四化同步”發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的背景下,研究影響四川省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要因素都有哪些,對(duì)有力推進(jìn)四川省農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化進(jìn)程,提升農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平,具有深遠(yuǎn)的意義。 本文共分為五個(gè)部分：第一部分主要介紹了本文的研究背景、意義和研究方法,對(duì)相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)和理論進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)地歸納整理；第二部分主要從農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)出總量和農(nóng)業(yè)人均產(chǎn)出兩方面,分析了農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)狀況,對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)做了實(shí)證預(yù)測(cè)分析；第三部分和第四部分分別從內(nèi)生性因素方面和外生性因素方面分析了影響農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的因素,接著構(gòu)建了柯布-道格拉斯農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)函數(shù),對(duì)影響四川省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的內(nèi)生性因素和外生性因素進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析；第五部分主要內(nèi)容為在前面分析的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了促使農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的可行性對(duì)策建議。 本文的主要結(jié)論包括：(1)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)估計(jì)模型顯示,農(nóng)業(yè)人均產(chǎn)出的增長(zhǎng)速度要高于農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)出總量的增長(zhǎng)速度。(2)內(nèi)生性影響因素里,物質(zhì)資本和技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)四川省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)作用明顯。它們是推動(dòng)四川省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的主要因素。值得注意的是,人力資本對(duì)四川省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)起負(fù)向作用。土地對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響不顯著。(2)在外生性影響因素方面,農(nóng)村居民家庭人均生活消費(fèi)和農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)的全社會(huì)固定資產(chǎn)投資對(duì)四川省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)產(chǎn)生正方向影響。農(nóng)村居民家庭人均生活消費(fèi)比農(nóng)林牧漁業(yè)的全社會(huì)固定資產(chǎn)投資對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響更顯著。非國(guó)有企業(yè)工業(yè)總值占工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值比重對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響為正方向,這說(shuō)明市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)越發(fā)達(dá),越有利于農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。 本文提出的對(duì)策建議包括五個(gè)方面：積極引導(dǎo)農(nóng)民增加農(nóng)業(yè)投入；加大對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)的科技支持力度；不斷提高農(nóng)業(yè)從業(yè)人員素質(zhì)；把控好財(cái)政支農(nóng)總量和結(jié)構(gòu)；繼續(xù)強(qiáng)化農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)制度創(chuàng)新。
[Abstract]:Agricultural economic growth and its influencing factors have always been the focus of attention and research in all walks of life. Different historical periods, different development environment, factors affecting agricultural economic growth are also gradually changing. Under the background of the development strategy of the "four modernizations" proposed by our country, the main factors that affect the agricultural economic growth in Sichuan Province are studied, so as to promote the agricultural modernization process of Sichuan Province and promote the level of rural economic development. Have far-reaching significance. This paper is divided into five parts: the first part mainly introduces the research background, significance and research methods, and systematically summarizes the relevant literature and theory; The second part mainly from the agricultural output gross and the agricultural per capita output two aspects, has analyzed the agriculture economic growth situation, has made the demonstration forecast analysis to the agricultural economic growth; The third part and the fourth part analyze the factors that affect the agricultural economic growth from the aspects of endogenous factors and exogenous factors respectively, and then construct the Cobb-Douglas agricultural production function. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the endogenous and exogenous factors that affect the agricultural economic growth in Sichuan Province. The fifth part mainly discusses the feasibility countermeasures and suggestions to promote the agricultural economic growth on the basis of the previous analysis. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the growth rate of agricultural per capita output is higher than that of total agricultural output. (2) among the endogenous factors, the growth rate of per capita agricultural output is higher than that of total agricultural output. Material capital and technology progress to Sichuan province agriculture economy growth effect is obvious. They are the main factor that stimulates Sichuan province agriculture economy to grow. It is worth noting that human capital plays a negative role in Sichuan's agricultural economic growth. The influence of land on agricultural economic growth is not significant. (2) in terms of exogenous factors, the per capita living consumption of rural households and the fixed assets investment of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry have a positive impact on the agricultural and economic growth in Sichuan Province. The per capita living consumption of rural households is more significant than the total fixed assets investment of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery on the agricultural economic growth. The proportion of the total industrial value of non-state-owned enterprises to the total industrial output value has a positive effect on the agricultural economic growth, which indicates that the more developed the market economy, the more favorable the agricultural economic growth. The countermeasures and suggestions in this paper include five aspects: to actively guide farmers to increase agricultural input, to increase scientific and technological support for agriculture, to continuously improve the quality of agricultural practitioners, to control the total amount and structure of financial support to agriculture; We will continue to strengthen innovation in the agricultural management system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：四川農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F427

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