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產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚對中國制造業(yè)企業(yè)出口行為的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-10-11 11:42
【摘要】:改革開放以來,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)經(jīng)歷了“奇跡般的增長”,特別是中國的對外貿(mào)易的發(fā)展壯大(無論是總量還是增速),與此同時(shí),中國企業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚現(xiàn)象也表現(xiàn)的尤為突出。本文試圖從經(jīng)濟(jì)地理集聚的角度為解答中國制造業(yè)出口快速增長之謎提供答案。從本質(zhì)上來說,產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚是一種外部規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì),出口企業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚可以有效地降低集聚區(qū)內(nèi)企業(yè)的交易成本或者生產(chǎn)成本,進(jìn)而有利于集聚區(qū)內(nèi)的出口企業(yè)消除沉沒成本的阻礙,提高進(jìn)入出口市場的概率,加大出口的份額。 為了細(xì)化分析產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚對中國制造業(yè)出口行為的影響,本文做了三個(gè)方面的工作:一是采用微觀層面的數(shù)據(jù)來克服使用宏觀數(shù)據(jù)時(shí)可能產(chǎn)生的“合成偏誤”:二是采用LP半?yún)?shù)估計(jì)方法來克服生產(chǎn)率估計(jì)的選擇性偏誤和聯(lián)立性偏誤;三是測度集聚程度時(shí)采用EG指數(shù)以控制企業(yè)規(guī)模的影響。 本文運(yùn)用probit模型和tobit模型對中國制造業(yè)2000年~2007年60多萬企業(yè)混合面板數(shù)據(jù)的出口傾向和出口強(qiáng)度分別進(jìn)行估計(jì),結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn):產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚對制造業(yè)企業(yè)的出口概率和出口強(qiáng)度均產(chǎn)生顯著的正向影響,并且對企業(yè)的出口傾向和出口強(qiáng)度的邊際效應(yīng)為正;進(jìn)一步地,產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚對企業(yè)出口概率和已出口企業(yè)的出口強(qiáng)度的促進(jìn)作用略低于企業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率對企業(yè)出口行為的影響。企業(yè)前一期的全要素生產(chǎn)率、企業(yè)規(guī)模、人力資本、沉沒成本及外資產(chǎn)權(quán)性質(zhì)等因素對制造業(yè)企業(yè)出口行為都有著顯著地正向影響,而國有性質(zhì)產(chǎn)權(quán)屬性對出口行為影響則為負(fù),企業(yè)年齡對出口傾向的影響顯著為負(fù),但對出口強(qiáng)度的影響則是顯著為正。而且上述因素對異質(zhì)性企業(yè)出口行為的影響存在著區(qū)域差異和產(chǎn)業(yè)差異。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has experienced "miraculous growth", especially the development and growth of China's foreign trade (whether the total or the growth rate). At the same time, the phenomenon of industrial agglomeration of Chinese enterprises is particularly prominent. This paper attempts to provide an answer to the riddle of the rapid growth of China's manufacturing exports from the point of view of economic geographical agglomeration. In essence, industrial agglomeration is an external economy of scale. The industrial agglomeration of export enterprises can effectively reduce the transaction or production costs of enterprises in the agglomeration area. Thus, the export enterprises in the agglomeration area can eliminate the hindrance of sunk cost, increase the probability of entering the export market and increase the share of export. In order to analyze the impact of industrial agglomeration on the export behavior of China's manufacturing industry, This paper has done three aspects of work: one is to use microcosmic data to overcome the "composite bias" that may occur when using macro data; the other is to use LP semi-parameter estimation method to overcome the selective bias of productivity estimation. Error and simultaneous bias; Third, to measure the degree of agglomeration using EG index to control the impact of enterprise size. In this paper, probit model and tobit model are used to estimate the export tendency and export intensity of more than 600,000 enterprises in China from 2000 to 2007. The results show that industrial agglomeration has a significant positive effect on the export probability and export intensity of manufacturing enterprises, and the marginal effect on export tendency and export intensity is positive. The effect of industrial agglomeration on export probability and export intensity of export enterprises is slightly lower than that of total factor productivity (TFP) on export behavior. The factors such as total factor productivity, enterprise size, human capital, sunk cost and property right of foreign capital have significant positive effects on the export behavior of manufacturing enterprises in the previous period. On the other hand, the property attribute of state-owned property has negative influence on export behavior, the influence of enterprise age on export tendency is negative, but the influence on export intensity is significant positive. Moreover, there are regional differences and industrial differences in the influence of these factors on the export behavior of heterogeneous enterprises.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:大連理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F752.62;F425

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