【摘要】：2012年隨著我國(guó)《風(fēng)電發(fā)展“十二五”規(guī)劃》的出臺(tái),明確了未來(lái)風(fēng)電發(fā)展目標(biāo),到2015年并網(wǎng)裝機(jī)容量達(dá)到1億千瓦,到2020年裝機(jī)容量達(dá)到2億千萬(wàn),從規(guī)劃的內(nèi)容中我們可以清晰的看出國(guó)家對(duì)風(fēng)電能源產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的重視。與此同時(shí),2012年,隨著我國(guó)風(fēng)電裝機(jī)快速增長(zhǎng),局部地區(qū)電網(wǎng)棄風(fēng)限電現(xiàn)象嚴(yán)重,據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)全國(guó)棄風(fēng)電量總計(jì)約200億千瓦時(shí),許多與風(fēng)電相關(guān)企業(yè)出現(xiàn)了虧損或利潤(rùn)大幅降低,引起了國(guó)家電力行業(yè)對(duì)于風(fēng)電發(fā)展的高度重視。 在可再生能源中,風(fēng)電是目前技術(shù)最成熟、最具規(guī)模化開(kāi)發(fā)條件和商業(yè)化運(yùn)維的新能源。特別是在減排溫室氣體、應(yīng)對(duì)全球氣候變暖的形勢(shì)下,受到世界各國(guó)的關(guān)注�！笆晃濉睍r(shí)期,我國(guó)風(fēng)電得到了快速發(fā)展,裝機(jī)容量連續(xù)增長(zhǎng),并在局部地區(qū)實(shí)現(xiàn)了大規(guī)模風(fēng)電并網(wǎng),但隨著風(fēng)電裝機(jī)容量的快速增長(zhǎng),局部地區(qū)或電網(wǎng)出現(xiàn)調(diào)峰調(diào)頻困難、風(fēng)電的利用小時(shí)數(shù)下降、風(fēng)電棄風(fēng)限電現(xiàn)象時(shí)有發(fā)生等問(wèn)題,導(dǎo)致風(fēng)電接納能力成為制約風(fēng)電可持續(xù)健康發(fā)展的重要因素。 本文從寧東地區(qū)風(fēng)電接納能力計(jì)算入手,分析統(tǒng)計(jì)寧東地區(qū)風(fēng)力資源現(xiàn)狀、風(fēng)力發(fā)電特性、電源結(jié)構(gòu)、調(diào)峰情況等影響風(fēng)電可接納能力的因素,充分考慮風(fēng)電特性對(duì)調(diào)峰影響的基礎(chǔ)上,計(jì)算寧東地區(qū)風(fēng)電接納能力。同時(shí)利用成本效益分析工具,對(duì)寧東地區(qū)風(fēng)電接納的成本和效益進(jìn)行分析,并給計(jì)算結(jié)論：在2017年,寧東風(fēng)電接納的邊際效益等于邊際成本時(shí),寧東地區(qū)風(fēng)力資源得到最大限度的利用,反之則造成風(fēng)電投資的浪費(fèi)。本文對(duì)寧東地區(qū)風(fēng)力發(fā)電的可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供技術(shù)支持,對(duì)電網(wǎng)企業(yè)發(fā)展規(guī)劃寧東地區(qū)電網(wǎng)建設(shè)有指導(dǎo)意義,對(duì)于發(fā)電企業(yè)無(wú)序開(kāi)發(fā)風(fēng)電資源給予風(fēng)險(xiǎn)提示。
[Abstract]:With the introduction of the 12th Five-Year Plan of Wind Power Development in China in 2012, the future wind power development target has been defined. By 2015, the connected grid installed capacity will reach 100 million kilowatts, and by 2020, the installed capacity will reach 200 million. From the content of the plan we can clearly see the country's attention to the development of wind energy industry. At the same time, in 2012, with the rapid growth of wind power installation in China, the phenomenon of abandoned wind and limited power in local power grids is serious. According to statistics, the total amount of abandoned wind power in the whole country is about 20 billion kilowatt-hours, many wind power-related enterprises have suffered losses or profits have decreased substantially. Has caused the national electric power profession to the wind power development high attention. In renewable energy, wind power is the most mature technology, the most large-scale development conditions and commercial operation and maintenance of new energy. Especially in the situation of reducing greenhouse gases and dealing with global warming, the world pays close attention to it. During the 11th Five-Year Plan period, wind power in China has been developed rapidly, the installed capacity has been continuously increased, and large-scale wind power grid has been realized in local areas. However, with the rapid growth of wind power installed capacity, it is difficult to adjust peak frequency and frequency in local areas or power grids. The decrease in the number of hours of wind power utilization and the frequent occurrence of wind power abandonment and power limit lead to the wind power acceptance ability becoming an important factor restricting the sustainable and healthy development of wind power. Starting with the calculation of wind power acceptance capacity in Ningdong area, this paper analyzes the factors that affect the wind power acceptability, such as the current situation of wind power resources, the characteristics of wind power generation, the power supply structure, the peak shaving situation, etc. On the basis of fully considering the influence of wind power characteristics on peak shaving, the wind power acceptance capacity in Ningdong area is calculated. At the same time, using the cost-benefit analysis tool, the paper analyzes the cost and benefit of wind power acceptance in Ningdong area, and gives the calculation conclusion: in 2017, when the marginal benefit of Ningfeng power admission is equal to the marginal cost, The wind power resources in Ningdong area are utilized to the maximum extent, otherwise the wind power investment is wasted. This paper provides technical support for the sustainable development of wind power generation in Ningdong area, has guiding significance for the grid construction in Ningdong area, and gives a risk hint for the disorderly development of wind power resources in power generation enterprises.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F426.61;TM614

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