【摘要】：能源成本變化對工業(yè)行業(yè)的影響到底如何在理論界一直存有爭議�；谛陆�(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論的機(jī)制分析表明,能源價(jià)格和能源效率通過影響全要素生產(chǎn)率最終抑制行業(yè)發(fā)展,而且由于行業(yè)異質(zhì)性的存在,能源成本對行業(yè)發(fā)展的影響程度在不同行業(yè)間具有明顯差異�；谥袊�1993-2011年36個(gè)工業(yè)行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證研究表明,能源成本變化對行業(yè)增加值的增長率具有顯著影響,能源價(jià)格彈性為-0.251,而能源密集型行業(yè)的能源價(jià)格彈性為-0.354。理論和實(shí)證分析均顯示,提高能源使用成本的節(jié)能減排政策勢必影響工業(yè)行業(yè)的發(fā)展,制定這類政策時(shí)需要在節(jié)能減排和行業(yè)發(fā)展之間進(jìn)行權(quán)衡,只有有效提高能源技術(shù)才能達(dá)到"雙贏"。
[Abstract]:The impact of energy cost changes on the industrial sector has been controversial in the theoretical circle. The mechanism analysis based on the new economic growth theory shows that energy prices and energy efficiency ultimately inhibit the development of the industry by affecting total factor productivity, and because of the existence of industry heterogeneity, The influence of energy cost on industry development is obviously different from industry to industry. An empirical study based on panel data of 36 industrial industries in China from 1993 to 2011 shows that the change of energy cost has a significant impact on the growth rate of industry value added. The energy price elasticity is -0.251, while the energy price elasticity of energy-intensive industries is -0.354. Both theoretical and empirical analysis show that energy conservation and emission reduction policies that increase energy use costs will inevitably affect the development of industrial industries, and that when formulating such policies, the trade-off between energy conservation and industry development is needed. Only by effectively improving energy technology can we achieve "win-win".
【作者單位】： 首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;北京師范大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與工商管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：教育部人文社科研究青年項(xiàng)目(13YJC790119) 北京市社會科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目(14JGC111) 國家自然科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目(71403024) 教育部人文社會科學(xué)研究規(guī)劃基金項(xiàng)目(14YJA790001)
【分類號】：F406.7;F424

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