印度能源安全戰(zhàn)略評(píng)析
本文選題:能源戰(zhàn)略 + 能源安全; 參考:《南京大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:能源安全是一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)安全的重要方面,長(zhǎng)期以來受到國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)界的廣泛關(guān)注。現(xiàn)代能源安全理論認(rèn)為能源安全狀態(tài)是4A的統(tǒng)一,即物質(zhì)上的存在性(available、地緣政治上的可獲取性(accessible)、經(jīng)濟(jì)上的可支付性(affordable)以及環(huán)境上的可承受性(acceptable)、每個(gè)維度最終展現(xiàn)為一系列的統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo)。然而對(duì)能源安全的各個(gè)維度的刻畫并不應(yīng)僅限于最終一系列的統(tǒng)計(jì)公式,還要對(duì)每一個(gè)維度背后的思想源泉梳理、歸納,真正將能源安全的概念史凸顯出來,才能建構(gòu)出適合于某一國(guó)家的能源安全評(píng)價(jià)體系,對(duì)一國(guó)的能源安全狀況科學(xué)測(cè)評(píng),顯示出一國(guó)的能源不安全程度。解決能源安全問題不能僅依靠國(guó)際能源市場(chǎng),根本上依賴于國(guó)家有目的的能源安全大戰(zhàn)略。大戰(zhàn)略可分為國(guó)內(nèi)戰(zhàn)略與國(guó)際戰(zhàn)略兩部分,國(guó)內(nèi)戰(zhàn)略是根本,國(guó)際戰(zhàn)略應(yīng)放在為國(guó)內(nèi)戰(zhàn)略服務(wù)的角度理解。印度整體能源安全戰(zhàn)略的形成與發(fā)展有其自身的邏輯,由于自身財(cái)力與決策機(jī)制的限制,其與東道國(guó)國(guó)有能源公司的合作,與西方國(guó)際能源公司的合作,以及與新型工業(yè)化國(guó)家國(guó)有石油公司的合作必不可免,合作對(duì)于印度來說幾乎是一個(gè)必須的選項(xiàng)。當(dāng)然“中國(guó)因素”在印度的非洲能源安全戰(zhàn)略討論中是一個(gè)特殊而又重要的話題,面對(duì)與其利益訴求相似而體量更大,擁有更大決策的中國(guó)能源企業(yè),印度當(dāng)前在擔(dān)憂之余又急切的希望能夠避免同中國(guó)交鋒。 印度目前的能源安全問題尚處于起步階段,未來會(huì)日益加劇,可能將在2030年左右達(dá)到頂峰。為了應(yīng)對(duì)未來二十年的能源危機(jī),印度政府有意識(shí)地制訂了國(guó)內(nèi)龐大的能源發(fā)展規(guī)劃,從常規(guī)能源到新能源,涉及面廣、需求量大,以抵御國(guó)際能源的供需格局變動(dòng)帶來的沖擊。當(dāng)前印度政府的能源戰(zhàn)略更多地偏向于優(yōu)先保障國(guó)內(nèi)能源的有效供給和能源來源多元化程度等方面,但從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)考慮對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)層面和環(huán)境層面的關(guān)注仍然必不可少?傊,印度能源安全戰(zhàn)略的形成與發(fā)展有其自身的邏輯,積極與印方的能源戰(zhàn)略相協(xié)調(diào),對(duì)于中國(guó)自身的能源安全或許也是有利的。國(guó)家間的合作需要?jiǎng)?wù)實(shí)的安全觀念,只要雙方能夠保持開放的心態(tài),可以預(yù)見中印雙方的能源合作不僅會(huì)繼續(xù)走下去,而起有可能發(fā)展出一套機(jī)制,為新興大國(guó)間在資源分配領(lǐng)域的合作樹立榜樣。
[Abstract]:Energy security is an important aspect of a country's economic security, which has been widely concerned by scholars at home and abroad for a long time. Modern energy security theory holds that the state of energy security is the unity of 4A. That is, material existence is available, geopolitical accessibility is accessible, economic affordability is affordable, and environmental affordability is acceptable, and each dimension is ultimately presented as a series of statistical indicators. However, the depiction of each dimension of energy security should not only be limited to a series of final statistical formulas, but also comb the source of thought behind each dimension, sum up, and truly highlight the history of the concept of energy security. In order to construct an energy security evaluation system suitable for a certain country, the scientific evaluation of a country's energy security situation shows the degree of energy insecurity of a country. To solve the problem of energy security, we should not only rely on the international energy market, but also rely on the national energy security strategy. Grand strategy can be divided into domestic strategy and international strategy. Domestic strategy is the fundamental and international strategy should be understood from the angle of serving domestic strategy. The formation and development of India's overall energy security strategy has its own logic. Due to the limitations of its own financial resources and decision-making mechanisms, India cooperates with the host state energy companies and with the western international energy companies. And a deal with new-industrialised state-owned oil companies that is almost a necessary option for India. Of course, the "China factor" is a special and important topic in India's discussions on energy security in Africa. In the face of Chinese energy enterprises with larger and larger interests and similar interests, India is worried and eager to avoid confrontation with China. India's current energy security problem is still in its infancy and is likely to peak around 2030. In order to cope with the energy crisis in the next two decades, the Indian government has consciously drawn up a huge domestic energy development plan, ranging from conventional energy to new energy, which involves a wide range of areas and is in great demand. In order to withstand the international energy supply and demand pattern changes brought about by the impact. The current energy strategy of the Indian government is more biased towards ensuring effective domestic energy supply and the degree of diversification of energy sources, but it is still necessary to focus on the economic and environmental aspects in the long run. In short, the formation and development of India's energy security strategy has its own logic, and positive coordination with India's energy strategy may be beneficial to China's own energy security. Cooperation between countries requires a pragmatic concept of security. As long as the two sides maintain an open mind, it can be foreseen that the energy cooperation between China and India will not only continue, but also develop a mechanism. Set an example for cooperation among emerging powers in the field of resource allocation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:南京大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F435.1;F206
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