我國生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)效率評價及改進途徑研究
本文選題:生物質(zhì)發(fā)電 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)效率; 參考:《華北電力大學》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:隨著化石能源的不斷減少,能源問題成為了嚴重制約世界各國經(jīng)濟和社會發(fā)展的重要因素。我國作為人口眾多的發(fā)展中國家,能源相對較貧乏,加之我國經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長,工業(yè)化及城市化進程的不斷加快,能源產(chǎn)出和消耗之間的缺口會逐漸加大。作為易儲存的可再生能源,生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)越來越受到世界各個國家的關(guān)注,該產(chǎn)業(yè)也成為了具有發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ男屡d產(chǎn)業(yè)。開發(fā)生物質(zhì)發(fā)電不僅能夠緩解能源供應(yīng)危機、優(yōu)化能源結(jié)構(gòu),還能產(chǎn)生明顯的碳排放減少及環(huán)境改善效果。 與水電、核電、風電及光伏發(fā)電等新能源發(fā)電形式相比,我國生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)起步較晚,市場化程度較低,屬于能源領(lǐng)域的新興產(chǎn)業(yè),但是我國的生物質(zhì)儲量豐富,有大規(guī)模發(fā)展的前景。 論文在總結(jié)我國生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上,選擇具有產(chǎn)業(yè)代表性的廠商,以裝機容量、總投資額、年燃料消耗量作為輸入變量,反應(yīng)技術(shù)、資金和資源方面的投入,以年發(fā)電量、年減排量、年節(jié)約標煤量為輸出變量,反映行業(yè)生產(chǎn)、環(huán)境和節(jié)能方面的產(chǎn)出。收集2011年最新廠商數(shù)據(jù),通過DEA中的規(guī)模報酬可變模型和權(quán)重約束模型對廠商的生產(chǎn)效率進行評價,并以廠商效率的集合作為評價產(chǎn)業(yè)效率的依據(jù)。 綜合DEA的評價結(jié)果,論文采用投影值分析和規(guī)模效應(yīng)分析法,以規(guī)模報酬可變模型的評價結(jié)果為基礎(chǔ),探討了如何從微觀層面提高廠商的生產(chǎn)效率,進而提高整個產(chǎn)業(yè)的資源配置效率。還進一步從宏觀角度,分析影響我國生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)的主要因素,并針對這些因素提出相應(yīng)改進措施,提出了一些技術(shù)、電價和綠色交易證書等方面的政策,使我國生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)能夠在實證的基礎(chǔ)上,制定合理的生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展規(guī)劃,一方面加快生物質(zhì)發(fā)電產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展進程,另一方面避免在發(fā)展進程中偏離最佳發(fā)展路徑。
[Abstract]:With the decrease of fossil energy, the energy problem has become an important factor that restricts the economic and social development of countries in the world. As a developing country with a large population, our country is relatively poor in energy resources. In addition, the gap between energy output and consumption will be gradually enlarged due to the sustained economic growth and the acceleration of industrialization and urbanization. As a renewable energy, biomass power generation industry has attracted more and more attention from all over the world, and has become a new industry with potential development. The development of biomass power generation can not only alleviate the crisis of energy supply, optimize the energy structure, but also produce significant carbon emission reduction and environmental improvement. Compared with new forms of energy generation, such as hydropower, nuclear power, wind power and photovoltaic power generation, The biomass power generation industry in China starts late and has a low degree of marketization. It belongs to the emerging industry in the field of energy, but the biomass reserves are abundant in our country. On the basis of summing up the present situation of biomass power generation industry in China, the paper selects the representative manufacturers, taking the installed capacity, total investment, annual fuel consumption as input variables, reaction technology, Investment in capital and resources, with annual electricity generation, annual emission reduction and annual saving of standard coal as output variables, reflecting the output of the industry in terms of production, environment and energy conservation. This paper collects the latest firm data in 2011, evaluates the production efficiency of the firm through the variable scale reward model and the weight constraint model in DEA, and takes the set of the firm efficiency as the basis to evaluate the industrial efficiency. Using projection value analysis and scale effect analysis, based on the evaluation results of variable scale reward model, this paper discusses how to improve the production efficiency of manufacturers from the micro level, and then improve the resource allocation efficiency of the whole industry. Furthermore, from the macro perspective, the main factors affecting the biomass power generation industry in China are analyzed, and the corresponding improvement measures are put forward, and some policies on technology, electricity price and green trading certificate are put forward. On the one hand, it can speed up the development process of biomass power generation industry, on the other hand, avoid deviating from the best development path in the process of development.
【學位授予單位】:華北電力大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F224;F426.61
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