煤炭企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型的風(fēng)險管理研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-29 09:45
本文選題:煤炭企業(yè) + 戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型; 參考:《華中師范大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:伴隨我國推進(jìn)新型工業(yè)化和城鎮(zhèn)化同步發(fā)展的改革步伐,能源需求將持續(xù)增長且體量龐大。由我國的基本國情所決定,煤炭在未來相當(dāng)長時期作為能源供應(yīng)的基礎(chǔ)地位不會動搖。當(dāng)前國家正處于經(jīng)濟(jì)增速換擋期,在整個煤炭行業(yè)產(chǎn)能過剩、需求疲軟、價格低位徘徊以及國家產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、節(jié)能減排的多重壓力下,煤炭企業(yè)生存面臨嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn),粗放式發(fā)展的弊端明顯暴露出來。本文運用不完全歸納法總結(jié)出煤炭企業(yè)現(xiàn)存的不合時宜之處,然后指出煤炭企業(yè)迫切需要轉(zhuǎn)變發(fā)展方式,主動實施戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型,加快轉(zhuǎn)型部署,向多元化、清潔化、集約化、組織扁平化、集團(tuán)化、國際化的方向轉(zhuǎn)變,這對于提高煤炭企業(yè)發(fā)展質(zhì)量和經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會效益,實現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展有重要現(xiàn)實意義,對于國家的能源安全具有重大戰(zhàn)略意義。在環(huán)境復(fù)雜多變、機(jī)遇與風(fēng)險并存的時代背景下,煤炭企業(yè)的轉(zhuǎn)型革命面臨諸多不確定因素,它們的不利變化或短板將成為制約轉(zhuǎn)型進(jìn)程和成敗的潛在風(fēng)險。鑒于此,本文對煤炭企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型風(fēng)險進(jìn)行了較為系統(tǒng)的研究。首先,根據(jù)戰(zhàn)略風(fēng)險類型的相關(guān)理論,結(jié)合煤炭行業(yè)特點,從宏觀環(huán)境、行業(yè)環(huán)境、企業(yè)內(nèi)部資源、企業(yè)內(nèi)部能力、企業(yè)組織結(jié)構(gòu)等五個維度對風(fēng)險因素進(jìn)行了邏輯分析和推理,識別出引發(fā)風(fēng)險事故的具體風(fēng)險源,據(jù)此建立了由5個一級指標(biāo)、30個二級指標(biāo)構(gòu)成的煤炭企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型的風(fēng)險指標(biāo)體系。其次,運用基于AHP法的模糊數(shù)學(xué)分析方法建立了風(fēng)險的多級模糊綜合評價模型,此法也能對各一級風(fēng)險指標(biāo)進(jìn)行評估,以便于直觀、定量描述轉(zhuǎn)型風(fēng)險。隨后選取了山西某大型煤炭企業(yè)L集團(tuán)為研究案例,在確立其戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型風(fēng)險指標(biāo)體系的基礎(chǔ)上,應(yīng)用該風(fēng)險評價模型得到其風(fēng)險評值屬于一般等級的結(jié)論,并進(jìn)一步判斷出影響L集團(tuán)戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型的一級風(fēng)險指標(biāo)排序從大到小依次為:企業(yè)內(nèi)部資源風(fēng)險宏觀環(huán)境風(fēng)險企業(yè)內(nèi)部能力風(fēng)險行業(yè)環(huán)境風(fēng)險企業(yè)組織結(jié)構(gòu)風(fēng)險,對該企業(yè)重點把握好突出風(fēng)險的管理有一定參考價值。最后,根據(jù)風(fēng)險管理的基本思想,從避免風(fēng)險、轉(zhuǎn)移風(fēng)險、降低風(fēng)險損失、降低風(fēng)險概率等四個角度提出了煤炭企業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型風(fēng)險的防范對策。以上研究結(jié)果對煤炭企業(yè)在實施戰(zhàn)略轉(zhuǎn)型過程中強(qiáng)化風(fēng)險意識、提高風(fēng)險管理能力、有效規(guī)避風(fēng)險,最終確保轉(zhuǎn)型成功有重要意義。
[Abstract]:With the development of new industrialization and urbanization in China, the energy demand will continue to increase and the volume of energy will be huge. Determined by the basic conditions of our country, coal will not be shaken as the basis of energy supply in a long period in the future. At present, the country is in a period of shifting economic growth. Under the pressure of overcapacity, weak demand, low prices, adjustment of the national industrial structure, energy conservation and emission reduction, coal enterprises are facing severe challenges in their survival. The drawback of extensive development is obvious. In this paper, the author sums up the extant anachronism of coal enterprises by using incomplete induction method, and then points out that coal enterprises urgently need to change the mode of development, take the initiative to implement strategic transformation, speed up the transition and deploy, and turn to diversification, cleanness and intensification. It is of great practical significance to improve the development quality and economic and social benefits of coal enterprises and to realize sustainable development, and it is of great strategic significance to national energy security. Under the background of complicated environment and co-existence of opportunity and risk, the transformation revolution of coal enterprises faces many uncertain factors, their unfavorable changes or shortcuts will become the potential risks that restrict the process of transition and the success or failure of the transformation. In view of this, this article carries on the more systematic research to the coal enterprise strategic transformation risk. First of all, according to the relevant theory of strategic risk type, combined with the characteristics of coal industry, from the macro environment, industry environment, enterprise internal resources, enterprise internal capabilities, Five dimensions, such as organizational structure, analyze and infer the risk factors, and identify the specific risk sources that lead to the risk accidents. Based on this, a risk index system of strategic transformation of coal enterprises is established, which is composed of 5 first-grade indexes and 30 second-class indexes. Secondly, the multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of risk is established by using the fuzzy mathematics analysis method based on AHP method. This method can also evaluate the risk index of each level, so as to describe the transition risk directly and quantitatively. Then, a large coal enterprise group L in Shanxi Province is selected as a case study. On the basis of establishing its strategic transition risk index system, the risk evaluation model is applied to obtain the conclusion that its risk evaluation value belongs to the general grade. Furthermore, it is concluded that the ranking of the first-level risk indicators affecting the strategic transformation of L Group is: internal resource risk, macro environmental risk, enterprise internal capability risk, industry environmental risk, enterprise organizational structure risk. It has some reference value to the management of the outstanding risk. Finally, according to the basic idea of risk management, this paper puts forward the countermeasures of coal enterprises' transition risk from four angles: avoiding risk, transferring risk, reducing risk loss and reducing risk probability. The above results are of great significance for coal enterprises to strengthen risk awareness, improve risk management ability, effectively avoid risks and ultimately ensure the success of the transition in the process of implementing strategic transformation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華中師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F272.3;F426.21
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