清潔能源行業(yè)上市公司投資價(jià)值評(píng)估研究
本文選題:清潔能源 + 上市公司; 參考:《中國(guó)地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:能源是人類生存和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的物質(zhì)基礎(chǔ),也是制約可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要因素。隨著世界經(jīng)濟(jì)向低碳環(huán)保方向發(fā)展,各國(guó)紛紛致力于尋找解決能源消費(fèi)帶來的環(huán)境問題的方法,而發(fā)展低碳能源無疑是應(yīng)對(duì)該問題的最佳選擇。隨著循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和低碳技術(shù)的推廣,清潔能源行業(yè)必將不斷發(fā)展壯大成為今后的熱點(diǎn)行業(yè)。 我國(guó)近日出臺(tái)的“十二五”規(guī)劃也提出:到2015年,中國(guó)一次能源消費(fèi)中,非化石能源消費(fèi)的比例達(dá)到11.4%。隨著國(guó)家政策向清潔能源傾斜,一批清潔能源企業(yè)在國(guó)內(nèi)迅速崛起、成長(zhǎng),成為了眾多投資者的關(guān)注對(duì)象,清潔能源上市公司數(shù)量也飛速增長(zhǎng),來自投中集團(tuán)的統(tǒng)計(jì)顯示,光是2010年前三季度,該行業(yè)共有15家企業(yè)實(shí)現(xiàn)IPO,比2009年增長(zhǎng)了近三倍,其中,十一家企業(yè)在國(guó)內(nèi)上市。在清潔能源行業(yè)上市公司數(shù)量激增的情況下,投資者開始對(duì)該行業(yè)是否有“泡沫”產(chǎn)生顧慮,,因此如何從不同角度衡量清潔能源上市公司的投資價(jià)值,盡可能規(guī)避投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn),是眾多投資者共同面臨的難題。 為解決上述問題,本文對(duì)清潔能源行業(yè)上市公司的投資價(jià)值評(píng)估進(jìn)行研究。首先,本文分析了國(guó)內(nèi)外現(xiàn)有的投資價(jià)值評(píng)價(jià)理論(即基本面分析法和技術(shù)分析法),結(jié)合我國(guó)證券市場(chǎng)的實(shí)際情況,選擇基本面分析法作為本文的投資價(jià)值評(píng)估理論基礎(chǔ)。然后,從市場(chǎng)中常用的指標(biāo)著手,結(jié)合我國(guó)清潔能源發(fā)展環(huán)境和新動(dòng)態(tài),從盈利能力、償債能力、成長(zhǎng)能力、資產(chǎn)管理能力、股本擴(kuò)張能力、股本結(jié)構(gòu)六個(gè)方面選取指標(biāo)構(gòu)建評(píng)價(jià)體系,并運(yùn)用主成分分析模型。最后,選取滬深A(yù)股50家清潔能源上市公司的2011年度財(cái)務(wù)報(bào)告數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)其進(jìn)行投資價(jià)值得分的計(jì)算和排名,并選擇其中具有代表性的公司,對(duì)其進(jìn)行具體的投資價(jià)值分析。該評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果可為清潔能源行業(yè)上市公司投資者提供適當(dāng)參考,盡量控制投資風(fēng)險(xiǎn),提高投資收益率。
[Abstract]:Energy is not only the material basis of human existence and economic development, but also an important factor restricting sustainable development. With the development of the world economy towards low-carbon environmental protection, many countries are devoting themselves to finding solutions to the environmental problems caused by energy consumption, and the development of low-carbon energy is undoubtedly the best choice to deal with this problem. With the development of recycling economy and the promotion of low-carbon technology, clean energy industry will continue to grow and become a hot industry in the future. According to the 12th Five-Year Plan of China, by 2015, the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption in primary energy consumption in China will reach 11.4%. With the national policy in favour of clean energy, a number of clean energy enterprises have rapidly risen and grown in China, which has become the focus of many investors. The number of clean energy listed companies has also increased rapidly, according to statistics from the capitalizing group. In the first three quarters of 2010 alone, there were 15 IPOs in the industry, nearly three times more than in 2009, with 11 listed domestically. Given the surge in the number of listed companies in the clean energy industry, investors are starting to worry about whether there is a "bubble" in the industry, so how to measure the investment value of clean energy listed companies from different angles and avoid investment risks as much as possible. Is a common problem faced by many investors. In order to solve the above problems, this paper studies the investment value evaluation of listed companies in clean energy industry. First of all, this paper analyzes the existing investment value evaluation theories at home and abroad (namely, the fundamental analysis method and the technical analysis method), and selects the fundamental analysis method as the theoretical basis of the investment value evaluation in the light of the actual situation of our country's securities market. Then, starting from the commonly used indicators in the market, combining the clean energy development environment and new developments in our country, we can start with profitability, solvency, growth capacity, asset management ability, equity expansion ability, Six aspects of equity structure are selected to construct the evaluation system, and principal component analysis model is used. Finally, we select 50 listed companies of Shanghai and Shenzhen A shares to calculate and rank their investment value in 2011 annual financial report data, and select representative companies to analyze their investment value. The evaluation results can provide appropriate reference for investors of listed companies in clean energy industry, control investment risk as far as possible, and increase investment return rate.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國(guó)地質(zhì)大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F275;F426.2
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