不同能源成本約束下的生產(chǎn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步與工業(yè)行業(yè)增長
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-21 19:49
本文選題:生產(chǎn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步 切入點(diǎn):工業(yè)行業(yè)產(chǎn)出 出處:《華東經(jīng)濟(jì)管理》2014年08期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:在面臨不同強(qiáng)度的能源成本約束時(shí),工業(yè)行業(yè)部門的生產(chǎn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步與產(chǎn)出增長之間相互關(guān)系如何了?面對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)增長和工業(yè)降能耗的雙重壓力,傳統(tǒng)的以減排為導(dǎo)向的能源政策是否會(huì)陷入兩難境地?為此,文章利用質(zhì)量階梯模型從理論上探討了能源成本、生產(chǎn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步與工業(yè)產(chǎn)出間的作用關(guān)系,并結(jié)合中國工業(yè)分行業(yè)1993-2012年面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證檢驗(yàn),發(fā)現(xiàn)在考慮能源成本約束的前提下,生產(chǎn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)產(chǎn)出增長的影響成非線性化關(guān)系。為了更準(zhǔn)確地描述這一關(guān)系,進(jìn)一步利用Hansen(1999)的門檻回歸方法進(jìn)行了驗(yàn)證,發(fā)現(xiàn)存在著顯著的雙重門檻特征,在強(qiáng)、中、弱三種不同的能源成本約束強(qiáng)度下,生產(chǎn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步的作用系數(shù)呈現(xiàn)出顯著的差異。
[Abstract]:What is the relationship between technological advances in the industrial sector and output growth in the face of energy cost constraints of varying intensities? In the face of the double pressure of steady economic growth and energy consumption reduction in industry, will the traditional emission reduction oriented energy policy be caught in a dilemma? Therefore, using the quality ladder model, the paper theoretically discusses the relationship among energy cost, technological progress and industrial output, and makes an empirical test based on the panel data of China's industrial subsectors from 1993 to 2012. It is found that under the premise of considering the energy cost constraint, the effect of production technology progress on output growth is nonlinear. In order to describe this relationship more accurately, the threshold regression method proposed by Hansenf1999) is further used to verify the effect of production technology progress on output growth. It is found that there are significant double threshold characteristics. Under three different energy cost constraints, the coefficient of action of production technology progress shows significant difference.
【作者單位】: 天水師范學(xué)院經(jīng)濟(jì)與社會(huì)管理學(xué)院;北京師范大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與工商管理學(xué)院;首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目(12CJL034) 教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究項(xiàng)目(13YJC790119) 天水師范學(xué)院中青年教師資助項(xiàng)目(TSA1125)
【分類號(hào)】:F424;F205
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