本文關(guān)鍵詞：人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的影響研究　出處：《上海理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：2008年金融危機(jī)以后，人民幣升值呈現(xiàn)壓力增大的趨勢(shì)。作為我國主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的制造業(yè)，其產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力在人民幣升值壓力下將受到怎樣的影響，成為我們十分關(guān)注的問題。由于現(xiàn)有關(guān)于人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力影響的研究主要集中在出口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力方面，因此,本文通過構(gòu)造我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系，來研究人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的全面影響，具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文主要從理論和實(shí)證兩個(gè)方面研究了人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的影響。首先，本文基于前人對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的定義，總結(jié)提煉得出我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的定義，進(jìn)而結(jié)合金碚的因果分析模型理論，總結(jié)出我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系—三層次因果評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系；其次，在我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力定義的基礎(chǔ)上，本文從理論方面闡述了人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的影響機(jī)理，以及影響途徑；最后，，本文運(yùn)用1994年到2010年的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，借助eviews6.0軟件，通過協(xié)整分析、ECM模型進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究，得出人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的影響是多方面的。人民幣升值有利于我國制造業(yè)生產(chǎn)能力和盈利能力的提高，但由于我國制造業(yè)是以低附加值、低科技含量產(chǎn)品為主，人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)能力的影響是負(fù)面的。 本文結(jié)論是人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的負(fù)面影響主要是由我國落后的制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)所致，因此,本文提出我國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化是改善人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力影響的“凈化器”，即我國制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化可以降低人民幣升值對(duì)我國制造業(yè)國際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的負(fù)面影響，增加正面影響。
[Abstract]:After the financial crisis in 2008, the pressure of RMB appreciation increased. As the leading industry of our country, the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry will be affected under the pressure of RMB appreciation. Since the current research on the impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry is mainly focused on export competitiveness. By constructing the evaluation index system of the international competitiveness of our manufacturing industry, this paper studies the overall impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of our manufacturing industry, which has important theoretical and practical significance. This paper mainly studies the impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry from both theoretical and empirical aspects. Firstly, this paper based on the previous definition of industrial international competitiveness. The definition of international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry is summarized and the evaluation index system of international competitiveness of manufacturing industry in China is summed up by combining the causality analysis model theory of Jinbei and the three-level causality evaluation index system of Chinese manufacturing industry. Secondly, on the basis of the definition of international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry, this paper expounds the influence mechanism of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry and the ways to influence it. Finally, this paper uses the relevant data from 1994 to 2010, with the help of eviews6.0 software, through cointegration analysis of eviews6.0 model for empirical research. It is concluded that the appreciation of RMB has many influences on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry. The appreciation of RMB is beneficial to the improvement of manufacturing capacity and profitability of our country, but because of the low added value of our manufacturing industry. Low-tech products are the main products, and the appreciation of RMB has a negative effect on the competitiveness of our manufacturing market. The conclusion of this paper is that the negative impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry is mainly caused by the backward industrial structure of manufacturing industry in China. This paper points out that the optimization of manufacturing industry structure in China is a "purifier" to improve the impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of Chinese manufacturing industry. The optimization of manufacturing industry structure in China can reduce the negative impact of RMB appreciation on the international competitiveness of our manufacturing industry and increase the positive impact.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6;F424

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