技術(shù)可行到社會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)的時(shí)間跨度——基于日本第9次科技預(yù)見(jiàn)的研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-10 08:19
本文選題:技術(shù)可行 切入點(diǎn):社會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn) 出處:《中國(guó)科技論壇》2015年12期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:本文基于日本第9次科技預(yù)見(jiàn)的726項(xiàng)數(shù)據(jù),發(fā)現(xiàn)技術(shù)可行到社會(huì)實(shí)現(xiàn)時(shí)間跨度約在7年左右;不同領(lǐng)域技術(shù)存在一定差異性,生物和納米技術(shù)、信息、基礎(chǔ)性技術(shù)等領(lǐng)域略長(zhǎng),而環(huán)境、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施等領(lǐng)域的跨度則略短;基于已有技術(shù)整合集成的系統(tǒng)性技術(shù)相對(duì)單項(xiàng)技術(shù),時(shí)間跨度較短。據(jù)此建議,國(guó)家在制定科技和創(chuàng)新領(lǐng)域政策時(shí)要更重視技術(shù)周期,可能需要將科技和創(chuàng)新領(lǐng)域規(guī)劃和評(píng)估周期適度延長(zhǎng),并考慮不同領(lǐng)域和技術(shù)類型的差異性,重大基礎(chǔ)技術(shù)突破更依賴大公司等機(jī)構(gòu)。
[Abstract]:Based on the 726 items of data predicted by Japan's 9th science and technology, it is found that the time span between technology feasibility and social realization is about 7 years, and there are some differences in different fields of technology, such as biology and nanotechnology, information technology, basic technology and so on. On the other hand, the span of environment, infrastructure and other fields is slightly shorter; the time span of systemic technologies based on the integration and integration of existing technologies is shorter than that of individual technologies. Accordingly, it is suggested that countries should pay more attention to the technology cycle when formulating policies in the field of science, technology and innovation. It may be necessary to extend the planning and evaluation cycle of STI, taking into account the differences in different fields and types of technology, and make major technological breakthroughs more dependent on large companies and other institutions.
【作者單位】: 對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)保險(xiǎn)學(xué)院;遼寧大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;中國(guó)科學(xué)院科技政策與管理科學(xué)研究所;
【基金】:中國(guó)科學(xué)院科技政策與管理科學(xué)研究所“一三五”重大研究課題“國(guó)家創(chuàng)新發(fā)展總體思路與路線圖研究”(Y201121Z01)
【分類號(hào)】:G323.13
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本文編號(hào):1592509
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