【摘要】：貧困脆弱性，作為一個描述個體或家庭未來陷入貧困的可能性的前瞻性概念，已經(jīng)成為當(dāng)前貧困研究中的熱點。貧困是一個動態(tài)的過程，目前不處于貧困狀態(tài)的個體或家庭可能因為遭受某種沖擊而在將來陷入貧困，還有一些群體雖然暫時處于貧困狀態(tài)但很快會脫離貧困，當(dāng)然也可能陷入更深的貧困。大量研究表明，貧困人口或低收入人口面臨比一般人更多、更強(qiáng)的風(fēng)險，而且他們抵抗風(fēng)險的能力較弱，更容易受到風(fēng)險的沖擊和影響，在風(fēng)險面前表現(xiàn)得更加脆弱。因此，從脆弱性的角度研究貧困問題，不僅為我們分析貧困成因提供了一個新的視角,而且也為反貧困提供了新的思路。 造成貧困脆弱性沖擊的因素有很多，如收入沖擊、疾病沖擊、物價沖擊等。其中，通貨膨脹作為物價變動的一種最常見表現(xiàn)形式，對低收入群體或貧困群體有著重要影響。自2007年初以來，中國經(jīng)歷了新一輪的通貨膨脹，相關(guān)研究表明，受到物價變化影響最大的往往是低收入人群和貧困家庭，持續(xù)過快的物價上漲抬高了居民的生活成本，嚴(yán)重影響了人民生活水平的提升。這不僅使現(xiàn)有貧困人口變得更加貧困，還會使那些收入位于貧困線附近的非貧困人口重新陷入貧困。通貨膨脹作為重要的外部風(fēng)險之一，應(yīng)該受到反貧困研究者的重視。由于我國的貧困群體主要集中在農(nóng)村，因此本文僅選擇農(nóng)村居民作為研究對象。鑒于此，本文針對通貨膨脹對農(nóng)村貧困脆弱性具有什么樣的影響這個問題展開探討。 本文首先從理論方面確立研究基礎(chǔ)，，通過對國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)資料進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)的分析和梳理，整合貧困脆弱性測度的方法體系；然后在對CHNS數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行整理的基礎(chǔ)上，考慮特定百分位的農(nóng)村居民消費價格指數(shù)，分別計算剔除價格因素前后的貧困脆弱性，并對測度結(jié)果進(jìn)行分析和評估；最后，從性別、年齡、受教育程度三個角度測度了具有不同人口學(xué)特征群體的貧困脆弱性，從而進(jìn)一步明晰哪些群體更易因為通貨膨脹的沖擊而造成更大貧困脆弱性。在上述研究的基礎(chǔ)上，本文還提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。 本文的主要結(jié)論如下：①窮人面臨著更大的貧困脆弱性，而通貨膨脹對處于脆弱群體的負(fù)向沖擊效果最為明顯，；②我國農(nóng)村居民所面臨的貧困脆弱性存在較明顯的性別差異，女性在物價沖擊風(fēng)險面前顯得更加脆弱，更容易陷入貧困或持續(xù)貧困；③隨著年齡的增長，貧困脆弱性逐漸增加，受到通貨膨脹的不利沖擊也逐漸加大；④個體受教育程度越高，其面臨的貧困脆弱性越低，同時受通貨膨脹的沖擊作用也越小。
[Abstract]:Poverty vulnerability, as a forward-looking concept that describes the possibility of individual or family falling into poverty in the future, has become a hot topic in current poverty research. Poverty is a dynamic process in which individuals or families who are not currently in a state of poverty may fall into poverty in the future as a result of some kind of shock. Of course, it is possible to fall deeper into poverty. A large number of studies show that the poor or low-income people face more and stronger risks than the general population, and they are less able to resist risks, are more vulnerable to the impact and impact of risks, and are more vulnerable to risk. Therefore, the study of poverty from the perspective of vulnerability not only provides a new perspective for us to analyze the causes of poverty, but also provides a new way of thinking for anti-poverty. There are many factors that cause the vulnerability of poverty, such as income shock, disease impact, price shock and so on. Inflation, as the most common form of price change, has an important impact on low income groups or poor groups. Since the beginning of 2007, China has experienced a new round of inflation, and related studies show that the most affected by the price changes are often low-income people and poor families. Seriously affected the people's living standards. This will not only make the existing poor even poorer, but also return those who earn near the poverty line to poverty. As one of the important external risks, inflation should be paid more attention by anti-poverty researchers. Because the poverty group of our country is mainly concentrated in the countryside, this paper chooses only the rural residents as the research object. In view of this, this paper discusses the impact of inflation on the vulnerability of rural poverty. This paper firstly establishes the research foundation from the theory aspect, through the systematic analysis and combing to the domestic and foreign related literature and materials, integrates the poverty vulnerability measure method system; Then, on the basis of the CHNS data, considering the specific percentile consumption price index of rural residents, the poverty vulnerability before and after excluding price factors is calculated, and the measurement results are analyzed and evaluated. Finally, this paper measures the vulnerability to poverty of groups with different demographic characteristics from the perspectives of gender, age and education, and further clarifies which groups are more vulnerable to poverty vulnerability due to the impact of inflation. On the basis of the above research, this paper also puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the poor are facing greater vulnerability to poverty, and the negative impact of inflation on vulnerable groups is the most obvious; (2) there are obvious gender differences in the vulnerability of rural residents to poverty, and women are more vulnerable to the risk of price shock and are more likely to fall into poverty or continue to be poor; (3) with the increase of age, the vulnerability of poverty increases gradually, and so does the adverse impact of inflation; 4 the higher the level of education, the lower the vulnerability to poverty and the smaller the impact of inflation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：F822.5;F323.8;F224

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 張克中;馮俊誠;;通貨膨脹、不平等與親貧式增長——來自中國的實證研究[J];管理世界;2010年05期

2 黃艷敏;張巖貴;;CPI上漲對低收入群體消費影響研究[J];價格理論與實踐;2011年11期

3 胡耀國;通貨膨脹對城鄉(xiāng)居民家庭消費的影響[J];價格月刊;1997年02期

4 胡永和;蔣永穆;;基于脆弱性上升的中國城鎮(zhèn)貧困現(xiàn)象解析[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革;2009年04期

5 羅楚亮;;農(nóng)村貧困的動態(tài)變化[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2010年05期

6 韓崢;脆弱性與農(nóng)村貧困[J];農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)問題;2004年10期

7 朱晶;王軍英;;物價變化、貧困度量與我國農(nóng)村貧困線調(diào)整方法研究[J];農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年03期

8 黃承偉;王小林;徐麗萍;;貧困脆弱性:概念框架和測量方法[J];農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年08期

9 萬廣華;章元;史清華;;如何更準(zhǔn)確地預(yù)測貧困脆弱性:基于中國農(nóng)戶面板數(shù)據(jù)的比較研究[J];農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2011年09期

10 康志勇;;貨幣流通速度與收入差距——來自中國1980-2004年的經(jīng)驗證據(jù)[J];上海金融;2007年11期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 黃小琳;貧困脆弱性度量及其影響因素研究[D];云南財經(jīng)大學(xué);2010年

本文編號：2429066