基于SCOR模型的發(fā)電企業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈一體化風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究
本文選題:SCOR模型 切入點(diǎn):發(fā)電企業(yè) 出處:《華北電力大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文
【摘要】:發(fā)電企業(yè)作為電力行業(yè)的核心企業(yè),在保障電力系統(tǒng)運(yùn)行過程中承擔(dān)了重要的角色。當(dāng)前,國(guó)家正在開始醞釀和實(shí)施新一輪電力體制改革,發(fā)電企業(yè)將面臨更加復(fù)雜的市場(chǎng)環(huán)境,供應(yīng)鏈面臨諸多風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。通過對(duì)發(fā)電行業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行有效的防范和控制,減少、規(guī)避甚至消除風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的影響,增強(qiáng)發(fā)電企業(yè)抵抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的能力,對(duì)實(shí)現(xiàn)電廠的可持續(xù)發(fā)展將具有十分重要的意義。本文基于供應(yīng)鏈運(yùn)作參考模型(SCOR)對(duì)發(fā)電企業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈各個(gè)流程的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行定性識(shí)別,構(gòu)建發(fā)電企業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別模型,采用驗(yàn)證性因素分析模型進(jìn)行定量分析,該方法分別驗(yàn)證了五個(gè)供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別模型的有效性和合理性。供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素的五個(gè)識(shí)別模型分別是戰(zhàn)略文化風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、采購(gòu)流程風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、生產(chǎn)流程風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、配送、送電和退貨風(fēng)險(xiǎn)以及外部因素風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。驗(yàn)證性因素模型(CFM)的各項(xiàng)數(shù)據(jù)結(jié)果表明,基于SCOR模型的發(fā)電企業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別模型具有較高的可靠性。從驗(yàn)證性因素模型中提取出15個(gè)指標(biāo)作為供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)模型的指標(biāo),建立基于BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)的發(fā)電企業(yè)供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)模型,該模型經(jīng)過多次訓(xùn)練和測(cè)試后表明供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)模型是有效的。最后,本文根據(jù)SCOR模型,分別從戰(zhàn)略文化流程、采購(gòu)流程、生產(chǎn)、配送、送電和退貨流程以及外部因素這五個(gè)方面提出供應(yīng)鏈一體化風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的防范措施。
[Abstract]:As the core enterprises in the electric power industry, power generation enterprises have played an important role in ensuring the operation of the power system. At present, the state is beginning to plan and implement a new round of power system reform. Power generation enterprises will face more complex market environment and supply chain facing many risks. Through effective prevention and control of supply chain risk in power generation industry, the influence of risk can be reduced, evaded and even eliminated. Strengthening the ability of power generation enterprises to resist risks will be of great significance to realize the sustainable development of power plants. Based on the supply chain operation reference model (SCOR), this paper makes qualitative identification of the risks in various supply chain processes of power generation enterprises. The supply chain risk identification model of power generation enterprises is constructed, and the confirmatory factor analysis model is used to carry out quantitative analysis. The method verifies the validity and rationality of the five supply chain risk identification models, which are strategic cultural risk, procurement process risk, production process risk and distribution. Power transmission and return risk, as well as external risk. The results of the validation factor model CFM data show that, The supply chain risk identification model based on SCOR model has high reliability. Fifteen indexes are extracted from the confirmatory factor model as the index of supply chain risk evaluation model. A supply chain risk evaluation model based on BP neural network is established. After many training and testing, the model is proved to be effective. Finally, according to the SCOR model, this paper analyzes the strategic cultural process. The prevention measures of supply chain integrated risk management are put forward in the following five aspects: purchasing process, production, distribution, power delivery and return flow, and external factors.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2015
【分類號(hào)】:F426.61;F274
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