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長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展與碳排放的關(guān)系研究

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  本文選題:服務(wù)業(yè) + 長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū) ; 參考:《江南大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文


【摘要】:長(zhǎng)江三角洲地區(qū)是改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展最快最發(fā)達(dá)的地區(qū)。服務(wù)業(yè)作為調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、推動(dòng)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)業(yè)體系節(jié)能減排的重要發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略產(chǎn)業(yè),在長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)得到了較快的發(fā)展。2011年長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)增加值達(dá)到了46165.30億元,占該地區(qū)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)總值的57%,其中上海市服務(wù)業(yè)占地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值比重約60%,接近中等發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家水平。服務(wù)業(yè)在快速發(fā)展的同時(shí),該行業(yè)的能源消耗和碳排放增加量也大幅提升。長(zhǎng)三角服務(wù)業(yè)能源消耗量從2000年的2102.13萬(wàn)噸標(biāo)煤增長(zhǎng)到了2011年的7291.07萬(wàn)噸標(biāo)煤。2011年長(zhǎng)三角服務(wù)業(yè)能源消耗二氧化碳排放量為12198.56萬(wàn)噸,占當(dāng)年長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)碳排放總量的20.43%,上海市服務(wù)業(yè)碳排放量占全市碳排放量的約40%,服務(wù)業(yè)直接引起和間接推動(dòng)的碳排放量不斷攀升。因此關(guān)注這些問(wèn)題對(duì)引導(dǎo)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展有著重要意義。 本文以研究長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展與碳排放的關(guān)系為主線(xiàn),首先闡明了研究該問(wèn)題的背景和意義,通過(guò)文獻(xiàn)綜述回顧國(guó)內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀,梳理出服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的理論基礎(chǔ),其次分析了長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展的能源消耗與二氧化碳排放的現(xiàn)狀特點(diǎn)。隨后基于投入產(chǎn)出子系統(tǒng)理論,深入挖掘由服務(wù)業(yè)最終需求引致的二氧化碳排放量,并在二氧化碳排放的分效應(yīng)基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)排放引致因素進(jìn)行了深入討論。同時(shí),進(jìn)一步探索長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)中的二氧化碳排放“關(guān)鍵”行業(yè),并結(jié)合這些行業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的差異性對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)不同服務(wù)業(yè)行業(yè)應(yīng)予以實(shí)施的碳減排策略提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。 通過(guò)系統(tǒng)的分析與研究,本文得出如下結(jié)論:長(zhǎng)三角服務(wù)業(yè)已經(jīng)進(jìn)入快速、高水平發(fā)展階段,上海市服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展尤為突出。與此同時(shí),服務(wù)業(yè)的能耗總量和碳排放量逐年增長(zhǎng),服務(wù)業(yè)的能源消耗強(qiáng)度和二氧化碳排放強(qiáng)度逐漸下降,能耗以油類(lèi)為主,對(duì)油類(lèi)的消耗比重達(dá)70%以上,煤類(lèi)和以天然氣為主的清潔能源使用比重低。本文利用投入產(chǎn)出子系統(tǒng)方法,對(duì)長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)最終需求生產(chǎn)活動(dòng)引致的二氧化碳排放量及其所劃分的五個(gè)效應(yīng)部分的二氧化碳排放進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)間接排放在服務(wù)業(yè)二氧化碳排放中所發(fā)揮的作用需要重點(diǎn)關(guān)注,尤其是服務(wù)業(yè)生產(chǎn)活動(dòng)對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)部門(mén)二氧化碳排放的拉動(dòng)作用所引致的二氧化碳排放量較大,是制定減排政策時(shí)需要關(guān)注的重點(diǎn),其中公共管理和社會(huì)組織、其他社會(huì)服務(wù)業(yè)、交通運(yùn)輸及倉(cāng)儲(chǔ)業(yè)、衛(wèi)生、社會(huì)保障和社會(huì)福利業(yè)、教育五大行業(yè)的這種拉動(dòng)作用的貢獻(xiàn)較為明顯。長(zhǎng)三角地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)的二氧化碳拉動(dòng)作用主要集中在電力、熱力的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè)、石油加工、煉焦及核燃料加工業(yè)、化學(xué)工業(yè)、金屬冶煉及壓延加工業(yè)、煤炭開(kāi)采和洗選業(yè)這類(lèi)能耗、碳排放密集的行業(yè)。江浙滬三地的服務(wù)業(yè)子系統(tǒng)碳排放“關(guān)鍵”行業(yè)判定顯示,交通運(yùn)輸及倉(cāng)儲(chǔ)業(yè),房地產(chǎn)業(yè),衛(wèi)生、社會(huì)保障和社會(huì)福利業(yè),教育以及公共管理和社會(huì)組織,,批發(fā)和零售業(yè)(江蘇和浙江),住宿和餐飲業(yè)(浙江和上海),其他服務(wù)業(yè)(江蘇和上海),這些以傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)為主的行業(yè)具有相對(duì)較高的能耗水平,是對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)整體二氧化碳的排放具有較強(qiáng)影響力的“關(guān)鍵”行業(yè);而以現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)為主的信息傳輸、計(jì)算機(jī)服務(wù)和軟件業(yè),租賃業(yè)和商務(wù)服務(wù)業(yè),金融業(yè),文化、體育和娛樂(lè)業(yè),科學(xué)研究事業(yè),郵政業(yè)以及江蘇省的住宿和餐飲業(yè),浙江的其他服務(wù)業(yè)和上海的批發(fā)零售業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)整體的碳排放拉動(dòng)力相對(duì)較小,需要重點(diǎn)扶持和大力發(fā)展。 針對(duì)能源依賴(lài)程度較高、二氧化碳排放拉動(dòng)力較強(qiáng)的傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)行業(yè),可通過(guò)優(yōu)化服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)結(jié)構(gòu),傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)業(yè)生產(chǎn)技術(shù)改造、升級(jí)等措施降低高能耗、高碳排的傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)部門(mén)帶來(lái)的碳排放量,對(duì)于以金融業(yè)等技術(shù)知識(shí)高度密集的現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè),促進(jìn)這類(lèi)行業(yè)擴(kuò)大發(fā)展規(guī)模,提高這些行業(yè)的增加值在地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值中的比重,有助于控制長(zhǎng)三角服務(wù)業(yè)碳排放的增長(zhǎng)速度,推動(dòng)服務(wù)業(yè)整體碳減排的進(jìn)程。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the Yangtze River Delta is the fastest and most developed area in China's economy. As an important strategic industry to adjust the industrial structure and promote the energy saving and emission reduction of the social and economic industrial system, the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta region has been developing rapidly in.2011 years, and the value-added of service industry has reached 4 trillion and 616 billion 530 million yuan. The total GDP of the region is 57%, of which Shanghai's service industry accounts for about 60% of the GDP, close to the level of the medium developed countries. While the service industry is developing rapidly, the energy consumption and carbon emissions of the industry have also increased considerably. The energy consumption of the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta has increased from 21 million 21 thousand and 300 tons of coal in 2000 to 2. In the past 011 years, the energy consumption of the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta Service Industry in the.2011 year of 72 million 910 thousand and 700 tons is 121 million 985 thousand and 600 tons, accounting for 20.43% of the total amount of carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta region. The carbon emissions from Shanghai service industry account for about 40% of the whole city's carbon emissions, and the direct and indirect carbon emissions from the service industry are increasing. The problem is of great significance for guiding the sustainable development of the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta region.
Based on the study of the relationship between the development of service industry and carbon emissions in the Yangtze River Delta, this paper first clarifies the background and significance of studying the problem, reviews the current research status at home and abroad through literature review, combs the theoretical basis for the development of low carbon economy in the service industry, and then analyzes the energy consumption and carbon dioxide in the development of service industry in the Yangtze River Delta region. Then, based on the input-output subsystem theory, the carbon dioxide emissions caused by the final demand of the service industry are deeply excavated, and the emission factors are discussed in depth on the basis of the effect of carbon dioxide emissions, and the "key" of carbon dioxide emissions in the service industry of the Yangtze River Delta is further explored. The industry, and combined with the differences in the economic impact of these industries, puts forward corresponding policy suggestions on the carbon emission reduction strategies that should be implemented by different service industries in the Yangtze River Delta.
Through the system analysis and research, this paper draws the following conclusions: the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta has entered a rapid and high level development stage, and the development of service industry in Shanghai is particularly prominent. At the same time, the total energy consumption and carbon emissions of the service industry are increasing year by year, the energy consumption intensity and carbon dioxide emission intensity of the service industry are gradually decreasing, and the energy consumption is reduced. The consumption of oil is more than 70%, and the proportion of coal and natural gas is low. In this paper, the input-output subsystem method is used to make an empirical analysis on the carbon dioxide emissions caused by the final demand production activities in the Yangtze River Delta region and the carbon dioxide emissions of the five effective parts divided. It is found that the role of the indirect emission in the carbon dioxide emissions of the service industry needs to be focused on, especially the large amount of carbon dioxide emitted by the production activities of the service industry to the carbon dioxide emissions from other industrial sectors. It is the focus of attention when making the policy of reducing emissions, including public management and social organizations, and the other Social service industry, transportation and warehousing industry, health, social security and social welfare industry, the contribution of the five major industries is more obvious. The role of carbon dioxide in the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta is mainly concentrated on electricity, thermal production and supply, petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing, chemical industry, gold. It belongs to smelting and calendering processing industry, coal mining and washing industry such energy consumption and carbon emission intensive industries. The "key" carbon emissions of the service industry subsystem of the three regions of Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai show that transportation and warehousing, real estate, health, social security and social welfare, education and public management and social organization, wholesale and retail. The industry (Jiangsu and Zhejiang), the accommodation and catering industry (Zhejiang and Shanghai), other services (Jiangsu and Shanghai), which have relatively high energy consumption level in the traditional service industry, are "key" industries with strong influence on the overall carbon dioxide emissions of the economy; and the information transmission based on modern services, computers Services and software industries, leasing and business services, finance, culture, sports and entertainment, scientific research, the postal industry and the accommodation and catering industry in Jiangsu, the other services in Zhejiang and the wholesale and retail industry in Shanghai are relatively small for the overall carbon emissions of the economy, and need to be supported and vigorously developed.
The traditional service industry with high energy dependence and stronger carbon dioxide emissions can reduce the consumption of high energy consumption and high carbon emissions by optimizing the internal structure of the service industry, the transformation of the traditional service production technology and upgrading, and the high carbon emissions from the traditional service departments of high carbon emissions, which is highly intensive for the technical knowledge of the financial industry. The service industry will promote the scale of expansion of these industries and increase the proportion of these industries in the GDP, which will help to control the growth rate of carbon emissions in the service industry in the Yangtze River Delta and promote the process of carbon emission reduction in the service industry as a whole.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:江南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F719;F205

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