【摘要】：中國(guó)正在逐漸成為世界大國(guó),GDP以每年近10%的增長(zhǎng)率上升,但是在這個(gè)飛速發(fā)展的背后,隱藏著能源消耗過(guò)量的問(wèn)題。從2003年提出可持續(xù)發(fā)展觀,到現(xiàn)在大力推進(jìn)綠色建筑,綠色建筑在中國(guó)得到越來(lái)越多的關(guān)注。然而綠色建筑概念在中國(guó)引入時(shí)間短,縱觀我國(guó)在綠色建筑方面的研究,以概念和技術(shù)的內(nèi)容居多,缺乏經(jīng)濟(jì)方面的系統(tǒng)性統(tǒng)計(jì)和研究。本論文從經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的角度出發(fā),以全生命周期成本理論為基礎(chǔ),將費(fèi)用效益評(píng)價(jià)方法和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析方法相結(jié)合,結(jié)合成都地區(qū)的實(shí)際案例,對(duì)綠色建筑進(jìn)行費(fèi)用效益評(píng)價(jià),分析綠色建筑的經(jīng)濟(jì)可行性。 本論文首先介紹綠色建筑的國(guó)內(nèi)外研究、概念、特點(diǎn),并且嚴(yán)格按照《綠色建筑評(píng)價(jià)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》的要求,在全生命周期成本理論的基礎(chǔ)上,識(shí)別和測(cè)算綠色建筑的增量成本和增量效益,給出經(jīng)濟(jì)、環(huán)境、社會(huì)三方面效益詳細(xì)可行的量化方法,賦予直接和間接效益統(tǒng)一的單位和可比較性。建立了綠色建筑費(fèi)用效益分析模型,從全社會(huì)角度評(píng)價(jià)綠色建筑的經(jīng)濟(jì)可行性與發(fā)展前景。在此基礎(chǔ)上將費(fèi)用效益分析與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析方法相結(jié)合,考慮不確定因素對(duì)各評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的影響,充分評(píng)價(jià)綠色建筑在獲得效益的同時(shí),其抵抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力的強(qiáng)弱。以成都地區(qū)的一個(gè)三星級(jí)綠色建筑作為案例,詳細(xì)識(shí)別和量化其增量成本和增量效益,進(jìn)行費(fèi)用效益分析和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析,運(yùn)用單因素敏感性分析和多因素敏感性分析方法,全面綜合地考慮增量投資、電價(jià)、水價(jià)、節(jié)電量、節(jié)水量幾個(gè)不確定因素對(duì)綠色建筑費(fèi)用效益評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的影響。評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果顯示綠色建筑不僅能夠產(chǎn)生豐厚的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益,還能帶來(lái)可觀的環(huán)境效益和社會(huì)效益,同時(shí)綠色建筑所產(chǎn)生的效益能夠彌補(bǔ)初期的額外投資,在不到10年的時(shí)間內(nèi)可以收回其增量成本。并且隨著社會(huì)不確定因素電價(jià)、水價(jià)的上漲,其經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)更好,相應(yīng)的抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力較強(qiáng),有著巨大的發(fā)展前景。最后對(duì)綠色建筑發(fā)展和有待研究的問(wèn)題提出自己的建議。 本論文從經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的角度,運(yùn)用費(fèi)用效益分析方法對(duì)綠色建筑增量成本和效益進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)分析,研究成果彌補(bǔ)了綠色建筑在經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域研究的不足,提供了科學(xué)的評(píng)價(jià)分析方法,為綠色建筑的發(fā)展和優(yōu)化提供參考。
[Abstract]:China is gradually becoming a big country in the world. GDP is rising at a rate of nearly 10% a year. But behind this rapid development, there is a problem of excessive energy consumption. Since 2003, China put forward the concept of sustainable development, and now vigorously promote green building, green building in China has attracted more and more attention. However, the concept of green building in China. In this paper, from the perspective of economics, based on the theory of life cycle cost, cost-benefit evaluation method and risk analysis method are combined with the actual situation in Chengdu area. The cost effectiveness evaluation of green building is carried out, and the economic feasibility of green building is analyzed.
This paper firstly introduces the research, concept and characteristics of green building at home and abroad, and identifies and calculates the incremental cost and benefit of green building on the basis of the whole life cycle cost theory strictly in accordance with the requirements of , and gives a detailed and feasible quantitative method of economic, environmental and social benefits. The cost-benefit analysis model of green building is established to evaluate the economic feasibility and development prospects of green building from the perspective of the whole society. On this basis, the cost-benefit analysis is combined with the risk analysis method, and the influence of uncertain factors on the evaluation indexes is taken into account. Taking a three-star green building in Chengdu as an example, this paper identifies and quantifies its incremental cost and benefit, makes cost-benefit analysis and risk analysis, and comprehensively considers it by using single factor sensitivity analysis and multi-factor sensitivity analysis. The evaluation results show that green building can not only produce substantial economic benefits, but also bring considerable environmental and social benefits. At the same time, the benefits of green building can make up for the initial additional benefits. Investment can recover its incremental cost in less than 10 years. And with the rise of electricity price and water price, the economic index is better, and the corresponding risk resistance is stronger, so it has great development prospects.
From the angle of economics, this paper evaluates and analyzes the incremental cost and benefit of green building by using cost-benefit analysis method. The research results make up for the deficiency of green building research in the economic field, and provide a scientific evaluation and analysis method, and provide a reference for the development and optimization of green building.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：TU201.5

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