【摘要】：工程項目經(jīng)理作為風(fēng)險管理的主要負責人在項目實施過程中會面臨多種多樣的風(fēng)險決策。不同性格的項目經(jīng)理面對同一風(fēng)險也會做出不同的判斷,從而可能制定完全不同的風(fēng)險管理策略。風(fēng)險決策行為主要受到三個方面因素的影響,個體特征、決策任務(wù)特征以及決策環(huán)境特征,且這些因素主要是通過風(fēng)險傾向和風(fēng)險感知進一步影響決策者的風(fēng)險決策行為。本研究主要從項目經(jīng)理個體層面出發(fā)探究其人格特征對風(fēng)險感知的影響關(guān)系,并驗證風(fēng)險傾向在人格與風(fēng)險感知關(guān)系中起到的中介作用。本研究首先提出項目經(jīng)理大五人格、風(fēng)險傾向和風(fēng)險感知三者之間關(guān)系的4項假設(shè),構(gòu)建了關(guān)系模型框架;接著通過問卷調(diào)查的方式向中國大陸的工程行業(yè)管理人員以郵件形式發(fā)放調(diào)查問卷,最終回收了102份有效數(shù)據(jù);基于SPSS 19.0軟件對數(shù)據(jù)進行處理,采用了相關(guān)分析、線性回歸分析和層次回歸分析法驗證提出的假設(shè)。數(shù)據(jù)分析結(jié)果表明:1)項目經(jīng)理的外傾性和隨和性因素顯著影響其風(fēng)險傾向,外傾性強的個體更偏向風(fēng)險追求,而隨和性高的個體的風(fēng)險傾向水平較低;2)項目經(jīng)理的風(fēng)險傾向?qū)ζ滹L(fēng)險感知有顯著的負影響;3)項目經(jīng)理的外傾性和隨和性因素顯著影響其風(fēng)險感知,外傾性得分高的個體感知到的風(fēng)險水平低,而隨和性強的個體其風(fēng)險感知的水平高;4)項目經(jīng)理的風(fēng)險傾向在外傾性、隨和性與風(fēng)險感知的關(guān)系之間起著完全中介作用,人格因素需要完全通過風(fēng)險傾向的作用進一步影響個體的風(fēng)險感知。同時,本研究并沒有驗證大五人格中其他三個因素(即責任心、情緒穩(wěn)定性和經(jīng)驗開放性)與風(fēng)險傾向、風(fēng)險感知之間的關(guān)系。本研究在理論上通過中介變量風(fēng)險傾向的引入解釋了項目經(jīng)理大五人格因素如何影響其風(fēng)險感知,從而進一步了解項目經(jīng)理的風(fēng)險感知過程。同時,研究結(jié)果在實踐方面有利于通過人格特質(zhì)更好地預(yù)測項目經(jīng)理的風(fēng)險傾向和風(fēng)險感知,使得管理人員能夠更加深入地了解其是如何感知和應(yīng)對風(fēng)險的,從而有助于了解他們的風(fēng)險決策行為。
[Abstract]:The project manager, as the main person in charge of risk management, will face a variety of risk decisions in the process of project implementation. Project managers with different personalities also make different judgments about the same risks, which may lead to completely different risk management strategies. Risk decision behavior is mainly affected by three factors, individual characteristics, decision task characteristics and decision environment characteristics, and these factors further influence the decision makers' risk decision behavior through risk tendency and risk perception. This study mainly explores the impact of personality characteristics on risk perception from the individual level of the project manager and verifies the intermediary role of risk orientation in the relationship between personality and risk perception. In this study, four hypotheses of the relationship among Big five Personality, risk propensity and risk perception of Project Manager are put forward, and a relational model framework is constructed. Then through the way of questionnaire survey to the management of the engineering industry in mainland China to send the questionnaire in the form of mail, finally recovered 102 valid data, based on SPSS 19.0 software to process the data, using the related analysis, The hypothesis is verified by linear regression analysis and hierarchical regression analysis. The results of data analysis show that: 1) the extraversion and easygoing factors of project manager significantly affect their risk propensity, and the individuals with strong extroversion tend to pursue risk. The risk propensity of the project manager has a significant negative effect on his risk perception. 3) the extraversion and easygoing factors of the project manager have a significant impact on the risk perception. Individuals with high extraversion score have low perceived risk level, while those with strong easygoing score have high risk perception level. 4) the risk tendency of project managers plays a complete intermediary role in the relationship between extroversion, easyness and risk perception. Personality factors need to further influence individual risk perception through the role of risk propensity. At the same time, this study did not verify the relationship between the other three factors (responsibility, emotional stability and openness of experience), risk tendency and risk perception in Big five personality. This study theoretically explains how the risk perception of project manager is influenced by the factor of "Big five Personality" through the introduction of risk tendency of intermediary variable, so as to further understand the process of risk perception of project manager. At the same time, the results of the study can better predict the risk tendency and risk perception of project managers through personality traits, so that managers can understand more deeply how they perceive and deal with risks. This helps to understand their risk decision-making behavior.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.92;F272.91

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