本文選題：項(xiàng)目管理 + 掙值分析��； 參考：《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：掙值分析(又稱贏得值分析)方法已廣泛應(yīng)用于國(guó)內(nèi)外的項(xiàng)目管理實(shí)踐。這一概念起源于19世紀(jì),最初是用于美國(guó)海軍在1960年代北極星項(xiàng)目中使用。1967年,美國(guó)國(guó)防部制定費(fèi)用/進(jìn)度控制標(biāo)準(zhǔn)(C/sCSC),將掙值分析作為一種有效的工具來(lái)管理成本和進(jìn)度,主要應(yīng)用于工業(yè)和政府項(xiàng)目的進(jìn)度和費(fèi)用控制。隨后,許多國(guó)家分別制定了各自的政府和行業(yè)標(biāo)準(zhǔn),形成了一個(gè)相對(duì)完整的理論體系,并有很強(qiáng)的可行性和可操作性。掙值評(píng)價(jià)技術(shù)目前被視為一個(gè)主流的評(píng)價(jià)項(xiàng)目成本和進(jìn)度控制的方法,并被不斷豐富完善以促進(jìn)整個(gè)項(xiàng)目的綜合評(píng)價(jià)。本文結(jié)合化工工程行業(yè)EPC總承包項(xiàng)目的特點(diǎn)和目前公司項(xiàng)目管理的現(xiàn)狀,針對(duì)其高技術(shù),高投入,高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特點(diǎn),介紹如何調(diào)整傳統(tǒng)的三值分析法,采用“四值分析法”來(lái)實(shí)時(shí)評(píng)價(jià)及預(yù)測(cè)總承包商的利潤(rùn)；如何構(gòu)建一個(gè)實(shí)用的E\P\C分層檢測(cè)模型來(lái)分化總承包項(xiàng)目的復(fù)雜性。并將“四值分析”和分層檢測(cè)結(jié)合起來(lái),構(gòu)建一套適合公司項(xiàng)目利潤(rùn)及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制的監(jiān)控模型,并將該模型在信息化平臺(tái)上定制,用一個(gè)公司的實(shí)際項(xiàng)目進(jìn)行試運(yùn)行分析。比較該方法使用前后的控制指標(biāo)變化和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)預(yù)測(cè)效果,作為項(xiàng)目管理體系的一個(gè)環(huán)節(jié),使之既能針對(duì)公司現(xiàn)狀解決問(wèn)題又可以對(duì)同行業(yè)公司提供參考。
[Abstract]:Earned value analysis (also called earned value analysis) has been widely used in project management practice at home and abroad. This concept, which originated in the 19th century, was originally used by the U.S. Navy in the Polaris Project in the 1960s. In 1967, the Department of Defense established the cost / schedule control standard C / S CSCC, using earned value analysis as an effective tool to manage costs and schedules. Mainly used in industrial and government projects progress and cost control. Subsequently, many countries have formulated their own government and industry standards, formed a relatively complete theoretical system, and have strong feasibility and operability. The earned value evaluation technology is regarded as a mainstream method to evaluate the project cost and schedule control, and has been enriched and perfected to promote the comprehensive evaluation of the whole project. According to the characteristics of EPC general contracting project in chemical engineering industry and the present situation of project management in the company, this paper introduces how to adjust the traditional ternary analysis method according to the characteristics of high technology, high investment and high risk. The method of "quaternion analysis" is used to evaluate and predict the profit of general contractor in real time, and how to construct a practical E\ P\ C hierarchical detection model to differentiate the complexity of general contracting project. Combining "four value analysis" with hierarchical detection, a set of monitoring model suitable for company project profit and risk control is constructed, and the model is customized on the information platform, and the actual project of a company is used for trial operation analysis. Comparing the change of control index and the effect of risk prediction before and after the use of this method, as a link of the project management system, it can not only solve the problem according to the current situation of the company, but also provide reference for the same industry company.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F426.92;TU71

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本文編號(hào)：1901456