本文選題：玉米成本 + 玉米收益��； 參考：《吉林農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：作為國家糧食主產(chǎn)區(qū),玉米一直以來都是吉林省的主要糧食作物,無論是種植面積還是產(chǎn)量在全國范圍內(nèi)均據(jù)前列地位。近年來,由于宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)增長趨緩,國內(nèi)玉米庫存積壓與國外玉米大量進(jìn)口并存導(dǎo)致國內(nèi)玉米庫存量居高不下,在多重因素影響下,玉米價格大幅下降,農(nóng)民種糧收入急劇下滑,新一輪糧食“賣難”重現(xiàn)。在去產(chǎn)能、去庫存、去杠桿、降成本、補(bǔ)短板的背景下,研究玉米的生產(chǎn)成本收益對于促進(jìn)供給側(cè)結(jié)構(gòu)性改革、促進(jìn)玉米種植結(jié)構(gòu)改革也具有重要的意義。本文根據(jù)統(tǒng)計年鑒的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),在對吉林省的玉米生產(chǎn)現(xiàn)狀和比較優(yōu)勢進(jìn)行分析的基礎(chǔ)上,對玉米的成本收益進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析,同時運(yùn)用多元線性回歸對吉林省玉米成本收益的幾個主要影響因素進(jìn)行了深入研究和分析,最后根據(jù)研究結(jié)果,對提高玉米種植收益,土地利用率,降低玉米成本提出建議和措施。具體研究內(nèi)容如下:第一章是緒論,對本文的研究背景及意義以及文獻(xiàn)綜述進(jìn)行闡述,說明本文運(yùn)用比較優(yōu)勢法和線性回歸分析等方法對吉林省玉米成本收益進(jìn)行分析。第二章是玉米生產(chǎn)現(xiàn)狀及比較優(yōu)勢分析部分,主要是利用近10年統(tǒng)計年鑒中的數(shù)據(jù),對吉林省玉米生產(chǎn)現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析。結(jié)果表明吉林省玉米自然生產(chǎn)條件優(yōu)越,耕地集中,生產(chǎn)技術(shù)水平較高;玉米生產(chǎn)在吉林省糧食生產(chǎn)以及全國玉米生產(chǎn)具有絕對比較優(yōu)勢。第三章對吉林省玉米的生產(chǎn)成本收益進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析,一方面,通過對我國各玉米主產(chǎn)省的玉米生產(chǎn)成本和收益分析。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),吉林省玉米生產(chǎn)每畝平均主產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量、產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)值均高于全國平均水平,現(xiàn)金收益、每50公斤主產(chǎn)品出售價格略低于全國平均水平,但凈利潤、成本利潤率則低于全國平均水平50%左右,可見吉林省生產(chǎn)玉米雖然產(chǎn)值產(chǎn)量上占有優(yōu)勢,但畝均收益具有明顯的劣勢。第四章是建立多元線性回歸方程,運(yùn)用SPSS17.0統(tǒng)計軟件,運(yùn)用多元線性回歸對影響吉林省玉米成本收益的因素進(jìn)行分析。結(jié)果表明:在其他條件不變的情況下,玉米的人工成本、土地成本、單產(chǎn)、售價對凈利潤影響最為顯著。第五章是結(jié)論與建議,主要在總結(jié)本文結(jié)論的同時,提出合理調(diào)整玉米生產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu),實(shí)現(xiàn)玉米專業(yè)化、規(guī)�；a(chǎn);完善玉米種植支持體系,實(shí)現(xiàn)玉米高單產(chǎn)種植;積極探索各種有效措施,抑制玉米生產(chǎn)成本速度等建議。
[Abstract]:As the main grain producing area of the country, corn has always been the main grain crop in Jilin province. Both the planting area and the yield are all in the forefront of the country. In recent years, the coexistence of domestic corn stock backlog and a large number of foreign corn imports lead to high domestic corn inventory due to the slow growth of macro economic growth. Under the influence of heavy factors, the price of corn has fallen sharply, the farmers' grain income has fallen sharply, and the new round of grain "difficult to sell" reappears. In the background of going to capacity, going to stock, deleveraging, reducing cost and complying the short board, it is of great significance to study the production cost and income of Maize to promote the structural reform of supply side and promote the reform of corn planting structure. Based on the related data of statistical yearbook, based on the analysis of the current situation and comparative advantage of maize production in Jilin Province, this paper analyzes the cost and benefit of Maize in detail. At the same time, it makes a thorough study and Analysis on several main influence factors of the cost income of Maize in Jilin Province by multiple linear regression, and finally according to the research. As a result, some suggestions and measures are put forward to improve the yield of corn planting, land use rate and reduce the cost of corn. The first chapter is introduction, the background and significance of this paper and the literature review are expounded. It shows that this paper uses comparative advantage method and linear regression analysis to improve the cost income of Maize in Jilin province. The second chapter is the present situation of maize production and comparative advantage analysis, mainly using the data in the statistical yearbook of the last 10 years to analyze the current situation of maize production in Jilin province. The results show that the natural production conditions of Maize in Jilin province are superior, the cultivated land is concentrated, and the technical level of the production is high; the corn production in Jilin province grain production and the whole country The corn production has an absolute comparative advantage. The third chapter analyses the production cost and income of Maize in Jilin Province in detail. On the one hand, through the analysis of the corn production cost and income of the main maize production provinces in China, it is found that the average output of the main products per mu in Jilin corn production is higher than the national average, and the cash is higher than the national average. The yield per 50 kg of the main product is slightly lower than the national average, but the net profit and the cost profit rate are lower than the national average of about 50%. It can be seen that the output of corn production in Jilin occupies an advantage, but the yield per mu has obvious disadvantages. The fourth chapter is to build a multiple linear regression equation and use SPSS17.0 statistical software. The factors that affect the cost and income of Maize in Jilin province are analyzed by multiple linear regression. The results show that, under the condition of other conditions, the artificial cost of corn, the land cost, the single yield and the price have the most significant influence on the net profit. The fifth chapter is the conclusion and suggestion, and the main reason is to make a reasonable adjustment of Maize at the same time. The production structure can realize maize specialization and large-scale production, perfect the corn planting support system, realize maize high yield planting, actively explore various effective measures and restrain the cost speed of maize production.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F326.11;F302.6

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