人民幣匯率波動(dòng)對(duì)中國(guó)股市的影響機(jī)制研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-05-11 21:50
【摘要】:通過協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)和面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸,檢驗(yàn)匯率對(duì)股市影響的路徑,并從宏觀和微觀(流動(dòng)性和行業(yè)兩個(gè)層面)研究二者時(shí)間的關(guān)系,結(jié)果表明人民幣匯率與股市之間存在著相關(guān)關(guān)系,流動(dòng)性與股市之間為正向相關(guān)關(guān)系,但是國(guó)際熱錢與股市之間的相關(guān)關(guān)系并不顯著;同時(shí),匯率對(duì)不同行業(yè)股指的作用方向和影響程度并不相同,主要取決于行業(yè)的成本結(jié)構(gòu)、出口價(jià)格彈性和外匯負(fù)債情況。但對(duì)于人民幣匯率波動(dòng)具體如何影響股市的問題,國(guó)內(nèi)還有進(jìn)一步深入研究的余地。
[Abstract]:Through cointegration test and panel data regression, this paper tests the path of the impact of exchange rate on the stock market, and studies the relationship between the two time from the macro and micro (liquidity and industry levels). The results show that there is a correlation between RMB exchange rate and stock market, and there is a positive correlation between liquidity and stock market, but the correlation between international hot money and stock market is not significant. At the same time, the effect of exchange rate on the stock index of different industries is not the same, which mainly depends on the cost structure of the industry, export price elasticity and foreign exchange debt. However, there is room for further in-depth study on how RMB exchange rate fluctuations affect the stock market.
【作者單位】: 中;鸸芾碛邢薰;
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6;F832.51;F224
[Abstract]:Through cointegration test and panel data regression, this paper tests the path of the impact of exchange rate on the stock market, and studies the relationship between the two time from the macro and micro (liquidity and industry levels). The results show that there is a correlation between RMB exchange rate and stock market, and there is a positive correlation between liquidity and stock market, but the correlation between international hot money and stock market is not significant. At the same time, the effect of exchange rate on the stock index of different industries is not the same, which mainly depends on the cost structure of the industry, export price elasticity and foreign exchange debt. However, there is room for further in-depth study on how RMB exchange rate fluctuations affect the stock market.
【作者單位】: 中;鸸芾碛邢薰;
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6;F832.51;F224
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