中國對美國直接投資逆向技術(shù)溢出效應的影響因素分析
發(fā)布時間：2018-12-26 09:40
【摘要】：中國對外直接投資在過去十年快速增長,2011年全國對外直接投資流量達到746.5億美元,近十年的平均年增長率達到了44.6%；2011年全國對外直接投資存量達到4247.8億美元,其中對美國直接投資存量為66.85億美元。中國對美國直接投資同樣在過去十年的時間里增長迅速,流量從2003年的0.65億美元增長到2011年的18.11億美元,增長了2686.15%;存量從2003年的5.02億美元增長到2011年的66.85億美元,增長了1231.67%,投資主要集中在制造業(yè)且在中國對外投資總量中所占比例不高,且以資源獲取型投資為主,近幾年以技術(shù)獲取為目的對美直接投資才剛剛起步,但增長速度十分快①。美國是當今世界頭號發(fā)達國家,掌握著世界最領(lǐng)先的高新技術(shù),如果中國能夠增加技術(shù)獲取型的對美投資比重,則投資的逆向技術(shù)溢出會相應的增多。本文就通過實證分析了影響中國對美國直接投資逆向技術(shù)溢出的影響因素,為中國對美國直接投資提供理論支持。 本文的實證分析最終得到了預期的結(jié)果。本文利用時間序列數(shù)據(jù),重點考察了中國RD支出、中美兩國人力資本、中美兩國信息化程度和美國專利申請數(shù)量六個因素對中國對美國直接投資逆向技術(shù)溢出是否有顯著影響,由于各經(jīng)濟變量存在多重共線性,本文使用偏最小二乘回歸分析方法建立模型進行回歸�；貧w結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),各個因變量除了中國人力資本與技術(shù)溢出是負相關(guān)關(guān)系之外,其他變量均與逆向技術(shù)溢出成正相關(guān)關(guān)系,其中中國RD支出、中國信息化程度、美國人力資本對逆向技術(shù)溢出的解釋能力最強,這說明主要是這三個因素影響了中國對美國直接投資逆向技術(shù)溢出的效果。從而,本文最后得出的政策建議是增加中國RD支出、加快中國信息化程度建設(shè)和中國跨國公司充分利用美國人力資本優(yōu)勢等。
[Abstract]:China's foreign direct investment (OFDI) has been growing rapidly in the past ten years. In 2011, the national FDI flow reached US $74.65 billion, with an average annual growth rate of 44.6% in the past ten years. In 2011, the national stock of foreign direct investment reached $424.78 billion, of which the stock of direct investment in the United States was $6.685 billion. Chinese direct investment in the United States has also grown rapidly over the past decade, rising from $65 million in 2003 to $1.811 billion in 2011, an increase of 2,686.15; The stock increased from US $502 million in 2003 to US $6.685 billion in 2011, an increase of 1231.67.The investment is mainly concentrated in the manufacturing industry and accounts for a small proportion of China's total outward investment, and is dominated by resource-acquisition investment. In recent years, technology acquisition as the goal of direct investment in the United States has only just begun, but the growth rate is very fast 1. 5%. The United States is the largest developed country in the world and holds the world's most advanced technology. If China can increase the proportion of technology acquisition investment in the United States, the reverse technology spillover will increase accordingly. This paper analyzes the influencing factors of reverse technology spillover of China's direct investment in the United States through empirical analysis, and provides theoretical support for China's direct investment in the United States. The empirical analysis of this paper finally obtained the expected results. Using time series data, this paper focuses on six factors, such as China's RD expenditure, China and the United States' human capital, the degree of information technology between China and the United States, and the number of US patent applications, which have a significant impact on the reverse technology spillover of China's direct investment in the United States. Due to the existence of multiple collinearity among economic variables, the partial least square regression analysis method is used to establish a regression model in this paper. The regression results show that, except for the negative correlation between Chinese human capital and technology spillover, the other variables have a positive correlation with reverse technology spillover. The Chinese RD expenditure, the degree of informatization in China, American human capital has the strongest ability to explain reverse technology spillover, which indicates that these three factors affect the effect of reverse technology spillover of Chinese direct investment to the United States. Therefore, the policy recommendations of this paper are to increase China's RD expenditure, speed up the construction of China's informatization and make full use of the advantages of American human capital by Chinese multinationals.
【學位授予單位】：山東大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.6;F837.12;F752.67;F224
本文編號：2391904
[Abstract]:China's foreign direct investment (OFDI) has been growing rapidly in the past ten years. In 2011, the national FDI flow reached US $74.65 billion, with an average annual growth rate of 44.6% in the past ten years. In 2011, the national stock of foreign direct investment reached $424.78 billion, of which the stock of direct investment in the United States was $6.685 billion. Chinese direct investment in the United States has also grown rapidly over the past decade, rising from $65 million in 2003 to $1.811 billion in 2011, an increase of 2,686.15; The stock increased from US $502 million in 2003 to US $6.685 billion in 2011, an increase of 1231.67.The investment is mainly concentrated in the manufacturing industry and accounts for a small proportion of China's total outward investment, and is dominated by resource-acquisition investment. In recent years, technology acquisition as the goal of direct investment in the United States has only just begun, but the growth rate is very fast 1. 5%. The United States is the largest developed country in the world and holds the world's most advanced technology. If China can increase the proportion of technology acquisition investment in the United States, the reverse technology spillover will increase accordingly. This paper analyzes the influencing factors of reverse technology spillover of China's direct investment in the United States through empirical analysis, and provides theoretical support for China's direct investment in the United States. The empirical analysis of this paper finally obtained the expected results. Using time series data, this paper focuses on six factors, such as China's RD expenditure, China and the United States' human capital, the degree of information technology between China and the United States, and the number of US patent applications, which have a significant impact on the reverse technology spillover of China's direct investment in the United States. Due to the existence of multiple collinearity among economic variables, the partial least square regression analysis method is used to establish a regression model in this paper. The regression results show that, except for the negative correlation between Chinese human capital and technology spillover, the other variables have a positive correlation with reverse technology spillover. The Chinese RD expenditure, the degree of informatization in China, American human capital has the strongest ability to explain reverse technology spillover, which indicates that these three factors affect the effect of reverse technology spillover of Chinese direct investment to the United States. Therefore, the policy recommendations of this paper are to increase China's RD expenditure, speed up the construction of China's informatization and make full use of the advantages of American human capital by Chinese multinationals.
【學位授予單位】：山東大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.6;F837.12;F752.67;F224
【參考文獻】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 張海波;俞佳根;;對外直接投資對母國的逆向技術(shù)溢出效應——基于東亞新興經(jīng)濟體的實證研究[J];財經(jīng)論叢;2012年01期
2 林青;陳湛勻;;中國技術(shù)尋求型跨國投資戰(zhàn)略:理論與實證研究——基于主要10個國家FDI反向溢出效應模型的測度[J];財經(jīng)研究;2008年06期
3 王耀中;劉舜佳;;基于后向關(guān)聯(lián)渠道的技術(shù)外溢及其影響因素的實證研究[J];財經(jīng)理論與實踐;2008年04期
4 王耀中;陳潔;張陽;;國際技術(shù)溢出、自主創(chuàng)新與服務業(yè)發(fā)展——基于長三角面板VAR模型的研究[J];財經(jīng)理論與實踐;2011年05期
5 馮永琦;;美國經(jīng)濟波動影響中國經(jīng)濟的國際傳導機制分析[J];財貿(mào)研究;2010年06期
6 王秋菲;李凱;許波;;產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、技術(shù)溢出與上下游廠商合作創(chuàng)新決策[J];東北大學學報(自然科學版);2007年05期
7 黃凌云,蒲勇健;北美和日本對中國物化技術(shù)溢出的有效性對比[J];重慶大學學報(自然科學版);2002年11期
8 黃凌云;范艷霞;許林;;國際貿(mào)易與FDI的技術(shù)溢出[J];重慶大學學報(自然科學版);2007年12期
9 王春曉;;中國對外直接投資與對外貿(mào)易關(guān)系的實證研究——基于美國、中國香港、越南的合成數(shù)據(jù)回歸分析[J];改革與戰(zhàn)略;2008年12期
10 江心英;陳麗珍;;外國直接投資技術(shù)外溢理論研究綜述[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2006年06期
，本文編號：2391904
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/guanlilunwen/bankxd/2391904.html
最近更新
教材專著
