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中國金融發(fā)展對(duì)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的影響分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-11-17 09:17
【摘要】:金融發(fā)展和對(duì)外貿(mào)易是中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的兩大重要議題,研究金融發(fā)展對(duì)中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的影響,可以探究二者之間的聯(lián)系,從而從金融發(fā)展的角度為中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化提出政策建議,同時(shí)也能為金融發(fā)展提供新的發(fā)展思路。 本文首先分析了金融發(fā)展影響一國商品出口的作用機(jī)制,即通過資本積累和技術(shù)進(jìn)步能夠提高一國資本技術(shù)密集型商品的出口比重。繼而將金融分為了政策性金融和商業(yè)性金融,分別分析了其發(fā)展對(duì)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的影響,并通過Johansen協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),分析了不同金融指標(biāo)對(duì)于我國五類出口商品,即初級(jí)產(chǎn)品、勞動(dòng)密集與資源依托工業(yè)制成品、低技能低技術(shù)密集型工業(yè)制成品、中技能中技術(shù)密集型工業(yè)制成品、高技能高技術(shù)密集型工業(yè)制成品出口占比的影響程度。 研究表明,無論是政策性金融還是商業(yè)性金融對(duì)于中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)都起到了一定的優(yōu)化作用,確實(shí)能夠提升中國中高技能技術(shù)密集型商品的出口占比,且商業(yè)性金融還有利于粗略分類下勞動(dòng)密集型商品的內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化,這些都證明了金融發(fā)展與對(duì)外貿(mào)易之間的正向聯(lián)系。從影響力度來看,金融中介發(fā)展對(duì)于出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的促進(jìn)作用最大,,表明了中國融資系統(tǒng)中間接融資依然占據(jù)著重要地位。而股票市場的發(fā)展由于主板市場上市標(biāo)準(zhǔn)限制及投資理念中投機(jī)成分較大而對(duì)中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整效果有限,只能期待創(chuàng)業(yè)板市場的效果。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資與出口信貸對(duì)于中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)改善的效果居中,不過鑒于傳統(tǒng)制造業(yè)在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資中仍占據(jù)了不小的比例,且中國風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資整體還有待發(fā)展,故風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資對(duì)中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的促進(jìn)作用還有很大的提升空間。 最后,本文從金融中介、金融市場、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資等多角度對(duì)金融發(fā)展提出了政策建議,以期從金融發(fā)展視角優(yōu)化中國出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)。
[Abstract]:Financial development and foreign trade are two important issues in China's economic development. To study the impact of financial development on the structure of China's export commodities, we can explore the links between the two. From the point of view of financial development, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions for optimizing the structure of China's export commodities, and at the same time, it can provide a new way of development for the financial development. This paper first analyzes the mechanism by which financial development affects a country's commodity exports, that is, through capital accumulation and technological progress, the export proportion of capital-technology-intensive commodities can be increased. Then it divides the finance into policy finance and commercial finance, analyzes the influence of its development on the structure of export commodities, and analyzes the different financial indicators for the five kinds of export commodities of our country, namely primary products, by Johansen cointegration test. The influence of labor-intensive and resource-dependent manufactured goods, low skill and low technology intensive manufactured goods, middle skill technology-intensive manufactured goods and high skill and high technology-intensive industrial manufactures. The research shows that both policy finance and commercial finance have played a certain role in optimizing the structure of China's export commodities, which can really enhance the proportion of Chinese exports of high-skill and technology-intensive commodities. Commercial finance is also conducive to the optimization of the internal structure of labor-intensive commodities under rough classification, which proves the positive relationship between financial development and foreign trade. From the perspective of influence, the development of financial intermediation plays the most important role in the optimization of export commodity structure, indicating that indirect financing still occupies an important position in China's financing system. The development of the stock market has limited effect on the adjustment of China's export commodity structure due to the restriction of the listing standard of the main market and the large speculative element in the investment idea, so it can only look forward to the effect of the gem market. The effect of venture capital and export credit on the improvement of China's export commodity structure is in the middle. However, since the traditional manufacturing industry still accounts for a large proportion of venture capital, and the overall venture capital of China has yet to be developed, Therefore, the promotion of venture capital on the restructuring of China's export commodities still has a lot of room for improvement. Finally, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on financial development from the perspectives of financial intermediation, financial market, venture capital and so on, in order to optimize the structure of Chinese export commodities from the perspective of financial development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:寧波大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F832;F752.62

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