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中國對美貿易與對美直接投資的關系研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-11-12 17:00
【摘要】:隨著貿易投資一體化的不斷發(fā)展,其對世界經濟的影響也不斷加深。中國與美國作為當今世界經濟格局中最具代表性的兩大經濟體,其國際貿易與國際投資的協(xié)同發(fā)展對二者來說都是至關重要的。就中國而言,國際貿易的穩(wěn)健增長是其經濟快速發(fā)展的首要原因,也是其經濟政策的重中之重。然而,中國對美貿易在經過一個快速增長期后,其發(fā)展遇到諸多阻礙,在很大程度上制約了中國經濟發(fā)展的進程。另一方面,中國的國際直接投資起步晚、發(fā)展慢,其對美直接投資仍低于國際正常水平,尚具有很大的發(fā)展?jié)摿ΑR虼,擴大中國在美投資以及總的對外直接投資可以在世界經濟不景氣的背景下刺激中國的經濟增長,成為中國經濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展的另一途徑;谶@一目的,探究中國對美貿易與在美投資之間的關系就對指導中國今后的經濟實踐有著深遠的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文采用定性和定量分析、理論與實證相結合的方法,以國際貿易投資一體化理論為支撐,對中國對美貿易與中國在美投資的關系進行研究。文章的研究路線是:現(xiàn)狀分析—理論預測—實證檢驗—對策建議,首先分別分析中國對美的貿易和投資現(xiàn)狀,從貿易依存度的角度說明中國在中美貿易中處于被動地位,這一現(xiàn)狀顯然不利于中國經濟的長期可持續(xù)發(fā)展;從投資強度的角度說明中國在美投資不充分,具有很大的發(fā)展空間,可以為經濟發(fā)展提供新的道路。其次從理論和實證方面對中國對美貿易和投資的關系進行分析和檢驗。最后對制約中國在美投資的政治、法律、金融和管理等因素進行分析,,并在此基礎上提出相應的對策措施。 本文得出的結論是:在長期中,中國對美出口與中國在美直接投資互為因果關系,二者相互促進,共同增長。但是中國從美進口與中國在美直接投資之間不是互為因果的關系,只有中國在美直接投資的擴大能夠促進中國從美進口的單方面因果關系。因此,通過擴大在美投資可以帶動中國對外貿易的進一步發(fā)展,同時還可以緩解中美之間的貿易摩擦。為了應對和消除各種消極因素,政府和企業(yè)都要積極采取措施,創(chuàng)造良好的投資環(huán)境,做好戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃和政策保障,有針對性地對各種缺陷進行完善,從而擴大中國在美投資,進一步刺激經濟增長,實現(xiàn)經濟的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of the integration of trade and investment, its impact on the world economy is also deepening. China and the United States are the two most representative economies in the world economy. The coordinated development of their international trade and investment is of great importance to both of them. As far as China is concerned, the steady growth of international trade is the primary reason for its rapid economic development and the most important part of its economic policy. However, after a period of rapid growth, the development of China's trade with the United States has encountered many obstacles, which to a large extent has restricted the progress of China's economic development. On the other hand, China's international direct investment starts late and develops slowly, and its direct investment in the United States is still below the normal international level. Therefore, the expansion of Chinese investment in the United States and foreign direct investment in general can stimulate China's economic growth in the context of the world economic downturn, and become another way for China's sustainable economic development. For this purpose, it is of great practical significance to explore the relationship between China's trade with the United States and its investment in the United States to guide China's economic practice in the future. This paper studies the relationship between China's trade with the United States and China's investment in the United States by means of qualitative and quantitative analysis, theory and demonstration, supported by the theory of integration of international trade and investment. The research route of this paper is as follows: current situation analysis, theoretical prediction, empirical test, countermeasures and suggestions. Firstly, the paper analyzes the current situation of China's trade and investment with the United States, and explains that China is in a passive position in Sino-US trade from the angle of trade dependence. This situation is obviously not conducive to the long-term sustainable development of China's economy; From the angle of investment intensity, it shows that Chinese investment in the United States is not sufficient and has a great space for development, which can provide a new way for economic development. Secondly, the relationship between China's trade and investment with the United States is analyzed and tested theoretically and empirically. Finally, it analyzes the political, legal, financial and management factors that restrict China's investment in the United States, and puts forward corresponding countermeasures. The conclusion is: in the long run, China's exports to the United States and China's direct investment in the United States are causality, the two promote each other and grow together. However, the relationship between China's imports from the United States and China's direct investment in the United States is not mutually causal. Only the expansion of Chinese direct investment in the United States can promote the unilateral causal relationship between China's imports from the United States and China's direct investment in the United States. Therefore, the expansion of investment in the United States can promote the further development of China's foreign trade and ease the trade friction between China and the United States. In order to deal with and eliminate all kinds of negative factors, the government and enterprises should actively take measures to create a good investment environment, do a good job of strategic planning and policy guarantees, and make targeted improvements to various defects, thereby expanding China's investment in the United States. Further stimulate economic growth to achieve sustainable economic development.
【學位授予單位】:河北經貿大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F752.7;F832.6

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