本文選題：資本項目開放 + 因子分析��； 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟全球化和金融一體化的發(fā)展，各國紛紛放松金融管制和資本管制，中國也在積極實行金融自由化和金融全球化戰(zhàn)略。在“十一五”規(guī)劃中，我國政府首次提出探索逐步實現(xiàn)資本項目可兌換，在“十二五”規(guī)劃中明確提出“放寬跨境資本交易限制，逐步實現(xiàn)人民幣資本項目可交換”。推進資本項目可兌換，是中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的必然，是人民幣國際地位提高的必然要求。 然而，資本項目可兌換使得跨境資本流動更為頻繁、快捷，各種因素都可能引起資本的大規(guī)模流入流出，對一國原有的各項經(jīng)濟制度的內(nèi)在脆弱性造成強烈沖擊，從而放大宏觀經(jīng)濟的脆弱性和加重經(jīng)濟問題的嚴(yán)重性。因此有必要對人民幣資本項目可交換進程中可能出現(xiàn)的各種風(fēng)險進行系統(tǒng)的分析。 本文從理論和實際的角度出發(fā)，，詳細(xì)總結(jié)了人民幣資本項目開放進程中面臨的各項風(fēng)險。通過計量經(jīng)濟模型來分析匯率制度選擇對資本賬戶可兌換的影響。在此基礎(chǔ)上，結(jié)合中國資本項目開放的客觀狀況，通過因子分析的方法綜合出金融風(fēng)險的主要因子，將風(fēng)險管理措施的提出納入到風(fēng)險分析中，從而提出科學(xué)、有限的金融風(fēng)險管理方案。
[Abstract]:With the development of economic globalization and financial integration, various countries have relaxed financial and capital controls, and China is also actively implementing the strategy of financial liberalization and financial globalization. In the "11th Five-Year Plan", the Chinese government for the first time proposed to explore the gradual realization of capital account convertibility, in the "12th Five-Year Plan" clearly proposed that "relax the restrictions on cross-border capital transactions, gradually realize the RMB capital account exchangeable." The promotion of capital account convertibility is the necessity of China's economic development and the inevitable requirement of improving the international status of RMB. However, capital account convertibility makes cross-border capital flows more frequent and faster, and various factors may lead to large-scale capital inflows and outflows, which have a strong impact on the inherent fragility of a country's original economic systems. Thus amplify the fragility of the macro-economy and aggravate the seriousness of the economic problems. Therefore, it is necessary to systematically analyze the risks that may occur in the process of RMB capital account exchangeability. In this paper, the risks in the process of opening RMB capital account are summarized theoretically and practically. The influence of exchange rate regime selection on capital account convertibility is analyzed by econometric model. On this basis, combined with the objective situation of capital account opening in China, the main factors of financial risk are synthesized by the method of factor analysis, and the risk management measures are put forward into the risk analysis. Limited financial risk management program.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.6

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 孫逍宵;我國資本和金融賬戶開放過程中面臨的風(fēng)險研究[D];國際關(guān)系學(xué)院;2015年

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