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不同信息框架下物價變化對通脹感知的影響

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-11 20:50

  本文選題:通脹感知 + 物價變化; 參考:《寧波大學》2013年碩士論文


【摘要】:因為各種原因的價格波動在經(jīng)濟社會中隨處可見。即使在相對穩(wěn)定的經(jīng)濟形勢下,商品和服務的價格也會在不同的情況下變化很大。對物價變化的主觀感受產(chǎn)生通脹感知。通脹感知影響通脹預期,進一步影響經(jīng)濟社會中個體的經(jīng)濟行為和經(jīng)濟決策。所以通脹感知的形成過程及影響因素是研究通脹感知和通脹預期的核心內(nèi)容。 本文就物價變化的漲跌方向和漲跌幅度兩個方面,以實證研究的方式探討了物價變化對通脹感知的影響。隨后討論了在不同信息框架下物價變化對通脹感知的調(diào)節(jié)作用。研究結(jié)果表明,受到損失厭惡的影響,當物價上漲時,物價變化更能影響個體對物價變化的感知。個體對快速消費品的物價變化也比對耐用品的物價變化敏感。實驗四的研究結(jié)果顯示,框架效應也在一定程度上對通脹感知有影響。這就提醒我們,媒體對已公布的宏觀經(jīng)濟信息(包括相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)與政策)的傳播,必然是對消費者影響較大;而媒體觀點的發(fā)表,則通過其輿論話語權(quán),,對消費者產(chǎn)生主要影響。這些結(jié)論表明,在公眾通脹感知的形成過程中,的確存在著媒體擴大效應。 本文對通脹感知的研究,將會擴大感知通貨膨脹趨勢的認知機制的研究領(lǐng)域,并且尋求更多其他因素對于通貨膨脹影響的研究,其中包括媒體擴大效應這類外部因素,以及預期和消費者對于價格的記憶和認知這種內(nèi)部因素。如果我們了解這些機制的作用方式,我們將有可能更好的理解消費者對于價格改變的行為回應。當然,對于通貨膨脹復雜性的思考是十分重要的,發(fā)現(xiàn)消費者因為自己的預期改變消費模式也是十分重要的,進一步加深對于消費者認知模型和其中的決定因素進行探究,是未來通脹感知研究領(lǐng)域的方向。
[Abstract]:Price fluctuations for various reasons can be seen everywhere in the economy and society. Even in a relatively stable economy, prices of goods and services can vary widely. The subjective perception of price changes produces a sense of inflation. Inflation perception affects inflation expectations and further affects economic behavior and economic decisions of individuals in economic society. Therefore, the forming process and influencing factors of inflation perception are the core contents of the study of inflation perception and inflation expectation. The influence of price change on inflation perception is discussed by empirical research. Then it discusses the adjustment effect of price change on inflation perception under different information frame. The results show that under the influence of loss aversion, when the price rises, the price change can affect the perception of the price change more. Individuals are also more sensitive to price changes for fast moving consumer goods than for durable goods. The results of experiment 4 show that the frame effect also has an effect on inflation perception to some extent. This reminds us that the dissemination of published macroeconomic information (including relevant data and policies) by the media is bound to have a greater impact on consumers, while the publication of media views has a major impact on consumers through their right to speak through public opinion. These conclusions indicate that there is a media expansion effect in the process of the formation of public inflation perception. The study of inflation perception in this paper will expand the research field of cognitive mechanism of perceived inflation trend. It also seeks more studies on the impact of inflation on other factors, including external factors such as the media expansion effect, as well as internal factors such as expectations and consumers' memories and perceptions of prices. If we understand how these mechanisms work, we will have a better understanding of how consumers respond to price changes. Of course, it is very important to think about the complexity of inflation. It is also very important to find that consumers change their consumption patterns because of their own expectations. It is also very important to further explore consumer cognitive models and their determinants. It is the direction of inflation perception research in the future.
【學位授予單位】:寧波大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F820.5

【共引文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 賀平;;貿(mào)易政治學的個體主義視角[J];國際政治科學;2014年02期

相關(guān)碩士學位論文 前1條

1 李爽;商品價格變化對通脹知覺的影響[D];浙江大學;2013年



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