本文選題：金融發(fā)展 + 貿(mào)易增長　； 參考：《陜西師范大學(xué)》2013年博士論文

【摘要】：在金融發(fā)展視角下,FDI、國際貿(mào)易與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系成為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)領(lǐng)域研究的熱點問題。金融發(fā)展對于FDI溢出效用促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的文獻(xiàn)逐漸增多,在內(nèi)生增長理論的基礎(chǔ)上,隨著FDI進(jìn)入數(shù)量增多,引入外資企業(yè)獲得的技術(shù)外溢效應(yīng)越多,東道國通過FDI的技術(shù)溢出效用越增加,本國的貿(mào)易增長效用越大。經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的加快,金融市場與貿(mào)易在不同地域間產(chǎn)業(yè)的融合與互動關(guān)系日益加劇,金融、FDI與貿(mào)易的關(guān)系越來越引起學(xué)者們的重視,金融發(fā)展能否通過FDI影響對外貿(mào)易?金融發(fā)展如何影響一國的貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)一國的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長?尤其是否促進(jìn)我國外貿(mào)出口的規(guī)模增長和外貿(mào)出口的結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化?影響的機(jī)理和途徑是什么?這些問題都是金融發(fā)展理論和國際貿(mào)易理論中的前沿問題。 本文構(gòu)建了金融發(fā)展、FDI影響貿(mào)易增長的理論框架,力求在前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上,歸納出金融發(fā)展如何通過FDI對貿(mào)易增長影響的機(jī)理體系。并對貿(mào)易增長影響因素進(jìn)行分析,并分別建立了金融發(fā)展、FDI對貿(mào)易影響的機(jī)理與傳導(dǎo)模型。在模型分析上,從宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)視角運(yùn)用VAR模型對金融發(fā)展和FDI兩個變量、與貿(mào)易增長的關(guān)系進(jìn)行分析和協(xié)整檢驗。從地域視角對各區(qū)域金融發(fā)展的對貿(mào)易效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了實證檢驗,并分析金融發(fā)展規(guī)模、效率及金融市場對貿(mào)易發(fā)展的規(guī)模和外貿(mào)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展的差異性影響程度。進(jìn)一步從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與升級視角檢驗了金融發(fā)展我國對貿(mào)易影響的傳導(dǎo)途徑,利用增長理論、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)、融資規(guī)模對制造業(yè)出口結(jié)構(gòu)影響的作用機(jī)理,進(jìn)一步探尋金融發(fā)展如何影響我國貿(mào)易的增長,通過金融市場的發(fā)展帶動貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化,促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的可持續(xù)性。 本文主要以內(nèi)生增長理論、金融深化理論等相關(guān)理論為研究基礎(chǔ),并結(jié)合實證研究方法,試圖探究不同金融發(fā)展水平下,FDI溢出效應(yīng)對促進(jìn)貿(mào)易增長、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響途徑。 在金融發(fā)展視角下,FDI溢出效應(yīng)通過不同路徑來推動我國貿(mào)易的增長,進(jìn)而促進(jìn)國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,由于我國金融市場發(fā)展的不完善性,金融市場促進(jìn)FDI溢出效應(yīng)的作用并不顯著。金融發(fā)展對FDI的技術(shù)進(jìn)步的影響不顯著,因此需要國家重視貿(mào)易政策,加大對貿(mào)易的支持力度,促進(jìn)金融市場的發(fā)展和金融結(jié)構(gòu)的完善,增強(qiáng)金融市場的效率促進(jìn)FDI溢出的技術(shù)吸收能力。進(jìn)一步發(fā)展我國金融體系以促進(jìn)FDI的經(jīng)濟(jì)溢出效應(yīng),增進(jìn)貿(mào)易增長,增強(qiáng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的可持續(xù)性,并提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。 本文的主要創(chuàng)新點在于： (1)構(gòu)建了金融發(fā)展對貿(mào)易增長影響的機(jī)理框架。在理論綜述和比較分析的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合金融發(fā)展理論、FDI溢出效應(yīng)理論和國際貿(mào)易理論,分析金融發(fā)展前提下,FDI溢出效用對貿(mào)易發(fā)展的影響路徑,建立本研究的理論框架。 (2)基于金融發(fā)展、FDI溢出對貿(mào)易的影響機(jī)理和傳動路徑的分析,以國家、地域、產(chǎn)業(yè)三個視角利用面板數(shù)據(jù),通過建立多變量VAR模型,協(xié)整檢驗、Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗等方法進(jìn)行實證檢驗。對金融發(fā)展影響貿(mào)易增長進(jìn)行建模研究,使用單位根檢驗過程與獨立回歸的判別標(biāo)準(zhǔn),對其影響關(guān)系進(jìn)行相關(guān)問題的驗證。研究結(jié)論支持了金融發(fā)展和貿(mào)易增長之間理論上存在的關(guān)系,不同層面的檢驗表明傳動機(jī)理的影響過程有一定的差異。
[Abstract]:From the perspective of financial development, FDI, the relationship between international trade and economic growth has become a hot issue in the field of economics. The literature on financial development has increased gradually for the economic growth of FDI spillover. On the basis of the endogenous growth theory, the more technological spillover effects of foreign enterprises are gained with the increasing of the number of FDI. The greater utility of FDI's technology spillover, the greater the utility of trade growth in the country, the faster economic integration, the increasing integration and interaction between the financial market and trade in different regions. The relationship between finance, FDI and trade has aroused more and more attention of scholars. Can financial development affect foreign trade through FDI? How does financial development affect the structure of a country's trade and promote the economic growth of a country, especially whether it promotes the growth of the export of foreign trade and the optimization of the structure of the export of foreign trade? What are the mechanisms and ways of the influence? These are the frontiers in the theory of financial development and the theory of international trade.
This paper constructs the theoretical framework of the financial development and the influence of FDI on trade growth. On the basis of the previous research, this paper sums up the mechanism of how the financial development affects the growth of trade through FDI, and analyzes the factors affecting trade growth, and establishes the mechanism and conduction model of the financial development, the effect of FDI on Trade and the model. On the basis of the macro economic perspective, the VAR model is used to analyze the relationship between financial development and the two variables of FDI and trade growth. The empirical test is made on the trade effect of the regional financial development from the regional perspective, and the scale of the financial development, the efficiency and the scale of the trade development and the export of the foreign trade are analyzed. Further from the perspective of industrial structure and upgrading, this paper examines the channel of financial development of China on trade impact, the mechanism of the effect of growth theory, scale economy and financing scale on the export structure of manufacturing industry, and further explore how financial development affects the growth of China's trade. The development of financial market promotes the optimization of trade structure and promotes the sustainability of economic growth.
This paper is based on the theory of endogenous growth, financial deepening theory and other related theories, and tries to explore the ways of the effect of FDI spillover effect on promoting trade growth and economic growth under different financial development levels.
From the perspective of financial development, the FDI spillover effect promotes the growth of China's trade through different paths and further promotes the economic growth of the country. Due to the imperfection of the development of the financial market in China, the role of the financial market to promote the FDI spillover effect is not significant. The effect of financial development on the technological progress of FDI is not significant, therefore, the country needs to be emphasized. According to the trade policy, we should strengthen the support for trade, promote the development of the financial market and improve the financial structure, enhance the efficiency of the financial market and promote the technological absorptive capacity of the FDI spillover. Further develop our financial system to promote the economic spillover effect of the FDI, enhance the growth of the trade and enhance the sustainability of the economic growth, and put forward the phase of the economic growth. Policy recommendations.
The main innovations of this paper are as follows:
(1) the mechanism framework of the impact of financial development on trade growth is constructed. On the basis of theoretical review and comparative analysis, combining the theory of financial development, FDI spillover effect theory and international trade theory, the path of FDI spillover effect on trade development is analyzed under the premise of financial development, and the theoretical framework of this study is established.
(2) based on the financial development, the analysis of the influence mechanism and transmission path of FDI spillover on trade, using panel data from three perspectives of state, region and industry, through the establishment of a multivariable VAR model, co integration test, Granger causality test and other methods, model research on the growth of gold and thaw development affecting trade growth and the use of unit root The test process and the independent regression criterion are used to verify the related problems. The conclusions support the theoretical relationship between the financial development and the trade growth, and the different levels of the test show that the influence process of the transmission mechanism is different.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：陜西師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752;F832

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本文編號：1998744