發(fā)布時間：2018-05-21 18:30

  本文選題：貨幣國際化 + 貿(mào)易發(fā)展�。� 參考：《寧波大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展、美元霸權(quán)地位的下降、日元國際化的推進(jìn)以及歐元作為國際貨幣的出現(xiàn)，貨幣國際化問題得到理論界更多關(guān)注。本文以貿(mào)易為切入點，在歸納分析經(jīng)典理論的基礎(chǔ)上，從貿(mào)易規(guī)模與貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)兩方面詳盡分析了貿(mào)易發(fā)展促進(jìn)貨幣國際化的影響路徑，剖析了貿(mào)易發(fā)展影響貨幣國際化程度的因素，構(gòu)建多國面板模型，進(jìn)行實證分析，并分別建立日元與德馬克國際化的多元序列回歸模型，比較分析了日元、馬克在國際化進(jìn)程中的貿(mào)易促進(jìn)作用，最后在理論分析和實證研究的基礎(chǔ)上歸納了有利于人民幣國際化的若干啟示。 本文認(rèn)為：貿(mào)易規(guī)模擴(kuò)大帶來的規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)和交易網(wǎng)絡(luò)效應(yīng)，會對貨幣國際化帶來積極的正面作用；貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)不斷優(yōu)化使貨幣的使用范圍逐漸增加，會發(fā)展與完善該貨幣的交易媒介職能，也會促進(jìn)貨幣國際化；貨幣發(fā)行國的經(jīng)濟(jì)實力、金融發(fā)展水平和貨幣價值的穩(wěn)定也對一國貨幣國際化有重要作用。 實證結(jié)果以及對馬克日元國際化進(jìn)程比較分析進(jìn)一步表明：對外貿(mào)易規(guī)模的擴(kuò)大、產(chǎn)品差異化程度的提升可以促進(jìn)貨幣國際化；一國經(jīng)濟(jì)實力是貨幣國際化的重要因素；金融發(fā)展對貨幣國際化的推動力隨著全球金融經(jīng)濟(jì)的深入發(fā)展而日漸增強(qiáng)；幣值穩(wěn)定是一國貨幣成為國際貨幣的重要條件。非主流貨幣國際化不要單打獨斗，，最好依靠區(qū)域合作的力量；國際貨幣的各個職能要兼顧發(fā)展，缺一不可。 為此，本文結(jié)合理論和實證的分析，從人民幣國際化現(xiàn)狀出發(fā)，最后提出以貿(mào)易發(fā)展為突破口加快推進(jìn)人民幣國際化的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略和實施舉措，具體包括：堅持從區(qū)域化到國際化的發(fā)展道路；發(fā)揮貿(mào)易推動效應(yīng)，擴(kuò)大國際貿(mào)易規(guī)模、推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級；鞏固人民幣國際化的金融根基；匯率改革和調(diào)整堅持獨立自主原則。
[Abstract]:With the development of the world economy, the decline of the hegemonic position of the dollar, the promotion of the internationalization of the yen and the emergence of the euro as an international currency, the issue of currency internationalization has been paid more attention to by the theorists. Based on the classical theory, this paper analyzes the influence of trade development on currency internationalization from two aspects: trade scale and trade structure. This paper analyzes the factors that influence the degree of currency internationalization in the development of trade, constructs the multi-country panel model, carries on the empirical analysis, and establishes the multiple sequence regression model of the internationalization of Japanese yen and Demark respectively, and compares and analyzes the yen. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical research, the author sums up some enlightenments in favor of RMB internationalization. This paper holds that the scale economy effect and the trade network effect brought by the expansion of trade scale will bring positive effect to currency internationalization, and the continuous optimization of trade structure will gradually increase the scope of use of currency. It will develop and perfect the exchange medium function of the currency and promote the currency internationalization, and the stability of the economic strength, the level of financial development and the monetary value of the issuing country will also play an important role in the internationalization of a country's currency. The empirical results and comparative analysis of the internationalization process of the mark yen further show that the expansion of the scale of foreign trade and the promotion of product differentiation can promote the currency internationalization, the economic strength of a country is an important factor of currency internationalization; With the further development of global financial economy, the impetus of financial development to currency internationalization is increasing, and currency stability is an important condition for a country's currency to become an international currency. It is best to rely on the strength of regional cooperation. All functions of the international currency must be balanced with the development of the international currency, and it is indispensable for each function of the international currency to take into account the development of the international currency. Therefore, based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper, starting from the current situation of RMB internationalization, finally puts forward the development strategy and implementation measures to accelerate the internationalization of RMB by taking the development of trade as a breakthrough. It includes: insisting on the development road from regionalization to internationalization; exerting the effect of promoting trade, expanding the scale of international trade, promoting the upgrading of industrial structure; consolidating the financial foundation of RMB internationalization; Exchange rate reform and readjustment adhere to the principle of independence and independence.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：寧波大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F821.6;F746

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