基于歷次通貨膨脹的我國貨幣政策有效性研究
本文選題:通貨膨脹 + 貨幣政策有效性 ; 參考:《山東財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:通貨膨脹是一個復(fù)雜的,也是宏觀經(jīng)濟運行中常見的經(jīng)濟現(xiàn)象。從表象來看,它表現(xiàn)為一般物價水平普遍持續(xù)上漲。宏觀經(jīng)濟調(diào)控通常有經(jīng)濟增長、物價穩(wěn)定、國際收支平衡和充分就業(yè)四大目標(biāo),可見物價穩(wěn)定作為其中之一,在整個經(jīng)濟運行中起著至關(guān)重要的作用。價格是經(jīng)濟變化的風(fēng)向標(biāo),通貨膨脹的產(chǎn)生導(dǎo)致一國貨幣貶值、市場價格扭曲,不僅影響國內(nèi)正常的經(jīng)濟運行,也可以通過貿(mào)易市場影響整個國際市場。 貨幣政策有效性是指貨幣政策能否通過不同的傳導(dǎo)機制,影響實際經(jīng)濟運行,順利實現(xiàn)預(yù)期的調(diào)控目標(biāo)。貨幣政策有效性理論主要研究兩方面內(nèi)容:一是貨幣政策通過怎樣的途徑和渠道作用于實際經(jīng)濟,即貨幣政策傳導(dǎo)機制理論;二是貨幣政策能否達到預(yù)期目標(biāo),影響實際經(jīng)濟運行,即貨幣政策有效性理論。 本文研究的主要目的在于通過對我國改革開放以來歷次通貨膨脹成因和貨幣政策有效性的研究,,以提出提高貨幣政策效果方面的合理建議。 以通貨膨脹和貨幣政策兩大方面內(nèi)容為主線,本文對我國改革開放以來歷次通貨膨脹以市場經(jīng)濟開發(fā)為界分為兩個階段,并對每個階段的通貨膨脹進行具體分析。著重對我國1993年后的三次通貨膨脹進行了實證研究。首先,對通貨膨脹成因進行了驗證,得出產(chǎn)品成本上漲、貨幣供給量過多、貨幣信貸投放過多是這三次通貨膨脹的主要原因。然后,對貨幣政策與通貨膨脹的關(guān)聯(lián)性進行驗證,得出采取這些貨幣政策是有效的,但同時具有局限性和弊端;以及這些貨幣政策在治理通貨膨脹方面存在現(xiàn)實的悖論等結(jié)論。 最后根據(jù)前文分析,分別就存款準(zhǔn)備金率、利率、公開市場操作三大貨幣政策對提高治理通貨膨脹貨幣政策有效性提出了建議。
[Abstract]:Inflation is a complex and common economic phenomenon in macroeconomic operation. From the appearance, it shows that the general price level generally keeps rising. Macroeconomic regulation and control usually have four goals: economic growth, price stability, international balance of payments and full employment. It can be seen that price stability, as one of them, plays a vital role in the whole economic operation. Price is the weather vane of economic change. The production of inflation leads to the devaluation of a country's currency and the distortion of market price, which not only affects the normal domestic economic operation, but also affects the whole international market through the trade market. The effectiveness of monetary policy refers to whether monetary policy can influence the actual economic operation through different transmission mechanisms and realize the expected target of regulation and control smoothly. The theory of monetary policy effectiveness is mainly studied in two aspects: the first is how monetary policy acts on the actual economy through what channels and channels, that is, the theory of monetary policy transmission mechanism, the second is whether monetary policy can achieve the expected goal. Affect the actual economic operation, that is, the effectiveness of monetary policy theory. The main purpose of this paper is to study the causes of inflation and the effectiveness of monetary policy since the reform and opening up in China, in order to put forward some reasonable suggestions on improving the effect of monetary policy. Taking inflation and monetary policy as the main line, this paper divides the past inflation into two stages by the development of market economy since China's reform and opening up, and makes a concrete analysis of the inflation in each stage. This paper focuses on the empirical study of three times inflation after 1993 in China. First of all, the causes of inflation are verified, and it is concluded that the main causes of these three inflation are the increase of product cost, the excessive amount of money supply and the excessive amount of money credit. Then, the paper verifies the relationship between monetary policy and inflation, and draws the conclusion that adopting these monetary policies is effective, but at the same time has limitations and drawbacks; and these monetary policies have realistic paradoxes in controlling inflation. Finally, according to the previous analysis, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy in controlling inflation by three major monetary policies: reserve ratio, interest rate and open market operation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山東財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F822.0;F822.5
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