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中國(guó)在拉美直接投資的區(qū)位選擇及其影響因素實(shí)證分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-02 01:11

  本文選題:中國(guó)企業(yè) 切入點(diǎn):對(duì)外直接投資 出處:《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文


【摘要】:在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的條件下,自實(shí)行中國(guó)對(duì)外開(kāi)放以來(lái),對(duì)外直接投資已成為中國(guó)發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要途徑,作為中國(guó)第二直接投資目的地的拉美,無(wú)疑是世人矚目的,研究和解剖中國(guó)企業(yè)在拉美投資的動(dòng)因,對(duì)中國(guó)企業(yè)在下一步再次投資是個(gè)重要參照指標(biāo)。 本文首先借鑒國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者的相關(guān)研究背景,以中國(guó)和拉美的經(jīng)貿(mào)合作關(guān)系和中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的情況作為基礎(chǔ)展開(kāi)中國(guó)企業(yè)對(duì)拉美直接投資的情況來(lái)綜合考察,如中國(guó)對(duì)拉美的投資規(guī)模、投資區(qū)域分布、投資特點(diǎn)和模式等情況作為參考依據(jù)。 通過(guò)計(jì)量方式,構(gòu)建模型和采用面板數(shù)據(jù)的GLS最新二乘估計(jì)方法,進(jìn)行回歸分析,選用2003-2011年中國(guó)對(duì)拉美10個(gè)國(guó)家,即阿根廷、玻利維亞、巴西、智利、哥倫比亞、厄瓜多爾、墨西哥、秘魯、巴拿馬和委內(nèi)瑞拉等直接投資存量和流量進(jìn)行回歸分析,中國(guó)對(duì)拉美投資的存量和流量受什么因素影響。 通過(guò)對(duì)中國(guó)在拉美投資的影響因素的實(shí)證研究,回歸結(jié)果得出以下結(jié)論:首先,中國(guó)在拉美國(guó)家投資與拉美市場(chǎng)規(guī)模(GDP)有負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,即GDP越高,無(wú)論是存量和流量都越低;其次,中國(guó)對(duì)拉美的雙邊貿(mào)易具有正相關(guān)關(guān)系,中國(guó)與拉美的貿(mào)易額越大,中國(guó)對(duì)拉美投資就越多;再次,拉美吸收外資的存量和流量(FDIS、FDII)都影響中國(guó)對(duì)拉美投資的主要因素,起到正效應(yīng)的影響;最后,政治風(fēng)險(xiǎn)(PR)和經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放程度(OP)都是對(duì)中國(guó)在拉美國(guó)家投資的負(fù)效應(yīng)影響因素,雖然模型變量的選擇有些不一樣,但根據(jù)調(diào)整后得出的回歸結(jié)果還是比較顯著的,這也說(shuō)明本文采取的計(jì)量回歸模型還是很大的程度上解釋了中國(guó)對(duì)拉美投資的主要影響因素。 基于本文的定性和定量的研究分析結(jié)果后,本文再提出影響中國(guó)企業(yè)在拉美投資所面臨的問(wèn)題和障礙以及提出中國(guó)企業(yè)在拉美投資的企業(yè)層面和政府層面的建議。
[Abstract]:Under the condition of globalization, since the implementation of Chinese opening up, foreign direct investment has become an important way to Chinese economic development, as China second direct investment destination in Latin America, is undoubtedly the world's attention, and the study motivation China anatomy of corporate investment in Latin America, the China investment again in the next step is a an important reference index.
This paper draws on relevant research background of domestic and foreign scholars, to Chinese and Latin American economic and trade cooperation between China and foreign direct investment as a basis for China enterprises to invest directly in Latin America to a comprehensive investigation, such as Chinese on Latin American investment scale, investment area distribution, investment characteristics and mode as reference.
Through the method of measurement, modeling and using the panel data of the latest GLS two by estimation method, regression analysis, using 2003-2011 years Chinese to 10 Latin American countries, namely Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Panama and Venezuela, regression analysis of direct investment stock and flow, Chinese investment in Latin America stock and flow affected by what.
Through an empirical study on the influencing factors of Chinese investment in Latin America, the result shows the following conclusions: firstly, China investment in Latin American countries and the Latin American market scale (GDP) have a negative correlation, namely the higher the GDP, both the stock and flow is low; secondly, Chinese bilateral trade on Latin America has positive correlation the relationship between the volume of trade, Chinese and Latin America more, Chinese investment in Latin America more; again, the Latin American foreign investment stock and flow (FDIS, FDII) are the main factors affecting the China investment in Latin America, has a positive impact effect; finally, political risk (PR) and the degree of openness (OP) are is the China factor in the negative effect of investment in Latin American countries, although the model variable choice is slightly different, but according to the regression results obtained after adjustment is obvious, it also shows that the measurement the regression model is great The main factors that affect China's investment in Latin America are explained in degree.
Based on the qualitative and quantitative research results, this paper puts forward the problems and obstacles that Chinese enterprises face in Latin American investment, and puts forward suggestions for Chinese enterprises to invest in Latin America at the corporate level and the government level.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F832.6;F125.5

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 熊潔敏;;我國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資區(qū)位選擇的模型分析[J];順德職業(yè)技術(shù)學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2007年02期

2 趙春明,何艷;從國(guó)際經(jīng)驗(yàn)看中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的產(chǎn)業(yè)和區(qū)位選擇[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì);2002年05期



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