本文選題：外商直接投資　切入點(diǎn)：水平溢出效應(yīng)　出處：《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：如何解釋中國(guó)過(guò)去三十年的高速經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是當(dāng)前學(xué)術(shù)界的一個(gè)重要話題,許多學(xué)者就此問(wèn)題以整個(gè)國(guó)家為對(duì)象展開(kāi)了許多研究。然而中國(guó)本身是個(gè)區(qū)域異質(zhì)性很強(qiáng)的國(guó)家,不同省份的資源稟賦優(yōu)勢(shì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、外商投資水平都不盡一致,全國(guó)范圍的研究往往忽略了區(qū)域?qū)用婊蛘呤‰H層面的特殊性；另一方面,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)現(xiàn)高速增長(zhǎng)的原因也是多方面的,比如內(nèi)部的市場(chǎng)化改革、外商直接投資、加入WTO等因素都是解釋中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的時(shí)候繞不開(kāi)的話題。基于以上考慮,本文試圖以一個(gè)小的切入點(diǎn)展開(kāi)研究。在研究過(guò)程中,本文試圖以江蘇省和浙江省這兩個(gè)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過(guò)程中頗具代表性的省份為分析對(duì)象,基于1998-2007年的詳實(shí)而全面的工業(yè)企業(yè)微觀數(shù)據(jù)為分析依據(jù),全面回顧和梳理外商直接投資(FDI, Foreign Direct Investment)對(duì)江浙兩省的企業(yè)的全要素生產(chǎn)率(TFP, Total Factor Productivity)的溢出效應(yīng)和影響機(jī)制。 本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn),外商直接投資對(duì)江蘇省、浙江省都產(chǎn)生了積極的后向關(guān)聯(lián)溢出效應(yīng),而前向關(guān)聯(lián)的溢出效應(yīng)并不顯著；另一方面,江蘇省還受到了FDI的水平溢出效應(yīng)的積極影響,然而這一點(diǎn)在浙江省卻并不顯著。進(jìn)一步,本文試圖結(jié)合江浙兩省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)情況和內(nèi)外資在各產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的布局情況對(duì)本文發(fā)現(xiàn)的事實(shí)予以解釋。本文認(rèn)為江浙兩省的FDI的行業(yè)分布結(jié)構(gòu)以及兩省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變化、在各產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈的分工都對(duì)FDI的水平和垂直的溢出產(chǎn)生了不同程度的影響。隨后,本文還用滯后項(xiàng)檢驗(yàn)和分區(qū)域、分行業(yè)回歸等方法進(jìn)一步印證了其邏輯的可靠性,我們認(rèn)為上述邏輯恰當(dāng)?shù)慕忉屃私陙?lái)的江浙兩省在增長(zhǎng)速度和增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量上的差異。同時(shí),上述發(fā)現(xiàn)對(duì)于我國(guó)今后的對(duì)外開(kāi)放政策的調(diào)整和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整等方面都有一定的借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:How to explain the rapid economic growth of China in the past 30 years is an important topic in current academic circles. Many scholars have carried out a lot of research on this issue. However, China itself is a country with strong regional heterogeneity. The advantages of resource endowment, the level of economic development and the level of foreign investment in different provinces are not consistent. The national research often ignores the particularity of regional or provincial level; on the other hand, The reasons for China's rapid economic growth are also various. For example, internal market-oriented reform, foreign direct investment, WTO entry and other factors are all the topics that explain China's economic growth. Based on the above considerations, In the course of the research, this paper attempts to take Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province, two representative provinces in the process of economic growth in China, as the objects of analysis. Based on the detailed and comprehensive microcosmic data of industrial enterprises from 1998 to 2007, this paper reviews and combs the spillover effect and influence mechanism of foreign direct investment (FDI) and Foreign Direct investment on the total factor productivity (TFP) and Total Factor productivity (TFP) of enterprises in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. This paper finds that FDI has a positive backward spillover effect on Jiangsu Province and Zhejiang Province, but the spillover effect of forward correlation is not significant; on the other hand, Jiangsu Province has also been positively affected by the horizontal spillover effects of FDI, but this is not significant in Zhejiang Province. This paper attempts to explain the facts found in this paper by considering the changes of industrial structure of Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces and the layout of domestic and foreign capital in each industrial chain. This paper holds that the industry distribution structure of FDI in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces and the changes of industrial structure of the two provinces are different. The division of labor in each industry chain has different effects on the horizontal and vertical spillover of FDI. Then, the reliability of the logic is further verified by the methods of lag term test, sub-region regression and sub-industry regression. We believe that the above logic properly explains the differences in growth rate and quality between Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces in recent years. At the same time, The above findings are helpful to the adjustment of our country's policy of opening to the outside world and the adjustment of industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F832.6

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