本文關(guān)鍵詞：遼寧省金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的實(shí)證研究　出處：《遼寧大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：中國特色社會主義市場經(jīng)濟(jì)的建設(shè)從改革開放至今已經(jīng)38年了,期問經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)取得了舉世矚目的重大成就,中國的國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)由1978年的3645億元增長到了2015年的676708億元,僅在37年的時間里,中國的GDP就增加了將近186倍。與此同時,中國的金融業(yè)經(jīng)歷了融資體制的轉(zhuǎn)變、證券市場的建立、金融業(yè)制度環(huán)境和法制體系的形成等多個過程,目前已經(jīng)形成了一個完整的金融體系。同時,金融不僅己經(jīng)逐漸成為重要的宏觀調(diào)控手段,同時也是國家對金融資源進(jìn)行合理配置的主要方法。隨著金融業(yè)的不斷發(fā)展,完善的金融市場結(jié)構(gòu)和功能能夠更好的服務(wù)資本市場,從而促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長。由此可見,金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響至關(guān)重要。在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)迅速發(fā)展過程中,遼寧省的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展貢獻(xiàn)了自己的力量。遼寧省GDP由1978年的229.2億元增加到了2015年的29485.4億元。同時,遼寧省的金融業(yè)也得到了快速發(fā)展,金融業(yè)增加值在2013年達(dá)到了1136.1億元,同時遼寧省銀行業(yè)發(fā)展穩(wěn)定,商業(yè)銀行依然占據(jù)主要市場；證券市場增長較大,交易額大幅上漲47.5%；保險業(yè)的保險密度和保險深度指標(biāo)雖然低于全國平均水平,但仍然有較大增長。綜上所述,遼寧省金融業(yè)正處于快速發(fā)展的階段,但目前,遼寧省的金融業(yè)發(fā)展也遇到了很多問題,如中小企業(yè)融資難、金融體系發(fā)展不平衡、金融系統(tǒng)運(yùn)行效率較低等問題。本文在實(shí)證部分中選取金融相關(guān)率、金融效率和遼寧省人均GDP的指標(biāo),建立了向量自回歸模型,選擇1978-2015年遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù),同時運(yùn)用協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)、脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)、方差分解等計量方法,針對遼寧省金融發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：遼寧省金融發(fā)展雖然能夠?qū)?jīng)濟(jì)增長起到促進(jìn)作用,但促進(jìn)作用并不明顯。因此,本文針對這一實(shí)證結(jié)果,結(jié)合遼寧省當(dāng)前金融業(yè)發(fā)展的狀況,提出了三點(diǎn)政策建議,期望最終能夠扭轉(zhuǎn)遼寧省當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的頹勢,真正發(fā)揮出金融業(yè)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的促進(jìn)作用。
[Abstract]:The construction of socialist market economy Chinese characteristics from the reform and opening up has been 38 years, the period of economic construction has made remarkable achievements, China gross domestic product (GDP) of 364 billion 500 million yuan from 1978 up to 2015 676708 billion yuan, in just 37 years, China GDP increased nearly 186 times. At the same time, China's financial industry has gone through many processes, such as the transformation of financing system, the establishment of securities market, the institutional environment of financial industry and the formation of legal system, etc., and now has formed a complete financial system. At the same time, finance has not only become an important means of macroeconomic regulation and control, but also the main method of the state's rational allocation of financial resources. With the continuous development of the financial industry, the perfect financial market structure and function can better serve the capital market, thus promoting economic growth. Thus, the impact of financial development on economic growth is crucial. In the process of rapid economic development in China, the economic development of Liaoning province has contributed to its own strength. The GDP of Liaoning province increased from 22 billion 920 million yuan in 1978 to 2 trillion and 948 billion 540 million yuan in 2015. At the same time, Liaoning Province, the financial industry has been rapid development, the financial industry added value in 2013 reached 113 billion 610 million yuan, while the development of Liaoning Province, the stability of the banking industry, commercial banks still occupy the main market; securities market grows larger, turnover rose sharply 47.5%; the insurance industry and the depth and density of insurance index although lower than the national average however, there is still a large growth. To sum up, Liaoning's financial industry is in a stage of rapid development, but at present, Liaoning's financial industry has also encountered many problems, such as the financing difficulties of SMEs, the unbalanced development of financial system, and the low efficiency of financial system. The index of financial efficiency and the per capita GDP of Liaoning Province financial related rate, in the empirical part selection, established the vector auto regression model, Liaoning province economic data of 1978-2015, at the same time, using cointegration test and Grainger causality test, impulse response function, variance decomposition and other measurement methods, aiming at the development of empirical research on finance in Liaoning province the impact of economic growth. The study found that the financial development in Liaoning province can play a role in promoting economic growth, but the role of the financial development is not obvious. Therefore, aiming at this empirical result, combined with the current development of financial industry in Liaoning Province, this paper puts forward three policy proposals, hoping to eventually reverse the decline of Liaoning's current economic development and really play a role in promoting the financial industry's economic growth.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F832.7;F127

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