【摘要】：隨著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的不斷提高,我國(guó)農(nóng)村居民的生活水平和收入水平也快速的增長(zhǎng),而隨之而來的對(duì)于農(nóng)村供電在可靠性、穩(wěn)定性以及安全性方面的要求也被提升到了一個(gè)新的高度,這種需求成為了擺在農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)的規(guī)劃方面的一個(gè)問題。我國(guó)農(nóng)村建設(shè)的電網(wǎng)很多都是多年以前敷設(shè)的,而當(dāng)時(shí)因?yàn)檗r(nóng)村的用電情況非常少,但是如今我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的突飛猛擊使得我國(guó)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)也水漲船高,農(nóng)村用電量大增,如今為農(nóng)村敷設(shè)的電網(wǎng)設(shè)備設(shè)施根本無法滿足如今農(nóng)村用電的需求,暴漏出來很多的問題,為了能夠更好的研究農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造項(xiàng)目工程,對(duì)農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造方案的社會(huì)和經(jīng)濟(jì)影響進(jìn)行全面的評(píng)價(jià)便顯得尤為重要,既對(duì)工程中產(chǎn)生的影響進(jìn)行了預(yù)測(cè),也使農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造項(xiàng)目具有相應(yīng)的科學(xué)的決策依據(jù)。本文收集了大量關(guān)于農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造的資料,首先介紹了電網(wǎng)預(yù)測(cè)及規(guī)劃方法及項(xiàng)目評(píng)價(jià)的常用評(píng)價(jià)方法,并講所介紹的預(yù)測(cè)方法應(yīng)用到了威縣農(nóng)網(wǎng)的電荷預(yù)測(cè)中。其次,介紹了威縣電網(wǎng)的基本情況,包括威縣的縣域情況、供電企業(yè)概況,從中對(duì)威縣電網(wǎng)所存在的主要問題進(jìn)行了分析。再次,從威縣農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造升級(jí)的目標(biāo)、改造升級(jí)的主要任務(wù)等方面對(duì)威縣農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)的十三五規(guī)劃方案進(jìn)行了闡述。最后根據(jù)威縣農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)改造升級(jí)的主要任務(wù),對(duì)威縣農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)改造升級(jí)的方案進(jìn)行綜合評(píng)價(jià),在綜合評(píng)價(jià)體系的構(gòu)建、指標(biāo)權(quán)重的賦值和模糊層次分析法等方面進(jìn)行了相關(guān)的研究,設(shè)立了農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)評(píng)價(jià)的四個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)安全性準(zhǔn)則、電網(wǎng)核心性能準(zhǔn)則、經(jīng)濟(jì)準(zhǔn)則、社會(huì)及影響準(zhǔn)則,采用了模糊層次分析法對(duì)威縣農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造方案進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià),得出方案可行的結(jié)論。并對(duì)威縣農(nóng)村提出了電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃、安全用電等方面提出了建議,為威縣農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)的改造提供了經(jīng)驗(yàn)。
[Abstract]:With the continuous improvement of China's economic development, the living standard and income level of rural residents in China have also increased rapidly, and the requirements for reliability, stability and safety of rural power supply have also been raised to a new height, which has become a problem in the planning of rural power grid. Many of the power grids built in rural areas of our country were laid many years ago, and at that time, because the electricity consumption in rural areas was very little, but now the rural economy of our country is also rising by leaps and bounds, and the electricity consumption in rural areas is also greatly increasing. Now, the power grid equipment and facilities laid for rural areas can not meet the needs of rural electricity consumption at all, and a lot of problems have been leaked out, in order to better study the rural network transformation project, It is particularly important to comprehensively evaluate the social and economic impact of the rural network transformation scheme. Not only the impact in the project is predicted, but also the rural network transformation project has the corresponding scientific decision-making basis. In this paper, a large number of data on the transformation of rural power network are collected. Firstly, the power grid prediction and planning methods and the common evaluation methods of project evaluation are introduced, and the prediction method is applied to the charge prediction of Weixian rural power network. Secondly, it introduces the basic situation of Weixian power grid, including the county situation of Weixian county, the general situation of power supply enterprises, and analyzes the main problems existing in Weixian power grid. Thirdly, the 13th five-year Plan of Weixian rural power grid is expounded from the aspects of the goal of transformation and upgrading of Weixian rural power network and the main tasks of transformation and upgrading. Finally, according to the main tasks of Weixian rural power grid transformation and upgrading, the scheme of Weixian rural power grid transformation and upgrading is comprehensively evaluated, and the related research is carried out in the aspects of the construction of comprehensive evaluation system, the assignment of index weight and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP). Four first-level index security criteria, power grid core performance criteria, economic criteria, social and impact criteria for rural power grid evaluation are established. The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to evaluate the transformation scheme of Weixian rural power network, and the conclusion is drawn that the scheme is feasible. Some suggestions on power grid planning and safe power consumption in Weixian rural areas are put forward, which provides experience for the transformation of Weixian rural power grid.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F426.61

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陳正軍;;農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)改造的特點(diǎn)及其常見問題分析[J];科技創(chuàng)新導(dǎo)報(bào);2016年29期

2 江聰;;農(nóng)村配電網(wǎng)升級(jí)改造規(guī)劃原則及方法研究[J];山東工業(yè)技術(shù);2016年23期

3 許可;;淺析農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)存在的問題及其改造[J];通信電源技術(shù);2016年04期

4 吳馨;黃雄峰;劉杰;許丹楓;;基于多層次模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)法的微電網(wǎng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估[J];電工電氣;2016年02期

5 楊紅磊;盛萬興;王金宇;李寧;王金麗;;基于模糊評(píng)價(jià)方法的農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造升級(jí)工程投資效果分析[J];電工電能新技術(shù);2015年02期

6 匡小平;鄧威;李文祿;;基于灰色層次分析法的戰(zhàn)儲(chǔ)物資管理效能評(píng)價(jià)[J];軍事交通學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2014年11期

7 王華國(guó);;農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)建設(shè)中新建與改造方案的選擇[J];農(nóng)村電工;2014年07期

8 張春蓮;劉藝;;農(nóng)網(wǎng)建設(shè)項(xiàng)目社會(huì)影響后評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系[J];云南電力技術(shù);2014年02期

9 李曉軍;楊晨光;胡文平;曾四鳴;;供電企業(yè)農(nóng)網(wǎng)建設(shè)與改造項(xiàng)目的投資綜合效益后評(píng)價(jià)方法[J];能源技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年12期

10 楊麗徙;張亮;張四清;呂樹河;;數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析在農(nóng)網(wǎng)投資效益評(píng)估中的應(yīng)用[J];電力系統(tǒng)保護(hù)與控制;2010年04期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前10條

1 胡娛歐;基于改進(jìn)的模糊層次分析法的輸電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃綜合評(píng)價(jià)研究[D];華北電力大學(xué)(北京);2016年

2 王路;鐵嶺市清河縣農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造升級(jí)項(xiàng)目實(shí)施效果研究[D];華北電力大學(xué);2015年

3 張潔羽;鄂爾多斯電業(yè)局鄂旗農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造工程效益分析與評(píng)價(jià)[D];華北電力大學(xué);2015年

4 陳明;唐縣農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)改造升級(jí)項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)研究[D];華北電力大學(xué);2015年

5 趙柯;包頭地區(qū)配電網(wǎng)改造項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)研究[D];華北電力大學(xué);2013年

6 吳健民;基于灰色層次分析法的熱電聯(lián)產(chǎn)項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)價(jià)研究[D];華北電力大學(xué);2012年

7 李青;內(nèi)蒙古農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)建設(shè)與改造項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)[D];華北電力大學(xué)（河北）;2009年

8 程茜;配電網(wǎng)投資項(xiàng)目后評(píng)價(jià)理論與實(shí)證研究[D];華北電力大學(xué)（北京）;2010年

9 吳棟;農(nóng)村電網(wǎng)建設(shè)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)綜合評(píng)價(jià)及應(yīng)用研究[D];華北電力大學(xué)（河北）;2009年

10 呂志勇;農(nóng)網(wǎng)改造工程項(xiàng)目評(píng)價(jià)分析及對(duì)策研究[D];華北電力大學(xué)（北京）;2009年

，

本文編號(hào)：2498766