本文選題：風電建設(shè)項目 + 投資決策　； 參考：《華北電力大學(xué)(北京)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著我國社會經(jīng)濟的快速發(fā)展和環(huán)境問題的日益突出,傳統(tǒng)能源已經(jīng)無法完全滿足人類的電力需求和環(huán)境要求,因此以低碳發(fā)展為目標的可再生能源利用已成為必然趨勢。其中,風能作為發(fā)展技術(shù)相對成熟,應(yīng)用范圍相對廣泛的可再生能源得到了越來越多的重視。然而目前我國大規(guī)模棄風限電現(xiàn)象的出現(xiàn),造成了風能資源大量浪費,碳減排功能無法實現(xiàn)以及項目效益嚴重低下的問題,因此實現(xiàn)風電項目的低碳發(fā)展成為上述問題解決的有效途徑之一。針對風電項目的低碳發(fā)展,本文認為風電項目的投資決策作為項目開展的前提條件,對風電項目建設(shè)的經(jīng)濟性、電網(wǎng)布局的穩(wěn)定性以及電源結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化都起著至關(guān)重要的作用。因此本文提出從低碳效益的角度進行風電項目的投資決策,有效控制風電項目盲目開發(fā)的同時增加了風電項目的經(jīng)濟效益,促進了風電項目的低碳發(fā)展。本文首先進行了大量與低碳效益以及風電項目決策現(xiàn)狀有關(guān)的文獻和資料研究,定義了低碳效益的內(nèi)涵,并基于SLEPT法分析了風電項目的決策環(huán)境,為后文指標體系及模型的構(gòu)建提供了理論支撐。接著本文分析了影響風電項目投資決策一般因素并豐富了其低碳內(nèi)涵,同時挖掘了基于環(huán)境控制的新低碳影響因素,并在此基礎(chǔ)上從低碳環(huán)境、低碳政策、經(jīng)濟效益、低碳技術(shù)、自然條件和社會影響六個方面建立了低碳背景下風電項目投資決策指標體系。然后本文對基于三角直覺模糊集與改進TODIM方法的決策模型的構(gòu)建步驟及處理過程進行了詳細介紹。最后本文應(yīng)用了算例分析,對決策指標體系和決策模型的實用性和有效性進行了驗證,決策結(jié)果證實了指標體系和決策模型在促進風電項目低碳發(fā)展方面具有一定的應(yīng)用價值。傳統(tǒng)的風電建設(shè)項目投資決策主要從經(jīng)濟可行性方面進行考慮,具有一定的片面性,本文通過構(gòu)建基于低碳效益的風電建設(shè)項目投資決策體系和模型,增加了風電項目投資的低碳價值,為投資企業(yè)實現(xiàn)低碳目標與經(jīng)濟效益的雙增長提供了具有借鑒價值的思路和方向。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's social economy and the increasingly prominent environmental problems, the traditional energy has been unable to fully meet the needs of human power and environmental requirements. Therefore, the use of renewable energy with the goal of low-carbon development has become an inevitable trend. Among them, wind energy as a relatively mature development technology, a relatively wide range of renewable energy has been paid more and more attention. However, the phenomenon of large-scale abandonment of wind and limited electricity in our country has caused a large amount of waste of wind energy resources, the failure of carbon emission reduction function and the serious low efficiency of the project. Therefore, the low-carbon development of wind power project becomes one of the effective ways to solve the above problems. In view of the low carbon development of wind power project, this paper holds that investment decision of wind power project is the precondition of project development, which plays an important role in the economy of wind power project construction, the stability of power grid layout and the optimization of power supply structure. Therefore, this paper puts forward the investment decision of wind power project from the angle of low carbon benefit, which can effectively control the blind development of wind power project and increase the economic benefit of wind power project and promote the low carbon development of wind power project. In this paper, a large number of documents and data related to low carbon benefit and decision status of wind power project are studied firstly, and the connotation of low carbon benefit is defined, and the decision-making environment of wind power project is analyzed based on SLEPT method. It provides theoretical support for the construction of index system and model. Then this paper analyzes the general factors that affect the investment decision of wind power project and enriches its low carbon connotation, and excavates the new low carbon influence factor based on the environment control, and on this basis, from the low carbon environment, the low carbon policy, the economic benefit. Six aspects of low carbon technology, natural conditions and social impact have been established to establish the investment decision index system of wind power projects under the low carbon background. Then, the construction steps and processing process of the decision model based on triangular intuitionistic fuzzy set and improved Toim method are introduced in detail. Finally, this paper applies the example analysis to verify the practicability and validity of the decision index system and the decision model. The decision result proves that the index system and the decision model have certain application value in promoting the low carbon development of the wind power project. The traditional investment decision of wind power construction project is mainly considered from the aspect of economic feasibility, which has certain one-sidedness. In this paper, the investment decision-making system and model of wind power construction project based on low carbon benefit are constructed. It increases the low carbon value of wind power project investment, and provides a valuable way of thinking and direction for investment enterprises to realize the double growth of low carbon target and economic benefit.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)(北京)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F426.61

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本文編號：2045517