本文選題：農(nóng)村藥品零售市場 + 農(nóng)村藥品零售價格�。� 參考：《價格理論與實踐》2017年03期

【摘要】：農(nóng)村中西藥品及醫(yī)療保健用品商品零售價格指數(shù)是反映我國農(nóng)村居民醫(yī)療衛(wèi)生賣方市場價格信號的重要指標(biāo),結(jié)合現(xiàn)實狀況研究其波動特征具有重要的理論價值。本文利用ARCH族模型對該零售價格指數(shù)的波動特征進(jìn)行實證分析。GARCH模型結(jié)果表明,該零售價格指數(shù)的波動記憶性較強,諸如醫(yī)藥政策改革、公共衛(wèi)生危機一類的事件信息對于價格指數(shù)的沖擊影響將是持久性的。EGARCH模型表明,整個樣本期間,相較"利空消息"而言,"利多消息"對農(nóng)村藥品零售市場價格波動影響更大,為了穩(wěn)定我國農(nóng)村的藥品零售市場,應(yīng)預(yù)防突發(fā)性公共衛(wèi)生事件對價格的沖擊,增加穩(wěn)定價格機制的宏觀政策
[Abstract]:The retail price index of Chinese and western medicines and medical care products in rural areas is an important index to reflect the market price signals of medical and health sellers of rural residents in our country. It is of great theoretical value to study its fluctuation characteristics in combination with the reality. This paper makes an empirical analysis of the volatility characteristics of the retail price index by using ARCH family model. The results show that the volatility memory of the retail price index is strong, such as the reform of pharmaceutical policy. The .EGARCH model, which shows that the impact of event information such as public health crisis on the impact of price index will be persistent, shows that, over the whole sample period, "good news" has a greater impact on the price fluctuation of rural drug retail market than "bad news". In order to stabilize the drug retail market in rural areas of China, we should prevent the impact of sudden public health events on prices and increase the macro policy of price stabilization mechanism.
【作者單位】： 中國財政科學(xué)研究院;
【分類號】：F426.72;F726

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