經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)下石家莊電力市場分析與預(yù)測
本文選題:經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài) + 電力市場分析; 參考:《華北電力大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:電力市場的分析與預(yù)測是電力發(fā)展規(guī)劃中最為核心的成分,也是電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃建設(shè)的依據(jù)和基礎(chǔ)。隨著電力工業(yè)在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)中扮演著越來越重要的角色,電力市場的正確預(yù)測顯得尤為重要。隨著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)入新常態(tài),電力生產(chǎn)消費(fèi)也呈現(xiàn)新常態(tài)特征。從整體來看,用電量整體趨勢由高速提升態(tài)勢進(jìn)入低速增長階段。電力消費(fèi)增長主要?jiǎng)恿Τ尸F(xiàn)由高耗能向新興產(chǎn)業(yè)、服務(wù)業(yè)和居民生活用電轉(zhuǎn)換的變化,電力供需形勢由偏緊轉(zhuǎn)為寬松。論文重點(diǎn)分析石家莊經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中出現(xiàn)的結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)型、經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)變化等新趨勢、新特點(diǎn)。對石家莊地區(qū)用電比重較大的重點(diǎn)行業(yè)和用戶工業(yè)產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)量變化趨勢,用電變化情況進(jìn)行分析,并對本地區(qū)新興產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展進(jìn)行重點(diǎn)分析,對影響電力市場的各項(xiàng)政策進(jìn)行梳理。通過分析影響電力供需的內(nèi)外部環(huán)境變化,對經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行、電力需求、負(fù)荷特性、電力供需平衡等進(jìn)行分析與預(yù)測,為電網(wǎng)企業(yè)制定規(guī)劃、計(jì)劃和經(jīng)營決策提供可靠依據(jù),同時(shí)將電網(wǎng)企業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)效益、規(guī)劃水平及投資決策水平有效提升。
[Abstract]:The analysis and prediction of the electricity market is the most core component of the power development planning, and it is also the basis and foundation of the power grid planning and construction. As the power industry plays a more and more important role in the national economy, the correct prediction of the electric power market is particularly important. With the new normal of China's economy, the power production and consumption are also new. As a whole, the overall trend of electricity consumption is from high speed to low growth stage. The main motive force of power consumption growth is from high energy consumption to emerging industry, service industry and residential living electricity conversion, and the situation of electricity supply and demand from tight to loose. The article focuses on the analysis of the economic development of Shijiazhuang. New trends and new characteristics, such as structural transformation and change of economic indicators. The trend of production change in key industries and users' industrial products in Shijiazhuang area is analyzed, the development of the new industry in the region is analyzed, and the policies that affect the power market are combed. Through the analysis of the influence of electricity, the influence of electricity is analyzed. The internal and external environment changes of force supply and demand are analyzed and predicted for economic operation, power demand, load characteristics and power supply and demand balance. It provides a reliable basis for planning, planning and management of power grid enterprises, and improves the economic efficiency, planning level and investment decision level of power grid enterprises effectively.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F426.61
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