本文選題：雙反”措施　切入點：光伏產(chǎn)品　出處：《江蘇大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：席卷全球的金融危機以及激烈的國際競爭使貿(mào)易保護主義傾向在全球抬頭�！半p反”措施已經(jīng)成為WTO成員國間常規(guī)化的一種貿(mào)易救濟工具。光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)作為新能源產(chǎn)業(yè)的代表是各國爭奪新能源市場份額的戰(zhàn)略制高點,近年來我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)迅速崛起,在國際市場的占有率也逐步提高。然而,隨著我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展,美歐相繼對我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)實施貿(mào)易制裁措施,針對我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)的“雙反”制裁案件數(shù)量逐年攀升。另外,我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)對國外市場依存度高,光伏產(chǎn)品技術(shù)含量低。國外與國內(nèi)市場的雙重影響導致我國光伏行業(yè)發(fā)展受阻,面臨著許多的挑戰(zhàn)。為此,本文從“雙反”措施對出口國經(jīng)濟效應(yīng)的理論研究出發(fā),從出口貿(mào)易、產(chǎn)業(yè)環(huán)境、國家福利三個層面來探究“雙反”措施對出口國的經(jīng)濟效應(yīng)。同時,分析我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)遭受“雙反”的現(xiàn)狀以及歐美發(fā)達國家及新興市場國家實施“雙反”措施的不同特點,揭示我國光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的機遇與挑戰(zhàn)、優(yōu)勢與劣勢、前景與趨勢。實證分析中本文首先采用商業(yè)貿(mào)易政策分析系統(tǒng)模型,實證檢驗美國對我國光伏行業(yè)實施“雙反”措施后產(chǎn)生的貿(mào)易效應(yīng)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),美國對我國光伏產(chǎn)品實施“雙反”措施具有一定的貿(mào)易抑制效應(yīng)。另外,雖然“雙反”措施的實施給美國光伏生產(chǎn)者帶來了福利,但卻損害了消費者的利益,所以從長遠來看美國社會總福利是下降的�！半p反”措施并不能從根本上起到貿(mào)易保護的作用。另外,本文還運用2006-2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù),探究影響我國光伏行業(yè)發(fā)展的宏觀經(jīng)濟因素。研究結(jié)果表明,國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值、我國光伏行業(yè)的出口水平、國外對我國光伏行業(yè)的貿(mào)易調(diào)查和貿(mào)易終裁都是影響我國光伏行業(yè)發(fā)展的因素,其中貿(mào)易終裁效應(yīng)對我光伏行業(yè)產(chǎn)能的影響最大,時間也最持久。最后針對以上研究發(fā)現(xiàn)的問題,為我國光伏行業(yè)未來發(fā)展提出幾點建議。首先應(yīng)建立良好的預(yù)警機制,爭取將國外的貿(mào)易制裁遏制在萌芽期,避免“雙反”終裁的最終落實。其次,當貿(mào)易終裁結(jié)果最終公布并落實,以積極的態(tài)度應(yīng)對貿(mào)易制裁,彌補“雙反”給我國光伏行業(yè)帶來的產(chǎn)品滯銷,生產(chǎn)停滯,企業(yè)虧損等不良影響,轉(zhuǎn)移“雙反”措施的貿(mào)易抑制效應(yīng)。最后,從長遠看我國光伏行業(yè)應(yīng)努力增強自身實力,促進行業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級,創(chuàng)新整合光伏企業(yè),開拓國內(nèi)市場,從根本上避免貿(mào)易制裁的不良影響。
[Abstract]:The global financial crisis and fierce international competition have made the trend of trade protectionism rise all over the world. "double counter" measures have become a conventional trade relief tool among WTO member countries. Photovoltaic industry is a new energy source. The representative of the industry is the strategic commanding point for countries to compete for share of the new energy market. In recent years, China's photovoltaic industry has risen rapidly, and its share in the international market has gradually increased. However, with the development of China's photovoltaic industry, the United States and Europe have successively imposed trade sanctions on China's photovoltaic industry. The number of "double opposition" sanctions against China's photovoltaic industry has increased year by year. In addition, China's photovoltaic industry has a high degree of dependence on foreign markets. The technology content of photovoltaic products is low. The development of photovoltaic industry in our country is hindered by the dual influence of foreign and domestic markets, and it faces many challenges. Therefore, this paper starts from the theoretical study of the economic effect of "double reverse" measures on exporting countries. From three aspects of export trade, industrial environment and national welfare, this paper explores the economic effects of "double counter" measures on exporting countries. This paper analyzes the current situation of the photovoltaic industry in China, and the different characteristics of the measures implemented by the developed countries and emerging market countries in Europe and the United States, and reveals the opportunities and challenges, advantages and disadvantages of the development of the photovoltaic industry in China. In the empirical analysis, we first use the commercial trade policy analysis system model to test the trade effect of the "double reverse" measures in the photovoltaic industry of our country. In addition, although the implementation of the "double reaction" measure has brought benefits to American photovoltaic producers, it has harmed the interests of consumers. So in the long run, overall social welfare in the United States is down. The "double counter" measures do not fundamentally protect trade. In addition, this article uses panel data from 2006 to 2015. This paper explores the macroeconomic factors that affect the development of photovoltaic industry in China. The results show that the GDP, the export level of photovoltaic industry in China, The foreign trade investigation and final cut of photovoltaic industry in our country are the factors that affect the development of photovoltaic industry in China, among which the final effect of trade arbitration has the greatest influence on the production capacity of photovoltaic industry in China. The time is also the longest. Finally, in view of the problems found in the above studies, some suggestions are put forward for the future development of the photovoltaic industry in China. First of all, we should establish a good early warning mechanism to try to contain foreign trade sanctions in the bud. Second, when the final results of the final trade cut are finally announced and implemented, and trade sanctions are dealt with in a positive manner, to make up for the unsalable products brought to our photovoltaic industry by "double negative", and the stagnation in production. In the long run, China's photovoltaic industry should strive to enhance its own strength, promote industry transformation and upgrading, innovate and integrate photovoltaic enterprises, and open up the domestic market. Fundamentally avoid the adverse effects of trade sanctions.
【學位授予單位】：江蘇大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F426.61;F741

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