本文關(guān)鍵詞： 技術(shù)追趕 技術(shù)研發(fā)基礎(chǔ) 研發(fā)投入渠道 專利制約　出處：《經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題探索》2017年06期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：探究技術(shù)未來(lái)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)及其影響因素是深入理解后發(fā)國(guó)家技術(shù)趕超的基礎(chǔ)。本文利用制造技術(shù)領(lǐng)域的技術(shù)預(yù)測(cè)問(wèn)卷調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),實(shí)證研究知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)限制如何影響我國(guó)技術(shù)未來(lái)發(fā)展格局變化。研究結(jié)果表明:技術(shù)受到專利制約不利于實(shí)現(xiàn)技術(shù)趕超;技術(shù)研發(fā)基礎(chǔ)則對(duì)我國(guó)技術(shù)追趕產(chǎn)生了顯著的正向影響效應(yīng),而且與專利制約聯(lián)合影響下,正向影響非常明顯。進(jìn)一步的分析指出,技術(shù)追趕受到專利制約的影響呈現(xiàn)U型關(guān)系,專利制約超過(guò)拐點(diǎn)后將會(huì)對(duì)技術(shù)追趕呈顯著正向影響。本文為理解后發(fā)國(guó)家未來(lái)技術(shù)發(fā)展格局變化、實(shí)現(xiàn)技術(shù)趕超提供了新的視角,對(duì)更好認(rèn)識(shí)技術(shù)能力積累、辯證理解國(guó)際技術(shù)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)也具有一定啟發(fā)意義。
[Abstract]:Exploring the future development trend of technology and its influencing factors is the basis of understanding the technological catch-up of the latecomer countries. This paper makes use of the survey data of technology prediction in the field of manufacturing technology. Empirical study on how intellectual property restrictions affect the future development pattern of technology in China. The results show that: technology is restricted by patent is not conducive to the realization of technological catch-up; The foundation of technology research and development has a significant positive effect on technological catch-up in China, and the positive effect is very obvious under the joint influence of patent restriction. Further analysis points out that. Technological catch-up is influenced by patent restriction, which is U-shaped. Patent restriction beyond the inflection point will have a significant positive impact on technological catch-up. This paper aims to understand the future technological development pattern changes in latecomer countries. The realization of technological catching up provides a new angle of view, which is also instructive to better understand the accumulation of technological ability and dialectical understanding of international technological competition.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)科學(xué)技術(shù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略研究院;南開(kāi)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與社會(huì)發(fā)展研究院;
【基金】：國(guó)家科技部創(chuàng)新戰(zhàn)略研究專項(xiàng)“技術(shù)預(yù)測(cè)前沿理論、方法及應(yīng)用”(ZLY2015126),項(xiàng)目負(fù)責(zé)人:袁立科 北京市科技創(chuàng)新中心建設(shè)戰(zhàn)略研究及專家咨詢專項(xiàng)“重點(diǎn)科技領(lǐng)域前沿?zé)狳c(diǎn)跟蹤及預(yù)測(cè)研究”(Z171100003217028),項(xiàng)目負(fù)責(zé)人:袁立科
【分類號(hào)】：F424.3
，

本文編號(hào)：1530369