美國TPP經(jīng)濟戰(zhàn)略研究
發(fā)布時間：2018-12-08 09:37
【摘要】：ＴＰＰ是泛太平洋經(jīng)濟合作伙伴關系協(xié)議的英文簡稱。最早是2005年新加坡、新西蘭、智利、文萊四國在APEC框架內簽定的多邊自由貿易協(xié)定。其核心內容就是成員之間彼此承諾在貨物貿易、服務貿易、知識產權以及投資等領域相互給予優(yōu)惠并加強合作。TPP具有高度開放性、全面自由以及高標準的特征。TPP最初并不為世人所知，2009年由于美國的加入而引起全球關注。全球性金融危機之后，美國經(jīng)濟受到重創(chuàng)，出口大幅度滑坡、失業(yè)率大幅攀升。與此同時，東亞經(jīng)濟一體化進程在危機面前迅速加快，產生了各種經(jīng)濟貿易合作機制，如確定東亞共同體長期目標的“10+3”、已啟動的中國—東盟自由貿易區(qū)以及正在籌備之中的東盟“10+6”。而APEC在美國的主導下，發(fā)展陷入了困境，逐漸被邊緣化。在這一背景下，美國宣布加入TPP，為振興本國經(jīng)濟以及介入東亞地區(qū)經(jīng)濟整合開通了一種渠道。美國加入后積極推動TPP的發(fā)展和擴大，澳大利亞、秘魯、越南、馬來西亞、墨西哥、加拿大以及日本等國都先后加入。根據(jù)IMF的相關數(shù)據(jù)顯示，， TPP10國在2010年的GDP總量約占世界總量的35.5%，約為22.3萬億美元，TPP也將因此成為世界最大的自貿區(qū)。 美國“高調”加入ＴＰＰ并積極推動TPP的目的一方面是為開創(chuàng)新的貿易模式并主導未來的貿易規(guī)則，保持其在亞洲主導權，另一方面也是為了擺脫全球經(jīng)濟金融危機的影響，希望借助于TPP重新介入亞太地區(qū)，開拓新市場，為實現(xiàn)美國“國家出口計劃”創(chuàng)造條件，最終實現(xiàn)亞太經(jīng)濟自由貿易區(qū)。 美國主導的TPP的發(fā)展對美國和亞太地區(qū)甚至是全球經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展都會產生深遠的影響。在短期內對美國經(jīng)濟增長有限，但是會對其他TPP成員國家特別是小成員國經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展有益，對非TPP成員國則會產生負面效應。從長期來看，TPP對美國具有重要的經(jīng)濟戰(zhàn)略意義，有利于提升美國企業(yè)在國際市場上的競爭力，提升美國在亞太地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟影響力，從而實現(xiàn)其在亞太經(jīng)濟中的主導地位。 未來美國主導下的TPP發(fā)展趨勢如何，TPP對世界以及亞太地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟將會產生怎樣的影響，特別是對作為亞太地區(qū)的中國產生怎樣的影響，弄清這些問題對中國的對外貿易以及經(jīng)濟發(fā)展具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文在介紹ＴＰＰ內容和特點，以及對美國加入TPP的背景的基礎上，重點分析了美國主導TPP的戰(zhàn)略意圖，以及美國推動TPP的發(fā)展對其自身以及周邊亞太地區(qū)國家的經(jīng)濟的影響分析，并且對作為世界最大發(fā)展中國家的中國如何應對TPP的發(fā)展給出建議。
[Abstract]:TPP is the abbreviation of the Pan Pacific Economic Partnership Agreement. In 2005, Singapore, New Zealand, Chile and Brunei signed multilateral free trade agreements within the framework of the APEC. At its core is the commitment of members to give each other preferences and strengthen cooperation in the areas of trade in goods, trade in services, intellectual property and investment. TPP is highly open. Full freedom and high standards. The TPP was initially unknown and attracted global attention in 2009 as a result of the United States' accession. In the wake of the global financial crisis, the U.S. economy was hit hard, exports slumped and unemployment soared. At the same time, the process of economic integration in East Asia accelerated rapidly in the face of the crisis, resulting in various mechanisms of economic and trade cooperation, such as the "103", which set the long-term objectives of the East Asian Community, China-ASEAN Free Trade area has been launched and ASEAN 10 6 is under preparation. APEC in the United States under the leadership of development into a dilemma, gradually marginalized. In this context, the entry of the United States into the TPP, provides a channel for revitalizing its own economy and intervening in the economic integration of East Asia. The United States actively promoted the development and expansion of the TPP after its accession, including Australia, Peru, Vietnam, Malaysia, Mexico, Canada and Japan. TPP10 countries accounted for about 35.5bn of the world's total GDP in 2010, or about $22.3 trillion, according to IMF data, making TPP the world's largest free trade zone. The purpose of the "high-profile" entry of the United States into the TPP and the active promotion of the TPP is, on the one hand, to create a new trade model and to dominate future trade rules, and to maintain its dominance in Asia, on the other hand, to extricate itself from the impact of the global economic and financial crisis. With the help of TPP, we hope to re-enter the Asia-Pacific region, open up new markets, create conditions for the realization of the "National Export Plan" of the United States, and finally realize the Asia-Pacific Economic Free Trade area. The development of TPP led by the United States will have a profound impact on the development of the United States, the Asia-Pacific region and even the global economy. In the short term, there is limited economic growth for the United States, but it will benefit the economies of other TPP member countries, especially small ones, and will have a negative effect on non-TPP members. In the long run, TPP is of great economic strategic significance to the United States, which is conducive to enhancing the competitiveness of American enterprises in the international market and enhancing the economic influence of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, thus realizing its dominant position in the Asia-Pacific economy. What is the development trend of TPP under the leadership of the United States in the future? what impact will TPP have on the world and the economy of the Asia-Pacific region, especially on China, as the Asia-Pacific region? Understanding these problems is of great practical significance to China's foreign trade and economic development. On the basis of introducing the content and characteristics of TPP and the background of the United States joining in TPP, this paper emphatically analyzes the strategic intention of the United States to lead the TPP. This paper also analyzes the impact of the United States' promotion of TPP on its own economy and that of the neighboring Asia-Pacific countries, and gives some suggestions on how China, as the largest developing country in the world, can cope with the development of TPP.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F171.2
本文編號：2368127
[Abstract]:TPP is the abbreviation of the Pan Pacific Economic Partnership Agreement. In 2005, Singapore, New Zealand, Chile and Brunei signed multilateral free trade agreements within the framework of the APEC. At its core is the commitment of members to give each other preferences and strengthen cooperation in the areas of trade in goods, trade in services, intellectual property and investment. TPP is highly open. Full freedom and high standards. The TPP was initially unknown and attracted global attention in 2009 as a result of the United States' accession. In the wake of the global financial crisis, the U.S. economy was hit hard, exports slumped and unemployment soared. At the same time, the process of economic integration in East Asia accelerated rapidly in the face of the crisis, resulting in various mechanisms of economic and trade cooperation, such as the "103", which set the long-term objectives of the East Asian Community, China-ASEAN Free Trade area has been launched and ASEAN 10 6 is under preparation. APEC in the United States under the leadership of development into a dilemma, gradually marginalized. In this context, the entry of the United States into the TPP, provides a channel for revitalizing its own economy and intervening in the economic integration of East Asia. The United States actively promoted the development and expansion of the TPP after its accession, including Australia, Peru, Vietnam, Malaysia, Mexico, Canada and Japan. TPP10 countries accounted for about 35.5bn of the world's total GDP in 2010, or about $22.3 trillion, according to IMF data, making TPP the world's largest free trade zone. The purpose of the "high-profile" entry of the United States into the TPP and the active promotion of the TPP is, on the one hand, to create a new trade model and to dominate future trade rules, and to maintain its dominance in Asia, on the other hand, to extricate itself from the impact of the global economic and financial crisis. With the help of TPP, we hope to re-enter the Asia-Pacific region, open up new markets, create conditions for the realization of the "National Export Plan" of the United States, and finally realize the Asia-Pacific Economic Free Trade area. The development of TPP led by the United States will have a profound impact on the development of the United States, the Asia-Pacific region and even the global economy. In the short term, there is limited economic growth for the United States, but it will benefit the economies of other TPP member countries, especially small ones, and will have a negative effect on non-TPP members. In the long run, TPP is of great economic strategic significance to the United States, which is conducive to enhancing the competitiveness of American enterprises in the international market and enhancing the economic influence of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region, thus realizing its dominant position in the Asia-Pacific economy. What is the development trend of TPP under the leadership of the United States in the future? what impact will TPP have on the world and the economy of the Asia-Pacific region, especially on China, as the Asia-Pacific region? Understanding these problems is of great practical significance to China's foreign trade and economic development. On the basis of introducing the content and characteristics of TPP and the background of the United States joining in TPP, this paper emphatically analyzes the strategic intention of the United States to lead the TPP. This paper also analyzes the impact of the United States' promotion of TPP on its own economy and that of the neighboring Asia-Pacific countries, and gives some suggestions on how China, as the largest developing country in the world, can cope with the development of TPP.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F171.2
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