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基于TOPSIS和灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度的新疆優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)評(píng)價(jià)研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-03-11 08:50
【摘要】:優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化有著至關(guān)重要的作用,在19省市對(duì)口支援新疆這樣一個(gè)大的歷史機(jī)遇下,新疆如何確立自身的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè),合理利用兄弟省份提供的資金、人才、技術(shù)等資源是能否實(shí)現(xiàn)跨越式發(fā)展的前提。而優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)不僅強(qiáng)調(diào)資源的豐裕度的原始狀態(tài),更重要的是通過(guò)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新對(duì)比較優(yōu)勢(shì)充分開(kāi)發(fā)利用,進(jìn)而具有產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。如何提高新疆優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,本文從技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、技術(shù)效率和產(chǎn)業(yè)集群等方面進(jìn)行分析比較,以期通過(guò)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新能力和產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的不斷發(fā)展完善,培育出既體現(xiàn)出新疆資源特色又真正具有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè),為新疆經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)提供強(qiáng)大的動(dòng)力,實(shí)現(xiàn)新疆資源大省、經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)省的目的。 本文首先以新疆36個(gè)工業(yè)行業(yè)作為進(jìn)行優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇評(píng)價(jià)的對(duì)象,利用區(qū)位商法,對(duì)其比較優(yōu)勢(shì)進(jìn)行分析。根據(jù)區(qū)位商得分情況判斷這36個(gè)工業(yè)行業(yè)是否具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)。最終結(jié)合區(qū)位商得分及新疆的資源稟賦情況,得到優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)的粗選結(jié)果。根據(jù)粗選結(jié)果,本文利用多屬性決策方法TOPSIS法,并結(jié)合灰色關(guān)聯(lián)度法,對(duì)新疆的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)分析。將粗選的14個(gè)工業(yè)行業(yè)作為決策的備選方案,建立指標(biāo)體系,通過(guò)TOPSIS和灰色關(guān)聯(lián)計(jì)算其綜合貼近度,來(lái)對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力進(jìn)行排名。本文利用多屬性決策的目的是為了選出工業(yè)行業(yè)中競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力最強(qiáng)的產(chǎn)業(yè),也就是最優(yōu)方案。綜合比較優(yōu)勢(shì)和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)的評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果,將石油和天然氣開(kāi)采業(yè),石油加工煉焦及核燃料加工業(yè),化學(xué)纖維制造業(yè)和化學(xué)原料與化學(xué)制品制造業(yè),有色金屬礦采選業(yè)、煤炭開(kāi)采和洗選業(yè)、黑色金屬礦采選業(yè)和黑色金屬冶煉及延壓加工業(yè)作為新疆的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)。并從產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的核心因素—技術(shù)創(chuàng)新能力和產(chǎn)業(yè)集中程度對(duì)遴選出的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)行分析比較,針對(duì)分析的結(jié)果,提出發(fā)展方向和對(duì)策建議。 本文具體研究?jī)?nèi)容由以下幾方面組成: (1)對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)和產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的研究現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行梳理,并對(duì)優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)的概念、特征及評(píng)價(jià)方法等進(jìn)行歸納總結(jié),進(jìn)而界定本文優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)的內(nèi)涵。對(duì)評(píng)價(jià)方法,評(píng)價(jià)對(duì)象的范圍進(jìn)行比較選取。 (2)利用區(qū)位商法對(duì)新疆的工業(yè)行業(yè)進(jìn)行粗選,將區(qū)位商大于或非常接近1(0.75)的行業(yè)作為進(jìn)行產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力評(píng)價(jià)的對(duì)象;建立指標(biāo)體系,對(duì)粗選后的結(jié)果利用灰色關(guān)聯(lián)法和逼近理想法(topsis)相結(jié)合的方法進(jìn)行產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)評(píng)價(jià),最終選出新疆的優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)。 (3)根據(jù)選出的結(jié)果,結(jié)合提高新疆產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的關(guān)鍵動(dòng)力,從技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的角度和產(chǎn)業(yè)集群視角對(duì)新疆優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)行分析研究,,從而提出新疆優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展方向。 (4)結(jié)合新疆的實(shí)際情況和發(fā)展方向的需要,從提高產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新能力和構(gòu)建、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)集群兩個(gè)方面提出相應(yīng)的對(duì)策建議,以保證新疆優(yōu)勢(shì)產(chǎn)業(yè)真正實(shí)現(xiàn)其價(jià)值。
[Abstract]:The dominant industry plays an important role in the development of regional economy and the optimization of industrial structure. Under the historical opportunity of supporting Xinjiang with 19 provinces and cities, how to establish Xinjiang's own advantageous industry? Reasonable utilization of the funds, talents, technology and other resources provided by the brother provinces is the premise of the leap-forward development. The dominant industry not only emphasizes the original state of the abundance of resources, but also makes full use of the comparative advantage through technological innovation so as to have the competitiveness of the industry. How to improve the competitiveness of the superior industries in Xinjiang, this paper analyzes and compares the technological innovation, technical efficiency and industrial cluster, with a view to improving the technological innovation ability and the continuous development of the industrial cluster. In order to provide a powerful impetus for the development of Xinjiang's economy and the optimization and upgrading of its industrial structure, it is necessary to cultivate an advantageous industry which not only embodies the characteristics of Xinjiang's resources but also is truly competitive, so as to realize the purpose of Xinjiang's large resource province and strong economic province. In this paper, 36 industrial industries in Xinjiang are selected and evaluated, and their comparative advantages are analyzed by using location quotient method. Judging whether these 36 industrial industries have comparative advantages according to the score of location quotient. Finally, combining the score of location quotient and the resource endowment of Xinjiang, the rough selection results of dominant industries are obtained. According to the results of rough selection, this paper evaluates and analyzes the industrial competitiveness of the dominant industries in Xinjiang by using the method of multi-attribute decision-making (TOPSIS) and the method of grey correlation degree. The rough selection of 14 industrial industries is taken as the alternative scheme for decision-making, and the index system is established. The comprehensive proximity degree of 14 industries is calculated by TOPSIS and grey correlation to rank the industrial competitiveness. In this paper, the purpose of multi-attribute decision-making is to select the most competitive industry in the industrial industry, that is, the optimal scheme. According to the evaluation results of comparative advantage and competitive advantage, the petroleum and natural gas mining industry, the petroleum processing coking and nuclear fuel processing industry, the chemical fiber manufacturing industry and the chemical raw material and chemical products manufacturing industry, the non-ferrous metal mining industry, Coal mining and washing industry, ferrous metal mining and processing industry, ferrous metal smelting and press processing industry as the dominant industry in Xinjiang. And from the core factors of industrial competitiveness-technological innovation ability and industrial concentration degree of the selected advantage industries are analyzed and compared, according to the results of the analysis, the development direction and countermeasures are put forward. The specific research content of this paper is composed of the following aspects: (1) combing the domestic and foreign research status on the dominant industry and industrial technological innovation, and summarizing the concept, characteristics and evaluation methods of the superior industry, and so on. And then define the connotation of the dominant industry in this paper. The evaluation method and the scope of the evaluation object are compared and selected. (2) making use of the location quotient law to select the industrial industry in Xinjiang, and taking the industry whose location quotient is greater than or very close to 1 (0.75) as the object to evaluate the industrial competitiveness; The index system is established and the result of rough selection is evaluated by combining grey correlation method and approximation theory (topsis) method. Finally, the dominant industry of Xinjiang is selected. (3) according to the result of the selection, combining with the key driving force to improve the competitiveness of Xinjiang industry, this paper analyzes and studies the dominant industry in Xinjiang from the angle of technological innovation and industrial cluster, and then puts forward the direction of development of the dominant industry in Xinjiang. (4) according to the actual situation of Xinjiang and the need of development direction, this paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions from two aspects of improving the ability and construction of industrial technology innovation, optimizing the industrial cluster, in order to ensure the real realization of the value of the dominant industry in Xinjiang.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:新疆大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號(hào)】:F279.27;F224

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