我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件的動(dòng)力學(xué)仿真及其化解機(jī)制研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-03-02 12:26
【摘要】:基于系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)提出城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件的基本分析框架,結(jié)合城鎮(zhèn)化群體沖突的特征,從政府、公眾和其他相關(guān)方三方面分析了城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件產(chǎn)生的因果關(guān)系,提出了城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件影響因子體系,建立了城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件的系統(tǒng)流圖和動(dòng)力學(xué)仿真模型。通過(guò)擬合不同層面影響因子對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件產(chǎn)生的影響,分析了群體性沖突動(dòng)力系統(tǒng)中各影響因子的實(shí)際作用程度,并利用Vensim PLE軟件對(duì)模型進(jìn)行仿真模擬,驗(yàn)證了模型的有效性與實(shí)用性。結(jié)果表明,政府因素是導(dǎo)致城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件的重要因素,而公眾及其他相關(guān)因素對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件產(chǎn)生的影響相對(duì)較弱,并在此基礎(chǔ)上提出緩解我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化群體性沖突事件的對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:Based on the system dynamics, this paper puts forward the basic analysis frame of urbanization group conflict event, and analyzes the cause and effect relationship of urbanization group conflict event from three aspects: government, public and other relevant parties, combining with the characteristics of urbanization group conflict, and puts forward the basic analysis frame of urbanization group conflict event based on system dynamics. The influence factor system of urbanization mass conflict event is put forward, and the system flow diagram and dynamics simulation model of urbanization group conflict event are established. By fitting the influence factors of different levels on the event of urbanization mass conflict, this paper analyzes the actual action degree of each influence factor in the dynamic system of mass conflict, and simulates the model with Vensim PLE software. The validity and practicability of the model are verified. The results show that the government factor is an important factor leading to the mass conflict of urbanization, while the public and other related factors have a relatively weak impact on the event of mass conflict of urbanization. On this basis, we put forward countermeasures and suggestions to alleviate the mass conflict of urbanization in our country.
【作者單位】: 云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)國(guó)際工商學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】:D631.43
本文編號(hào):2433051
[Abstract]:Based on the system dynamics, this paper puts forward the basic analysis frame of urbanization group conflict event, and analyzes the cause and effect relationship of urbanization group conflict event from three aspects: government, public and other relevant parties, combining with the characteristics of urbanization group conflict, and puts forward the basic analysis frame of urbanization group conflict event based on system dynamics. The influence factor system of urbanization mass conflict event is put forward, and the system flow diagram and dynamics simulation model of urbanization group conflict event are established. By fitting the influence factors of different levels on the event of urbanization mass conflict, this paper analyzes the actual action degree of each influence factor in the dynamic system of mass conflict, and simulates the model with Vensim PLE software. The validity and practicability of the model are verified. The results show that the government factor is an important factor leading to the mass conflict of urbanization, while the public and other related factors have a relatively weak impact on the event of mass conflict of urbanization. On this basis, we put forward countermeasures and suggestions to alleviate the mass conflict of urbanization in our country.
【作者單位】: 云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)國(guó)際工商學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】:D631.43
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