珠海市不同活動場所MSM規(guī)模估計的研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-06 06:51
本文選題:男男性行為者 切入點:單樣本人群規(guī)模估計法 出處:《中國艾滋病性病》2017年08期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:目的了解珠海市實體活動場所和虛擬活動場所男男性行為者(MSM)的人群規(guī)模,為制定艾滋病干預措施提供依據(jù)。方法利用單樣本人群規(guī)模估計法(LMS法)和捕獲-再捕獲法估計珠海市實體場所和虛擬場所的MSM人群規(guī)模。結(jié)果利用LMS法估計珠海市實體場所MSM的人群規(guī)模為5 767人(3 718~8 053人),虛擬場所為18 734人(16 925~20 541人),校正結(jié)果為14 753人(13 328~16 176人)。利用捕獲-再捕獲法估計MSM的人群規(guī)模為17 089人(10 742~23 436人)。結(jié)論珠海市MSM規(guī)模較大,虛擬場所的MSM人數(shù)遠高于實體場所。應重視在互聯(lián)網(wǎng)等虛擬場所實施有針對性的艾滋病防制策略。
[Abstract]:Objective to investigate the population size of MSM in physical and virtual activity venues in Zhuhai City. Methods the single sample population size estimation method and capture-recapture method were used to estimate the MSM population size of physical and virtual sites in Zhuhai. Results the LMS method was used to estimate the population size of Zhuhai. The population size of MSM was 5 767, and that of virtual site was 18 734, 16 925 and 20 541, respectively. The result of correction was 14 753 people / 13 32828 / 16 176 persons. The population size of MSM was estimated to be 17 089 persons by the method of capture-recapture. Conclusion the scale of MSM in Zhuhai is large, The number of MSM in virtual place is much higher than that in physical place.
【作者單位】: 珠海市疾病預防控制中心;珠海旭同志愿服務中心;
【基金】:廣東省醫(yī)學科學技術(shù)研究項目(B2015109)
【分類號】:R512.91
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