本文選題：江西省 + 生豬養(yǎng)殖��； 參考：《江西財經(jīng)大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來,全球氣候變暖給人類帶來了嚴峻挑戰(zhàn),不但破壞了自然生態(tài)系統(tǒng),而且嚴重威脅到了人類社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與生存環(huán)境,溫室氣體尤其是CO2排放量劇增是造成全球氣候變暖的根源。世界觀察研究所2009年公布的《畜牧與氣候變化》報告指出,按照CO2排放當量計算,牧畜及副產(chǎn)品至少排放了325.64億t CO2當量的溫室氣體,占世界總排放量的51%,遠遠超過世界糧農(nóng)組織先前估計的18%,畜牧業(yè)已成為溫室氣體重要的排放來源。中國自2008年超越美國成為世界第一大碳排放國以來,政府高度關注碳排放問題,承諾到2020年CO2排放強度要比2005年降低40%~45%。政府“十八大報告”將生態(tài)文明建設納入社會主義事業(yè)“五位一體”的總體布局,并提出從源頭上扭轉(zhuǎn)生態(tài)環(huán)境惡化及氣候變暖等趨勢,同時政府“十三五規(guī)劃”將碳減排列為“十三五”重點工作。江西省作為我國十大生豬養(yǎng)殖主產(chǎn)省之一,每年因生豬養(yǎng)殖生產(chǎn)活動直接或間接產(chǎn)生的溫室氣體排放量,不容小覷。對致力于打造“生態(tài)明文建設示范區(qū)”和美麗中國“江西樣板”的江西省而言,生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體減排政策完善是建設文明、和諧、秀美江西的基本保證,是推動江西科學發(fā)展、綠色崛起的重點與關鍵,對于其他“生態(tài)文明示范區(qū)”建設具有重要的借鑒意義與參考價值。論文主要研究內(nèi)容為:研究背景與問題的提出、研究內(nèi)容與研究方法、理論基礎與文獻綜述(第1、2章),江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放測算及其時空演變規(guī)律分析(第3章),江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放EKC特征及脫鉤效應分析(第4章),江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放影響影響因素分解分析(第5章),結(jié)論、建議及研究展望(第6章)。主要研究結(jié)論如下:(1)運用生命周期評價方法(LCA)測算和分析江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖全生命周期溫室氣體排放時空演變規(guī)律的研究結(jié)果顯示:1990—2014年江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖全生命周期及各個環(huán)節(jié)的CO2當量排放量均呈上升趨勢,CO2當量排放總量呈現(xiàn)出“N”型增長特征,其中生豬飼料糧種植、糞便管理系統(tǒng)和生豬飼料糧運輸加工環(huán)節(jié)CO2當量排放量上升顯著;生豬飼料糧種植和糞便管理系統(tǒng)兩大環(huán)節(jié)CO2當量排放量占總排放量的比例遠高于其他4個環(huán)節(jié),生豬飼料糧種植和糞便管理系統(tǒng)是生豬產(chǎn)業(yè)溫室氣體排放的主要來源。11個地級市生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放聚集特征顯著,吉安市、贛州市和宜春市CO2當量排放總量位列江西省前三位。(2)運用EKC模型和Tapio脫鉤模型檢驗江西省及各市生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展之間的長期關系發(fā)現(xiàn):江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展之間存在“倒N型”的EKC關系,且存在臨界值分別為2454元和10864元的雙拐點。生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展之間均呈現(xiàn)弱脫鉤的關系,生豬養(yǎng)殖業(yè)產(chǎn)值增速快于生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放增速,江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展較為協(xié)調(diào)。(3)采用LMDI模型對江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放影響因素進行分解分析的研究結(jié)果表明:經(jīng)濟發(fā)展因素是江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放增長的主要驅(qū)動因素,與2000年相比,2000—2014年間產(chǎn)生了189.96%的生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放增量;效率因素、結(jié)構(gòu)因素和勞動力因素則降低了江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放量,與2000年相比,2000—2014年間分別累計實現(xiàn)了79.35%、12.09%和25.16%的生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體減排量,其中效率因素對江西省生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體減排的貢獻力度最大。(4)總結(jié)全文提出相關對策建議并進行研究展望�？偨Y(jié)全文研究結(jié)論,得出生豬養(yǎng)殖溫室氣體排放時空演變規(guī)律及影響因素等結(jié)論。統(tǒng)籌兼顧生豬產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和節(jié)能減排、低碳養(yǎng)殖兩大目標,提出提高完善養(yǎng)殖技術(shù)體系,合理實施種養(yǎng)結(jié)合,科學規(guī)劃發(fā)展布局,健全經(jīng)濟激勵機制,完善污染監(jiān)管體制系,大力推進碳交易平臺建設等對策建議,并對進一步的研究進行展望。
[Abstract]:In recent years, global warming has brought serious challenges to human beings, not only destroying the natural ecosystem, but also seriously threatening the social and economic development and living environment of human beings. The increase of greenhouse gases, especially CO2 emissions, is the root cause of global warming. The report of "animal husbandry and climate change" published by the world observation and Research Institute in 2009 According to the CO2 emissions equivalent, livestock and by-products discharge at least 32 billion 564 million T CO2 equivalent of greenhouse gases, accounting for 51% of the world's total emissions, far exceeding the 18% previously estimated by the world food and Agriculture Organization, and animal husbandry has become an important source of greenhouse gas emissions. China has surpassed the United States in 2008 as the world's largest carbon emission country. To come, the government pays great attention to the issue of carbon emissions, promises to reduce the CO2 emission intensity in 2020 than in 2005 to reduce the "Eighteen reports" of the 40%~45%. government to integrate the ecological civilization into the overall layout of the "five in one" of the socialist cause, and put forward the trend of reversing the deterioration of the ecological environment and the warming of the climate from the source, and the government "13th Five-Year regulations." Jiangxi province is the key work of "13th Five-Year". As one of the main production provinces of the ten largest pig breeding in China, the greenhouse gas emissions directly or indirectly produced by the pig breeding and production activities are not underestimated. Jiangxi province devoted to building the "demonstration area of ecological text construction" and "Jiangxi model" of beautiful China. The improvement of the greenhouse gas emission reduction policy of pig breeding is the basic guarantee for building a civilized, harmonious and beautiful Jiangxi. It is the key and key to promote the scientific development of Jiangxi and the green rise. It has important reference significance and reference value for the construction of other "ecological civilization demonstration areas". The main contents of this paper are the background and problems of the research. The research contents and research methods, theoretical basis and literature review (Chapter 1,2), the analysis of the greenhouse gas emission of Jiangxi pig breeding and its spatio-temporal evolution law (third chapter), the EKC characteristics and decoupling effect analysis (fourth chapter) of the greenhouse gas emission from pig breeding in Jiangxi Province, and the decomposition of the influence factors of greenhouse gas emissions from pig breeding in Jiangxi Province Analysis (fifth chapter), conclusions, suggestions and research prospects (sixth chapters). The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the results of the study of the spatial and temporal evolution of greenhouse gas emissions from the whole life cycle of Jiangxi pig breeding in Jiangxi province were calculated and analyzed by the life cycle assessment method (CO2): the whole life cycle of the pig breeding and the CO2 of each link in the 2014. The equivalent emissions all showed an upward trend, and the total amount of CO2 equivalent emission showed a "N" type of growth characteristics, in which pig feed grain planting, fecal management system and pig feed grain transportation and processing link CO2 equivalent emission increased significantly; the proportion of CO2 equivalent emission in the two major links of pig feed grain planting and fecal management system accounted for the proportion of total emissions. Higher than the other 4 links, pig feed grain planting and fecal management system is the main source of greenhouse gas emissions in the pig industry.11, the characteristics of greenhouse gas emissions from pig breeding in the city of Ji'an, Ganzhou and Yichun are ranked as the top three in Jiangxi province. (2) the use of EKC model and Tapio decoupling model test The long-term relationship between greenhouse gas emission and economic development of pig breeding in Jiangxi and all cities found that there was a "inverted N" EKC relationship between greenhouse gas emission and economic development in Jiangxi Province, and the critical value was 2454 yuan and 10864 yuan respectively. The relationship between the weak decoupling and the growth of the pig breeding industry is faster than the growth of greenhouse gas emissions from pig breeding. The greenhouse gas emissions from Jiangxi pig breeding and economic development are more coordinated. (3) the results of the decomposition and analysis of the factors affecting the greenhouse gas emissions from pig breeding in Jiangxi province by the LMDI model show that the economic development factor is Jiangxi The main driving factor for the growth of greenhouse gas emissions in the province of pig breeding was compared with 2000, which produced 189.96% of the increase of greenhouse gas emissions from 2000 to 2014, and the efficiency factors, structural factors and labor factors reduced the greenhouse gas emissions of the pig breeding in Jiangxi province. Compared with 2000, the accumulative total of the greenhouse gas was accumulated from 2000 to 2014. 79.35%, 12.09% and 25.16% of the pig breeding greenhouse gas emission reduction, of which efficiency factors have the greatest contribution to the greenhouse gas emission reduction in Jiangxi pig breeding. (4) summarize the full text of relevant countermeasures and suggestions and carry on the research prospect. In order to give consideration to the development of the pig industry, energy conservation and emission reduction and low carbon culture, two major objectives are to improve the cultivation technology system, the rational implementation of the combination of breeding and breeding, the scientific planning and development layout, the improvement of the economic incentive mechanism, the improvement of the system of pollution supervision and the construction of the carbon trading platform, and further research. Look ahead.
【學位授予單位】：江西財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：X713;F326.3

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