當(dāng)前,中非共和國(guó)面臨巨大的經(jīng)濟(jì)動(dòng)蕩。自1960年獨(dú)立以來(lái),中非共和國(guó)一直面臨著政治治理危機(jī),這也是導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟(jì)不穩(wěn)定的主要誘因。本文將通過(guò)兩階段工具變量分析和二階漸近檢驗(yàn)來(lái)探討1996-2015期間該國(guó)政治治理危機(jī)與經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定性的相互關(guān)聯(lián)。我們的研究對(duì)13個(gè)方程進(jìn)行了評(píng)估。每個(gè)方程包含兩個(gè)回歸,涉及不同的政治治理指標(biāo),而機(jī)構(gòu)治理指標(biāo)保持不變�？紤]到國(guó)家內(nèi)部針對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)安全可能存在不同的衡量標(biāo)準(zhǔn),我們的變量選擇基于先前的文獻(xiàn)、中非共和國(guó)自身的經(jīng)濟(jì)特點(diǎn)、周期性的政治治理危機(jī)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響以及所需數(shù)據(jù)的充足性。我們共對(duì)13個(gè)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)總量開(kāi)展了研究,包括:人均凈國(guó)民收入、農(nóng)業(yè)原材料出口、農(nóng)業(yè)附加值、商品和服務(wù)的外部平衡、糧食出口、糧食進(jìn)口、外國(guó)直接投資、GDP增長(zhǎng)、人均GDP增長(zhǎng)、通貨膨脹、工資和工薪工人、工業(yè)附加值、自然資源租金總和及中非共和國(guó)貿(mào)易。這些用于衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)安全的參數(shù)取自世界發(fā)展指標(biāo)。在研究中非共和國(guó)治理危機(jī)時(shí),我們關(guān)注Asongu和Nwachukwu（Asongu and Nwachukwu,2017）在政治領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人的選舉和更替（以政治穩(wěn)定/非暴力和發(fā)言權(quán)及問(wèn)責(zé)制為衡量指標(biāo)）、協(xié)調(diào)國(guó)家和機(jī)構(gòu)成員... 

【文章來(lái)源】：浙江大學(xué)浙江省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直屬院校

【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：136 頁(yè)

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士

【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
摘要
ABSTRACT
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the study
    1.2 Statement of the Problem
    1.3 Research objectives
        1.3.1. General Objectives
        1.3.2 Specific objectives
    1.4. Research Questions
        1.4.1 Specific Questions
    1.5 Hypothesis
    1.6 Methodology
    1.7 Significance of the Study
    1.8 Structure of the Study
CHAPITRE 2: LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1. Introduction
    2.2 Concept and definition of economic security and political governance in CAR
    2.3 Democracy and Good Governance-the interplay
    2.4 Democratic Participation
    2.5 Macro versus Micro issues of political governance
    2.6 Overview of CAR's Political and Economic crisis context
        2.6.1 Coups d'etats
        2.6.2 Rent seeking
        2.6.3 Ethnic tensions
        2.6.4 Neighbourhoods effect
        2.6.5 External shocks
        2.6.6 Zaraguinas and former soldiers
    2.7 Political governance crisis and some keys macro-economic aggregates
    2.8 Political governance and economic crisis in CAR since 1990
    2.9 CAR's approaches to political governance Crisis
    2.10 CAR's Current economic situation
        2.10.1 Economic security
        2.10.2 Contemporary thinking on economic security
        2.10.3 Nexus between economic and security
        2.10.4 The new conceptual approach to economic security
            2.10.4.1 Establishing the definition of economic security based on the new conceptualapproach
        2.10.5 The objectives typologies of economic security
    2.11 Characterizing the Economy Security in CAR
    2.12 Government's responsibility for economic security
    2.13 Political stability and economic security
        2.13.1 Concept of political stability
        2.13.2 Peace and stability
    2.14 Relation between political stability and economic security
    2.15 Political stability and investments
    2.16 Political stability and natural resources
CHAPITRE 3: METHODOLOGY
    3.1. Data source and sample frame
    3.2 Analytical framework of Two-Stage least squares (2SLS) instrumental RegressionAnalysis
    3.3 simple regression model
    3.4 Instrumental variables
        3.4.1 Definition of an Instrument
        3.4.2 Examples of the Instrument analysis
        3.4.3 Instrumental Variables Estimator
    3.5 Two-Stage Least Squares
    3.6 Assumptions of two-stage least squares (2sls) regression analysis
    3.7 Checking for Validity of Instruments
        3.7.1 Checking Instrument Relevance
        3.7.2 Checking Instrument Exogeneity
CHAPITER 4: RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
    4.1 Time series properties of data
    4.2 Descriptive statistics
    4.3 Tables of results from two stages regression analyses
CHAPITER 5: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    5.1 Summary
    5.2 conclusions
    5.3 Recommendations and Policy Implications
    5.4 Innovation Points/Contribution of This Research
    5.5 Directions for Future Research
REFERENCES
附錄
List of publications published in Zhejiang University
Author's Resume



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