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權力和平轉移的發(fā)展路徑:一種比較研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-15 00:07

  本文關鍵詞:權力和平轉移的發(fā)展路徑:一種比較研究 出處:《華中師范大學》2016年博士論文 論文類型:學位論文


  更多相關文章: 權力轉移 權力轉移理論 權力和平轉移 德國 英國 美國 中國 中美關系 俄狄浦斯效應


【摘要】:當今世界正處于復雜的過渡之中,其中,美國世界霸權地位日漸式微,而新興力量中國成功崛起。在國際關系中,這通常被稱為權力轉移,對于解決沖突和全球戰(zhàn)爭問題的具有積極作用。雖然,中國明確聲明無意稱霸世界,并將繼續(xù)謀求和平發(fā)展道路,然而中國驚人的發(fā)展速度與迅速崛起之勢令美國產生威脅感。這一問題倘若未能得到正確處理,將導致嚴重的全球性后果。由于目前世界尚處于權力過渡的早期階段,避免悲劇的發(fā)生為時不晚,因此,為規(guī)避全球性的爭霸戰(zhàn)爭,探尋權力實現(xiàn)和平轉移的方法尤為重要。本文旨在通過比較研究法分析權力轉移,以探索更加清晰的權力和平轉移方式,彌補國際關系學研究的不足(英國學者卡爾稱之為“國際關系的核心困境”,即“和平轉移難題”)。為實現(xiàn)此目的,本文將重點研究自19世紀末以來,尤其是1866年至1945年間,英國與美國之間的權力轉移,分析潛在的可能性原因與轉移過程。歷史上,兩個國家首次和平式的權力轉移,即衰落的霸主(英國)與崛起的大國(美國)之間并未發(fā)生戰(zhàn)爭,這種獨特的歷史事件極具分析研究價值。1891年至1914年間,英國與德國之間戰(zhàn)爭式的權力轉移,遭遇失敗并于第一次世界大戰(zhàn)時終止,這種戰(zhàn)爭式權力轉移將作為一個對比,與美國和英國之間的權力和平轉移進行比較分析。本研究將運用過程追蹤、假設檢驗以及穆爾的兩者間差別分析等比較分析工具,探索影響美國和英國之間的權力和平轉移與英國和德國之間的戰(zhàn)爭式權力轉移的主要因素。權力轉移的概念可能會使美國感受到中國的威脅,但本研究仍將在假設這種轉移是現(xiàn)實存在的條件下進行分析。換言之,從經濟、政治、軍事、社會和軟實力的方面出發(fā),假設中國比美國發(fā)展得更好。繼而,通過上文所論及的兩種歷史轉移作為指導,研究中國與美國之間的關系嬗變,從而提出防止美國與中國陷入霸權爭戰(zhàn)的策略,同時探討實現(xiàn)權力和平轉移的可能性。
[Abstract]:Today the world is in a complex transition, in which the United States world hegemony is declining, while the new power China has successfully emerged. In international relations, this is usually called power transfer. Although China has clearly stated that it has no intention of dominating the world and will continue to pursue the path of peaceful development. Yet China's phenomenal pace of development and its rapid rise have created a sense of threat to the United States, if not properly addressed. As the world is still in the early stages of the transition of power, it is not too late to avoid tragedies and, therefore, to avoid a global war for hegemony. It is very important to explore the method of realizing the peaceful transfer of power. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the transfer of power through comparative research in order to explore a clearer way of peaceful transfer of power. To make up for the deficiency in the study of international relations (which the British scholar Karl called "the core dilemma of international relations", that is, "the difficult problem of peaceful transfer"). In order to achieve this goal, this paper will focus on the study since the end of 19th century. Especially between 1866 and 1945, the transfer of power between Britain and the United States, the analysis of the potential causes and transfer process. In history, the two countries peaceful transfer of power for the first time. There is no war between the declining hegemon (UK) and the rising power (USA). This unique historical event is of great analytical value. From 1891 to 1914. The warlike transfer of power between Britain and Germany, which failed and ended in the first World War, will be a contrast. A comparative analysis of the peaceful transfer of power between the United States and the United Kingdom is carried out. This study uses process tracking, hypothesis testing and Moore's analysis of the differences between the two. Explore the main factors affecting the peaceful transfer of power between the United States and Britain and the warlike transfer of power between Britain and Germany. The concept of power transfer may make the United States feel the threat of China. In other words, from the economic, political, military, social and soft power aspects, we assume that China has developed better than the United States. Under the guidance of the two historical transfers discussed above, this paper studies the evolution of the relationship between China and the United States, and puts forward some strategies to prevent the United States and China from falling into a hegemonic war. At the same time, explore the possibility of realizing the peaceful transfer of power.
【學位授予單位】:華中師范大學
【學位級別】:博士
【學位授予年份】:2016
【分類號】:D81


本文編號:1425895

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