本文關(guān)鍵詞： 農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群 演化 系統(tǒng)動力學模型 可持續(xù)發(fā)展路徑　出處：《中國農(nóng)業(yè)大學》2017年博士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群可以為農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力提升和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展提供重要力量。研究我國農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的形成機理、演化機制和可持續(xù)發(fā)展路徑,對促進集群凸顯規(guī)模優(yōu)勢和品牌效應,提升農(nóng)機企業(yè)國際競爭力,政府實施集群發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略具有參考價值和現(xiàn)實意義。論文通過歸納、分析相關(guān)文獻資料和國內(nèi)外農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,剖析了我國農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的特征、空間結(jié)構(gòu)和發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,運用區(qū)位發(fā)展理論、增長極理論和社會網(wǎng)絡理論分析了農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群形成的基礎條件和環(huán)境條件,結(jié)合問卷調(diào)查結(jié)果和因子分析,構(gòu)建了由集群輻射效應、創(chuàng)新環(huán)境、區(qū)位環(huán)境、產(chǎn)業(yè)要素和行業(yè)合作五個主因子18個影響因素構(gòu)成的農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群形成影響因素框圖。論文基于產(chǎn)業(yè)集群生命周期演化理論和指數(shù)增長模型,將我國農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群劃分為四個階段,即形成、成長、成熟和衰退階段,并對每個階段的演化機制和特征進行了研究。運用區(qū)位商法、GESS模型評價法、層次分析法和模糊數(shù)學評價法三種識別評價方法對山東農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群的演化階段進行的實證研究結(jié)果表明,山東農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群處于成長階段。論文分析了農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群可持續(xù)發(fā)展的動力因素,基于系統(tǒng)動力學方法使用Vensim建模工具,從區(qū)域經(jīng)濟投入、市場需求、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新動力因素三個視角構(gòu)建了集群可持續(xù)發(fā)展動力系統(tǒng)模型,并以山東農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群為實證對象進行了分析,模型的仿真模擬分析和靈敏度檢驗結(jié)果表明:創(chuàng)新性動力在農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群可持續(xù)發(fā)展中起關(guān)鍵作用,固定資產(chǎn)投資變動對集群發(fā)展的影響相對較大,國內(nèi)市場需求對集群發(fā)展的影響大于國際市場需求對集群發(fā)展的影響。論文基于集群形成機理和演化機制,探索了農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群可持續(xù)發(fā)展"三位一體"驅(qū)動路徑,即采取內(nèi)生驅(qū)動、外生推動和基礎支撐相結(jié)合的方式共同驅(qū)動集群可持續(xù)發(fā)展,并基于前文理論分析和實證研究的結(jié)果提出了我國農(nóng)機產(chǎn)業(yè)集群可持續(xù)發(fā)展的對策,即加強政府扶持、完善農(nóng)機中介服務體系、加強基礎設施建設和關(guān)注高素質(zhì)人力資本。
[Abstract]:Agricultural machinery industrial cluster can provide an important force for the promotion of agricultural machinery industry competitiveness and regional economic development. The formation mechanism, evolution mechanism and sustainable development path of agricultural machinery industrial cluster in China are studied. It has reference value and practical significance to promote cluster to highlight scale advantage and brand effect, to enhance the international competitiveness of agricultural machinery enterprises, and to implement the strategy of cluster development by the government. Based on the analysis of relevant documents and the current situation of agricultural machinery industry development at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the characteristics, spatial structure and development status of agricultural machinery industry cluster in China, and applies the theory of location development. The growth pole theory and social network theory analyze the basic conditions and environmental conditions for the formation of agricultural machinery industrial cluster, combined with the results of questionnaire survey and factor analysis, build the cluster radiation effect, innovation environment, location environment. The paper is based on the theory of industry cluster life cycle evolution and exponential growth model. The industrial cluster of agricultural machinery in China is divided into four stages, namely, formation, growth, maturity and decline. The evolution mechanism and characteristics of each stage are studied. The location quotient method is used to evaluate the Gess model. The results of the empirical study on the evolution stage of agricultural machinery industry cluster in Shandong province show that the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy mathematics evaluation are three kinds of identification and evaluation methods. Shandong agricultural machinery industry cluster is in the growing stage. This paper analyzes the dynamic factors of the sustainable development of agricultural machinery industry cluster, based on the system dynamics method, using Vensim modeling tool, from the regional economic input. The model of cluster sustainable development power system is constructed from three perspectives of market demand and technological innovation motive factors, and it is analyzed with Shandong agricultural machinery industry cluster as the empirical object. The simulation analysis and sensitivity test of the model show that the innovative power plays a key role in the sustainable development of agricultural machinery industrial cluster, and the fixed asset investment changes have a relatively large impact on the cluster development. The influence of domestic market demand on cluster development is greater than that of international market demand on cluster development. This paper explores the "trinity" driving path of the sustainable development of agricultural machinery industry cluster, that is, the sustainable development of agricultural machinery cluster is driven by the combination of endogenous drive, exogenous promotion and basic support. And based on the above theoretical analysis and the results of empirical research put forward the sustainable development of agricultural machinery industrial clusters in China, that is, strengthen government support, improve agricultural machinery intermediary service system. Strengthen infrastructure construction and pay attention to high quality human capital.
【學位授予單位】：中國農(nóng)業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F323
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本文編號：1485542