本文旨在系統(tǒng)探討河流水質(zhì)對降水、氣溫變化及非氣候因素響應(yīng)的敏感性。論文采用微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的彈性原理（需求的價格彈性）進(jìn)行敏感性分析來揭示氣候因子與水質(zhì)的定量關(guān)系。在此基礎(chǔ)上,基于雙變量和多元統(tǒng)計法提出水質(zhì)氣候彈性概念（CEWQ）,以確定全球范圍內(nèi)主要水質(zhì)參數(shù)的敏感性。主要創(chuàng)新之處為在全球尺度上的研究引入彈性方法,解決了基于過程的水質(zhì)水文模型難以進(jìn)行大尺度研究的困境。對大量的水質(zhì)氣候彈性值的觀察表明,該方法在描述全球范圍內(nèi)的水質(zhì)對氣候變化的響應(yīng)程度是有用的,而不是簡單的統(tǒng)計相關(guān)性。由于站點特異性,與溫度彈性相比降水彈性在空間中是高度變化的。降水彈性顯示出顯著的季節(jié)性。簡單地說,這項技術(shù)在全球范圍內(nèi)揭示了水質(zhì)參數(shù)應(yīng)對氣候驅(qū)動因子變化過程。此外,總氮和水溫對空氣溫度的響應(yīng)是顯著的。特別的,在育空河和墨累河流域,除了渾濁度和過濾的硝酸鹽及亞硝酸鹽外,其他主要水質(zhì)參數(shù)呈下降趨勢,而湄公河大多數(shù)的水質(zhì)參數(shù)呈上升趨勢。相比育空河和墨累河兩大流域（除了過濾的硝酸鹽亞硝酸鹽以及未過濾的總氮）,湄公河主要水質(zhì)參數(shù)和對應(yīng)百分比變化有長尾分布特征。湄公河流域和墨累河流域的降水彈性結(jié)果具有統(tǒng)計顯著性,育空流域的溫度... 

【文章來源】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)黑龍江省 211工程院校 985工程院校

【文章頁數(shù)】：180 頁

【學(xué)位級別】：博士

【文章目錄】：
Abstract
摘要
List of Abbreviations and Acronyms
Chapter 1 Introduction
    1.1 Research Sources and Background
        1.1.1 Research Sources
        1.1.2 Research Background
    1.2 Study Overview of Climate Change Effects on Water Quality
        1.2.1 Mechanism of Climate Change Impacts on Surface Water Quality
        1.2.2 Impact of Climatic and Non-climatic Drivers on Water Quality
        1.2.3 Approaches for the Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Water Quality
        1.2.4 Impact Factors of Water Quality
    1.3 Study Purpose, Significance and Main Contents
        1.3.1 Study Purpose and Significance
        1.3.2 Main contents
        1.3.3 The framework schema of the study
Chapter 2 Study Area and Methods
    2.1 Study Area Information
        2.1.1 Global Investigation
        2.1.2 Three Typical Watersheds
    2.2 Data Sources
        2.2.1 Water Quality Data
        2.2.2 Materiological Data
        2.2.3 Ancillary Data Sources
    2.3 Climate Elasticity of Water Qualilty
    2.4 Statistical Analyses Methods
        2.4.1 Sectioned-watershed Characteristics Abstraction
        2.4.2 Statistical Analyses
Chapter 3 Statistical Characteristics of CEWQ
    3.1 Introduction
    3.2 Long-Term Trends Analysis
        3.2.1 Long-Term Trends in Water Quality Parameters
        3.2.2 Precipitation and Temperature
        3.2.3 Time Series Trend Models of Water Quality Parameters
    3.3 Probability Distribution Patterns of Water Quality and C limatic Drivers
        3.3.1 Spatial Probability Distribution Patterns of Water Quality Parameters
        3.3.2 Spatial Probability Distribution Patterns of Precipitation and Temperature
    3.4 Probability Distribution Patterns of Elasticity Estimator 'Samples'
        3.4.1 Spatial Probability Distribution Patterns of Elasticity Estimator 'Samples'
        3.4.2 Comparison of CEWQ and Distribution Characteristics of Elasticity Estimator ?Samples‘
    3.5 Multivariate CEWQ
        3.5.1 Streamflow Elasticity Characteristic of Water Quality Parameters
        3.5.2 Comparison between CEWQ
        3.5.3 Effects of Climatic Drivers on Water Quality
    3.6 Summary
Chapter 4 General Characteristics of CEWQ at Global Scale
    4.1 Introduction
    4.2 CEWQ Attributes at Global Scale
        4.2.1 General Characterisitics and Types of CEWQ
        4.2.2 Statistical Attributes of CEWQ
        4.2.3 Comparison of Elasticity and Statistical Correlation
    4.3 Spatio-temporal Patterns of CEWQ at Global Scale
        4.3.1 Spatial Patterns of CEWQ
        4.3.2 Seasonal Patterns of CEWQ
    4.4 CEWQ Attributes of Nutrients Variables at Global Scale
        4.4.1 C-parameters
        4.4.2 N-parameters
        4.4.3 P-parameters
    4.5 Response Pattern of Water Quality to Climatic Drivers for Three Typical Basins
        4.5.1 Order Pattern of εP and εT
        4.5.2 Spatial Pattern of Precipitation Elasticity
        4.5.3 Spatial Pattern of Temperature Elasticity
    4.6 Summary
Chapter 5 Impacts of Determinants on CEWQ
    5.1 Introduction
    5.2 Impacts of Terrestrial Determinants on CEWQ
        5.2.1 Relationship between Anthropogenic Biomes, Surficial Geology and CEWQ
        5.2.2 Linear Models of Terrestrial Determinants and CEWQ
        5.2.3 Ecological and Management Implications
    5.3 Impacts of Socio-economic and Topographic Determinants on CEWQ
        5.3.1 Relationship between Socio-economic and Topographic Determinants, and CEWQ
        5.3.2 Different Influence Patterns in Two Hemispheres
        5.3.3 Influence patterns at two typical climatic class area
        5.3.4 Ecological and management implications
    5.4 Impacts of Environmental Determinants on CEW Q
        5.4.1 Relationship between Environmental Determinants and CEWQ
        5.4.2 Latitudinal Instability Consequences of CEWQ Parameters
        5.4.3 Climatic CEWQ Patterns
        5.4.4 Ecological and Management Implications
    5.5 Implications for Policy and Sustainable Development
        5.5.1 Implications for Policy
        5.5.2 Implications for Climate Mitigation Policy
        5.5.3 Implications for Sustainable Development
    5.6 Summary
Conclusion
    Highlights
    結(jié)論
論文創(chuàng)新點
References
List of Publications
Acknowledgement
Resume


【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]Impact of Urbanization and Industrialization upon Surface Water Quality:A Pilot Study of Panzhihua Mining Town[J]. 滕彥國,楊潔,左銳,王金生.  Journal of Earth Science. 2011(05)



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