【摘要】：為探尋資源環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟增長的可持續(xù)發(fā)展道路,利用修正的生態(tài)足跡模型,回顧了2000~2014年南京市生態(tài)足跡、生態(tài)承載力及生態(tài)赤字的時空特征,依據(jù)《南京市國民經(jīng)濟和社會發(fā)展十三五規(guī)劃綱要》趨勢外推生態(tài)足跡變化情況及其與經(jīng)濟增長的脫鉤狀態(tài)。結(jié)果表明:2000~2014年南京市人均生態(tài)足跡和人均生態(tài)赤字快速增長,人均生態(tài)承載力緩慢下降;研究期內(nèi)南京市各區(qū)都出現(xiàn)了不同程度的生態(tài)赤字,且生態(tài)承載力呈現(xiàn)中心城區(qū)低,近郊和遠郊區(qū)高的格局;生態(tài)足跡與GDP之間呈現(xiàn)弱脫鉤、強脫鉤、擴張連接3種狀態(tài),且弱脫鉤指數(shù)不斷減小,經(jīng)濟增長方式開始由粗放型向集約型轉(zhuǎn)變;若按當前資源環(huán)境損耗量發(fā)展,"十三五"期間生態(tài)足跡繼續(xù)增加,未來在實現(xiàn)可持續(xù)的經(jīng)濟增長方式上仍需努力。因此,南京市應(yīng)堅持調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟增長方式;嚴格執(zhí)行生態(tài)保護紅線、永久基本農(nóng)田保護紅線,城市開發(fā)邊界等"三條紅線";實行差別化的國土空間格局優(yōu)化措施;控制人口過快增長;逐步構(gòu)建基于生態(tài)資產(chǎn)流轉(zhuǎn)的生態(tài)補償機制。
[Abstract]:In order to explore the sustainable development path of resources, environment and economic growth, using the modified ecological footprint model, this paper reviews the spatial and temporal characteristics of ecological footprint, ecological carrying capacity and ecological deficit in Nanjing from 2000 to 2014. According to the outline of the 13th Five-Year Plan for the National economy and Social Development of Nanjing, the change of ecological footprint and its decoupling from economic growth were extrapolated. The results showed that the per capita ecological footprint and per capita ecological deficit increased rapidly and the per capita ecological carrying capacity decreased slowly in Nanjing from 2000 to 2014. There are three states of weak decoupling, strong decoupling and expansion connection between ecological footprint and GDP, and the index of weak decoupling is decreasing, and the economic growth mode is beginning to change from extensive to intensive. The ecological footprint will continue to increase during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, and the sustainable economic growth pattern will still need to be achieved in the future. Therefore, Nanjing should persist in adjusting the industrial structure, changing the mode of economic growth, strictly implementing the "three red lines", such as ecological protection red line, permanent basic farmland protection red line, urban development boundary, etc. To control the rapid growth of population and build ecological compensation mechanism based on the circulation of ecological assets step by step.
【作者單位】： 中國科學院南京地理與湖泊研究所;中國科學院大學;香港浸會大學當代中國研究所;
【基金】：國家自然科學基金面上項目(41371179)~~
【分類號】：X22

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