本文選題：經濟增長 + 能源消費��； 參考：《首都經濟貿易大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著人類社會科技水平不斷的提高,大規(guī)模的使用化石能源給世界各國的經濟帶來高速發(fā)展的同時,也嚴重的破壞了各國的環(huán)境,化石能源大規(guī)模的使用造成了資源的不可持續(xù)的供應。從經濟學的角度上看,能源是生產過程中重要的要素之一,環(huán)境不僅是人類生存的載體同時也是化石能源的來源。為了保證化石能源實現(xiàn)可持續(xù)的供應,要維持人與自然的和諧。如何實現(xiàn)環(huán)境、能源和經濟增長的協(xié)調可持續(xù)發(fā)展已經成為各國政府面臨的重要問題之一。對于中國來說,2015是“十二五”規(guī)劃的收官之年。這一年,面對世界經濟復蘇乏力,國內經濟下行壓力不斷加大的復雜局面,我國實現(xiàn)來之不易又十分珍貴的6.9%的經濟增長。然而作為正處于高速發(fā)展階段的發(fā)展中國家,我國經濟增長必然導致能源的大量消耗,現(xiàn)今經濟增長的方式屬于粗放的高耗能,因此能源短缺現(xiàn)象是現(xiàn)階段不得不面臨的困境之一,能源短缺會反過來制約經濟的增長。此外,能源利用直接關系環(huán)境污染程度。在我國,這一直接關系在生態(tài)環(huán)境方面得到充分體現(xiàn),能源開發(fā)利用已成為我國環(huán)境的第一大污染源,高速發(fā)展的京津冀地區(qū)最為突出,嚴重的大氣污染降低人們生活質量、制約人們的出行時間、影響公民的身體健康。隨著可持續(xù)發(fā)展的觀念的提出,越來越多的研究學者們將經濟、能源、環(huán)境三者納入到同一個體系中來探討三者之間的相互作用關系。為了實現(xiàn)經濟增長,推動低碳循環(huán)發(fā)展,全面節(jié)約和高效利用資源,本文將全國29個省份分為三大區(qū)域,在此基礎上利用表格數(shù)據(jù)及趨勢圖對我國能源消費、碳排放和經濟增長概況進行詳細的分析。采用2000-2014年共15年的數(shù)據(jù),運用PVAR(面板向量自回歸模型)模型,并根據(jù)研究結果分析能源消費、碳排放和經濟增長三者之間的聯(lián)系,其脈沖響應結果表示我國東、中、西部地區(qū)經濟增長、能源消費和環(huán)境污染的相互作用關系存在顯著的區(qū)域差異性。因此,對能源消費、碳排放和經濟增長關系協(xié)調發(fā)展的研究是非常重要的。
[Abstract]:With the continuous improvement of the scientific and technological level of human society, the large-scale use of fossil energy has brought high speed development to the economies of all countries in the world, and has also seriously damaged the environment of various countries. The large-scale use of fossil energy has resulted in unsustainable supply of resources. From the point of view of economics, energy is one of the important factors in the process of production. Environment is not only the carrier of human survival, but also the source of fossil energy. In order to ensure the sustainable supply of fossil energy, we must maintain harmony between man and nature. How to realize the coordinated and sustainable development of environment, energy and economic growth has become one of the important problems faced by governments. For China, 2015 is the end of the 12th five-year Plan. This year, in the face of the complex situation of weak recovery of the world economy and increasing downward pressure on the domestic economy, China has achieved a hard-won and precious economic growth of 6.9 percent. However, as a developing country in the stage of rapid development, China's economic growth will inevitably lead to a large amount of energy consumption, and the current mode of economic growth belongs to extensive and high energy consumption. Therefore, energy shortage is one of the predicaments that must be faced at the present stage, which in turn will restrict the economic growth. In addition, energy use is directly related to the degree of environmental pollution. In China, this direct relationship has been fully reflected in the ecological environment. The development and utilization of energy has become the first major pollution source in China, and the rapid development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is the most prominent. Serious air pollution reduces people's quality of life. Restrict people's travel time, affect the health of citizens. With the development of the concept of sustainable development, more and more researchers put economy, energy and environment into the same system to explore the interaction between them. In order to achieve economic growth, promote the development of low-carbon cycle, save and utilize resources efficiently, this paper divides 29 provinces into three regions. On the basis of this, the energy consumption of our country is analyzed by using tabular data and trend chart. Carbon emissions and economic growth profile for detailed analysis. Based on the data of 15 years from 2000 to 2014 and using the PVARmodel (Panel Vector autoregressive Model), the relationship among energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth is analyzed according to the results of the study. There are significant regional differences in the interaction among economic growth, energy consumption and environmental pollution in the western region. Therefore, it is very important to study the harmonious development of energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth.
【學位授予單位】：首都經濟貿易大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：X22;F124

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